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Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2022 1:34 pm
by raison de arizona
See, it's funny because Hillary Clinton murders people. Get it?
Ron Filipkowski 🇺🇦 @RonFilipkowski wrote:
Kari Lake parrots the right-wing conspiracy that Hillary has people murdered who cross her: “I was a little concerned today when I saw Hillary badmouthing me. I want you to know I’m in perfect health, my brakes in my car are in good shape, and I’m not suicidal.”
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Fri Nov 04, 2022 7:38 pm
by AndyinPA
Appalling.
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Mon Nov 07, 2022 8:16 pm
by Kendra
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2022 1:20 pm
by Kendra
Charlie Kirk is already freaking out over Kari Lake’s race: “Look, I’m panicking because you need 10 times more votes than you have right now. I’m telling you right now, the modeling’s not there. We are on track to lose. You can stay at home and enjoy a Katie Hobbs governorship.”
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2022 1:39 pm
by Tiredretiredlawyer
What modeling? How can he support that statement? First time I have wanted Kirk to be right.
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2022 1:43 pm
by raison de arizona
Lake is tweeting all over about every little election irregularity, laying the groundwork in case she doesn't win...
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2022 1:57 pm
by Kendra
Tiredretiredlawyer wrote: ↑Tue Nov 08, 2022 1:39 pm
What modeling? How can he support that statement? First time I have wanted Kirk to be right.
Me too
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2022 2:09 pm
by raison de arizona
Not surprisingly, election day voting has been overwhelmingly Republican.
https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/stat ... 1706890240
The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru @Garrett_Archer wrote:
.@maricopacounty election day voting update as of 12pm.
Total Cast: ~103k
Ballot share breakdown by party:
Republican: 57%
Unaffiliated: 28%
Democratic: 14%
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2022 3:36 pm
by June bug
It’d be nice to compare that with returned mail or early voting ballots in Maricopa County. Any info on that by party or unaffiliated registration?
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2022 3:38 pm
by TheNewSaint
raison de arizona wrote: ↑Tue Nov 08, 2022 1:43 pm
Lake is tweeting all over about every little election irregularity, laying the groundwork in case she doesn't win...
That means she's afraid she's going to lose.
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2022 3:42 pm
by New Turtle
June bug wrote: ↑Tue Nov 08, 2022 3:36 pm
It’d be nice to compare that with returned mail or early voting ballots in Maricopa County. Any info on that by party or unaffiliated registration?
This is early in-person and mail-in by state:
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-e ... early-vote
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2022 3:43 pm
by Phoenix520
RWNJs - full of sound and fury signifying nothing.
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2022 3:54 pm
by raison de arizona
June bug wrote: ↑Tue Nov 08, 2022 3:36 pm
It’d be nice to compare that with returned mail or early voting ballots in Maricopa County. Any info on that by party or unaffiliated registration?
49% Dem to 42% Rep
https://twitter.com/Jamal___James/statu ... 7477963776
It's going to come down to which way Independents predominantly swing.
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2022 4:00 pm
by June bug
Thanks, NT. NBC has only the whole state, so it’s hard to compare with just Maricopa County, but it doesn’t look good. State overall returned ballots have only a couple percentage point lead for Dems, which wouldn’t be enough to counter the massive Republican lead on Election Day voting by Republicans. Only hope is that the Maricopa County early vote gave the Dems a much bigger lead. That seems unlikely though. Maricopa is such a big fish on the Arizona pond that you’d think the state numbers would be better for Dems if that were the case. Also, early voting numbers were very low for younger people - much higher for the older folks. Highest percentage was over 50.
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2022 4:04 pm
by June bug
Thanks for this, raison. You’re right - looks like it’s all “dependent” on the “in”dependents.
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2022 4:30 pm
by Gregg
June bug wrote: ↑Tue Nov 08, 2022 4:00 pm
Thanks, NT. NBC has only the whole state, so it’s hard to compare with just Maricopa County, but it doesn’t look good. State overall returned ballots have only a couple percentage point lead for Dems, which wouldn’t be enough to counter the massive Republican lead on Election Day voting by Republicans. Only hope is that the Maricopa County early vote gave the Dems a much bigger lead. That seems unlikely though. Maricopa is such a big fish on the Arizona pond that you’d think the state numbers would be better for Dems if that were the case. Also, early voting numbers were very low for younger people - much higher for the older folks. Highest percentage was over 50.
I'm not sure. I seem to recall that overall, more than half of Arizona votes early, either by mail or in person.
If so, a few points advantage in early votes is more important than getting beat in person by a wider margin.
And I have a hard time believing that the independent votes are going to break for insanity.
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2022 8:55 pm
by New Turtle
Emergency hearing in progress now to extend the polling places in Maricopa to 10pm.
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2022 8:59 pm
by raison de arizona
Dennied, 7pm closing stands.
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Wed Nov 09, 2022 5:02 pm
by raison de arizona
https://twitter.com/KariLake/status/1590401873974288384
Kari Lake @KariLake wrote:
Wow. We’re going to win big.
Stay tuned, Arizona!
Remaining ballots (Election Day & Early Drop-offs) are all breaking BIGLY for @KariLake. Just like we knew they would.
That's true, but are they breaking enough for her? Maybe, maybe not.
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Wed Nov 09, 2022 5:41 pm
by New Turtle
That was election day votes for Pima County. It brought Lake within a few thousand, but didn't do much for Masters.
Sounds like there are still a lot of early vote from Monday not counted yet.
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Wed Nov 09, 2022 5:46 pm
by Dr. Ken
Says 100% reporting
https://results.arizona.vote/#/featured/33/0
Hobbs, Fontes and Kelly all ahead.
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Wed Nov 09, 2022 5:55 pm
by Lani
I hope it's true, but NYT and other outlets claim that ballet counting is still continuing.
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Wed Nov 09, 2022 5:58 pm
by Kendra
Just saw Kornacki (sp?) on MSNBC a bit ago. He says there's going to be a big dump from Maricopa County in the next couple of hours. Stay tuned...
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Wed Nov 09, 2022 6:10 pm
by Gregg
In what universe are there 50,000 odd people who vote for Kari Lake but not Masters and Finchem?
That just don't make no sense to me.
eta: and apparently 25,000 of them voted for Kelly and Fontes.
Arizona Governor -- Kari Lake, TFG Endorsee
Posted: Wed Nov 09, 2022 6:13 pm
by New Turtle
Kendra wrote: ↑Wed Nov 09, 2022 5:58 pm
Just saw Kornacki (sp?) on MSNBC a bit ago. He says there's going to be a big dump from Maricopa County in the next couple of hours. Stay tuned...
The Count says 6pm MST
