For comparison, Silver's final Biden-Trump estimate (now archived and unlocked on his site) was Trump 73% Biden 27%.
Kamala Harris for President - 2024
Posted: Tue Jul 30, 2024 2:46 pm
by Dave from down under
Shows nicely how broken the electoral college is to provide voter representation.
Kamala Harris for President - 2024
Posted: Tue Jul 30, 2024 2:54 pm
by andersweinstein
Dave from down under wrote: ↑Tue Jul 30, 2024 2:46 pm
Shows nicely how broken the electoral college is to provide voter representation.
Yes, Dems generally need to win popular vote by many percentage points to win in Electoral College (I forget precise estimates).
Nate Silver wrote:However, she’s a modest underdog to Trump in the Electoral College, risking a repeat of the popular vote-Electoral College split that cost Democrats the 2000 and 2016 elections. Harris isn’t unique in this regard: Biden also had a large Electoral College-popular vote gap in 2020, barely winning several tipping-point states despite winning the popular vote by 4.5 percentage points. But this is still a problem for Democrats, and we show Harris as having a slightly wider popular vote-Electoral College gap than Biden had in his version of the forecast.
Kamala Harris is now more popular than Joe Biden or Donald Trump have been at any point in the 2024 election cycle, according to a new survey.
A Morning Consult poll of 11,538 registered voters between July 26 and 28 found 50 percent have a favorable view of Harris whilst 46 percent have an unfavorable view. According to the pollster, "Harris's 4-point net favorability is a higher rating than Biden or Trump have posted all cycle."
Kamala Harris for President - 2024
Posted: Tue Jul 30, 2024 5:14 pm
by Dr. Ken
Kamala Harris for President - 2024
Posted: Tue Jul 30, 2024 5:23 pm
by Slim Cognito
"Keep calling Biden senile they said. It'll guarantee I win the race, they said. What could possibly go wrong, they said." trump, probably.
Rural Americans for Harris will have a Zoom next week. Here is the link to RSVP...I'd love to see you on the call. Please share!
#DirtRoadDemocrats
Kamala Harris for President - 2024
Posted: Tue Jul 30, 2024 6:56 pm
by Luke
Thanks, P0rtia, was just about the post that. Megan Thee Stallion is opening right now, I don't think I've ever seen her. The Atlanta arena looks full. Yay!
Megan: "Let's hear it for Miss Harris... our future president... Let's get it done, Atlanta!" "Hotties for Harris"
Jon Stewart:
alternate from the past
