Fogbow

More than
702,000
people have died from coronavirus in the U.S.



More than 43,648,000 cases have been reported.

Data as of October 4 at 11:15 p.m.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics ... es-deaths/

Uninformed wrote: ↑Mon Oct 04, 2021 5:28 pm
P.S. Anybody believe the figures coming out of Florida? (Worldometers has no figures for the last couple of days).

Suranis wrote: ↑Mon Oct 04, 2021 6:00 pm That's about a 1.6% mortality rate. But of course that does not include the effects of Long Covid and long recovery times and so on. People just focus on the mortality rate, but very few people died of Polio and somehow people regarded that as a terrible disease.

I think focusing on just the death rates is doing this thing a disservice. The a large part of the real damage is the body wrecking effects of this bug.

p0rtia wrote: ↑Mon Oct 04, 2021 6:11 pm Assuming you were responding to my post (and ignore me if not): How did you arrive at 1.6%? And for where?

Suranis wrote: ↑Mon Oct 04, 2021 6:16 pm

p0rtia wrote: ↑Mon Oct 04, 2021 6:11 pm Assuming you were responding to my post (and ignore me if not): How did you arrive at 1.6%? And for where?

I just divided 720,000 by 43,648,000. The answer was 0.0164956011730205, or 1.65%, rounding up.

AndyinPA wrote: ↑Tue Oct 05, 2021 3:52 pm From the beginning, I have thought that the numbers are being grossly under-counted, but I doubt we will ever know the true numbers. It wouldn't surprise me if they were twice that high. I think there were misdiagnoses at first; people who didn't, and still don't, want that diagnosis on a death certificate; poor testing rates; and probably other things I don't know enough about to take into consideration. The death rate may not be double, but I think the people actually infected with the virus could be.

This week, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention released new data showing how much more negatively those who weren’t vaccinated were affected by the fourth surge in cases that began in late June. In every age group, those who hadn’t been vaccinated were much more likely to test positive for the virus. In older age groups, where the virus has consistently proved to be more deadly, those who were unvaccinated were much more likely to die.

Overall, the CDC reports that, in August, the unvaccinated were six times more likely to test positive for the virus than the vaccinated and 11 times as likely to die. If we look at this metric by age, it shifts. Within the youngest age group, the unvaccinated were 10 times as likely to contract the virus that month. Within the oldest group, the effects were more modest: they were three times as likely. There were (happily) too few deaths among those under age 30 to be instructive about the effects of the vaccine, but among the oldest people included in the CDC data, the vaccinated were five times less likely to die of the virus. Among those aged 30 to 49, the unvaccinated were 39 times more likely to die.

New study reveals why Provincetown did not become a COVID super-spreader event

“The reason it didn’t is that the community and public health officials responded decisively and leveraged the tools we know work: masking, quarantine, and testing to bring this under control,” he said.

The team of researchers, led by scientists at the Broad Institute of Harvard and MIT, concluded that Cape Cod’s high vaccination rate and quick public health measures in Massachusetts likely prevented the outbreak from erupting into many more infections.

Excess Deaths in 2020
October 21, 2021 Sociology Politics R Visualization
Prompted by a guest visit to Mine Çetinkaya-Rundel’s Advanced Data Visualization class here at Duke, I’ve updated my US and state excess death graphs. Earlier posts (like this one from February) will update as well.

I am interested in all-cause mortality in the United States for 2020. I look at each jurisdiction, ordered by how far off its 2015-2019 average it was in 2020.

The global death toll from Covid-19 has passed 5 million, 19 months after the pandemic was first declared, according to figures released by Johns Hopkins University. Some experts, including those from the World Health Organization, believe the true toll may be two to three times higher than official figures suggest.

The number of deaths from Covid-19 far outstrip that of other viral epidemics in the 21st century and most from the 20th century, with the notable exception of the Spanish flu. The US, Brazil, India, Mexico and the UK together account for more than half of all deaths worldwide.

In the last 28 days, Johns Hopkins University has logged 197,116 deaths and 11.7 million new cases around the world.



In the last month, the US, UK, Russia, Turkey and Ukraine have recorded the most new cases, while 581m doses of vaccine have been administered worldwide. The US has the largest death toll, at 745,836, followed by India (458,437). Russia’s official death toll stands at 235,318, although independent analysis of excess deaths in Russia by the Moscow Times suggests the true figure could be up to three times higher.