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Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Fri Aug 27, 2021 6:45 pm
by Luke
I'm happy to hear BB isn't waiting. Don't like the look of this one at all and the short notice is awful for the complexities of evacuation (and COVID). Ida will traverse the highest Ocean Heat Content (OHC) in the basin, coupled with low wind shear & plenty of upper-level outflow. Category 4 is likely, 5 not out of the question.

It's nuts this is so close and only at Advisory #6 at 5pm EDT.

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If you can believe it, it was the 29th anniversary of Hurricane Andrew in Miami August 24th. My friend (and client for many years) Bryan Norcross is now with Channel 10 in Miami, you may know him from The Weather Channel or the Today show. He has a series of video podcasts that are interesting and helpful. Here's Bryan with a brief look at what happened with Katrina and Andrew. It wasn't a hurricane disaster, it was an ENGINEERING disaster. Florida got Hurriane Wilma in October.
Hurricane Wilma was the most intense tropical cyclone ever recorded in the Atlantic basin, and the second-most intense tropical cyclone recorded in the Western Hemisphere, after Hurricane Patricia in 2015. Part of the record-breaking 2005 Atlantic hurricane season, which included three of the ten most intense Atlantic hurricanes ever (along with #4 Rita and #7 Katrina), Wilma was the twenty-second storm, thirteenth hurricane, sixth major hurricane, fourth Category 5 hurricane, and the second-most destructive hurricane of the 2005 season.




This was coverage at Katrina landfall... the hope was that the core being to the east would help (the west side of a hurricane is less powerful). But with the engineering failure all bets were off.

Hurricane Katrina landfall coverage meteorologists David Bernard & Bryan Norcross. WFOR CBS 4 Miami
Aug 29, 2013
David Bernard

I was broadcasting from Miami with Bryan Norcross. At the time, the idea was that the core of the hurricane passed east of New Orleans. Therefore the storm surge was not going to be high enough in Lake Pontchartrain to overtop the levees. We knew that St. Bernard and Plaquemines would be a different story. However, we didn't anticipate, nor did anyone else, that there would be a massive structural failure system wide.

Goes to show how little you know if the "fog of war" until you know.




Don't fu*k with Ida. Check on your friends and family, this popped up quickly.


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Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Fri Aug 27, 2021 6:48 pm
by FiveAcres
I remember watching Katrina and those few short hours of relief that NO had dodged the worse of it. Except, of course, they hadn't, as became evidence with the failed engineering.

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Fri Aug 27, 2021 6:49 pm
by Volkonski

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Fri Aug 27, 2021 6:50 pm
by Volkonski

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Fri Aug 27, 2021 6:51 pm
by Volkonski

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Fri Aug 27, 2021 6:53 pm
by Volkonski

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Fri Aug 27, 2021 7:07 pm
by Volkonski

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Sat Aug 28, 2021 9:09 am
by Volkonski

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Sat Aug 28, 2021 9:24 am
by Butterfly Bilderberg
Good morning, Fogbowers! Hurricane Ida evacuee here. :biggrin:

This storm gained strength so rapidly I decided yesterday afternoon to take an impromptu road trip with my cocker spaniel, Zoey, and a New Orleans friend who doesn't have transportation. My home is on the North Shore of Lake Pontchartrain, which is higher ground than New Orleans. My home is at 25 feet above sea level (although I carry flood insurance, just in case). The risk for me is falling trees; my little half acre of paradise is wooded and one of the loblolly pine trees is if-y. On Thursday I finally received HOA permission to have that one removed, but as of today it is still standing.

We left at 7:00 PM on Friday and drove to Jackson and found a hotel that accepts pets. Our ultimate destination is Memphis, where I lived as a child. Less traffic than heading to Houston. Although in the path of Ida, the storm will be downgraded to a tropical depression by the time it reaches Tennessee.

I plan to visit the Memphis Blues Museum. Those of y'all who know me personally are very much aware of my love for the Blues, particularly Delta blues. After following the Mississippi Blues Trail to Clarksdale last autumn, I look forward to furthering my education on the evolution of this amazing music genre.

Cross your fingers or say a prayer or send good juju to my house. I'd really love to return to find it intact. Most important, pray for those who cannot evacuate for lack of funds, transportation, etc.

BB


P.S. Furniture can be replaced. Family heirlooms cannot, so I had time to pack the family photos and irreplaceable items.

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Sat Aug 28, 2021 9:29 am
by Volkonski
Best wishes for a fallen tree free outcome! :bighug:

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Sat Aug 28, 2021 9:29 am
by Volkonski

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Sat Aug 28, 2021 9:43 am
by Tiredretiredlawyer
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/pi ... d-n1277771
Pilot and fiancée rescue 17 trapped in Tennessee flood
Joel Boyers had just finished helping his fiancée earn her pilot's license when a woman called to ask if he could help her family.

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:09 am
by Volkonski

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:23 am
by sugar magnolia
Butterfly Bilderberg wrote: Sat Aug 28, 2021 9:24 am Good morning, Fogbowers! Hurricane Ida evacuee here. :biggrin:

This storm gained strength so rapidly I decided yesterday afternoon to take an impromptu road trip with my cocker spaniel, Zoey, and a New Orleans friend who doesn't have transportation. My home is on the North Shore of Lake Pontchartrain, which is higher ground than New Orleans. My home is at 25 feet above sea level (although I carry flood insurance, just in case). The risk for me is falling trees; my little half acre of paradise is wooded and one of the loblolly pine trees is if-y. On Thursday I finally received HOA permission to have that one removed, but as of today it is still standing.

We left at 7:00 PM on Friday and drove to Jackson and found a hotel that accepts pets. Our ultimate destination is Memphis, where I lived as a child. Less traffic than heading to Houston. Although in the path of Ida, the storm will be downgraded to a tropical depression by the time it reaches Tennessee.

I plan to visit the Memphis Blues Museum. Those of y'all who know me personally are very much aware of my love for the Blues, particularly Delta blues. After following the Mississippi Blues Trail to Clarksdale last autumn, I look forward to furthering my education on the evolution of this amazing music genre.

Cross your fingers or say a prayer or send good juju to my house. I'd really love to return to find it intact. Most important, pray for those who cannot evacuate for lack of funds, transportation, etc.

BB


P.S. Furniture can be replaced. Family heirlooms cannot, so I had time to pack the family photos and irreplaceable items.
Did you wave at me on the way through? Have breakfast at Bravo?

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:43 am
by Volkonski

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:50 am
by Volkonski

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Sat Aug 28, 2021 10:58 am
by Volkonski

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:11 am
by Slim Cognito
Butterfly Bilderberg wrote: Sat Aug 28, 2021 9:24 am Good morning, Fogbowers! Hurricane Ida evacuee here. :biggrin:

...
:bighug:

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:17 am
by Phoenix520
Prayers and juju going up for BB’s tree and all those in the hurricane’s path. :pray:

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Sat Aug 28, 2021 11:28 am
by Volkonski
Google maps shows I 10 traffic very slow westbound from Baton Rouge almost to Beaumont and from New Orleans eastbound to Mobile.

Happily Ida is still many hours away so evacuees have time to get away.

Having spent hours in the Rita evacuation from Houston I strongly sympathize with them.

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Sat Aug 28, 2021 1:33 pm
by Volkonski

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Sat Aug 28, 2021 1:34 pm
by Volkonski

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Sat Aug 28, 2021 1:59 pm
by tek
Not gonna be fun from here on out..
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Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Sat Aug 28, 2021 2:25 pm
by sugar magnolia
tek wrote: Sat Aug 28, 2021 1:59 pm Not gonna be fun from here on out..

d-1.jpg
10 is a clusterfuck on a good day.

Re: Weather Alerts

Posted: Sat Aug 28, 2021 2:53 pm
by Volkonski
And now the gasoline supplies are running low.



When we (our daughters, older SIL and us) evacuated for Rita we were running out of gas about 2/3rds of the way to our SIL's parents' house in San Antonio. Luckily our SIL's parents came to our rescue bringing us gas.