Election 2024: Democrats Are Going To Win Again
Posted: Fri Apr 07, 2023 9:37 pm
I think the version of the lyrics I used is from a different production than the OG animation ![Bag :bag:](./images/smilies/bag.gif)
![Bag :bag:](./images/smilies/bag.gif)
Falsehoods Unchallenged Only Fester and Grow
https://thefogbow.com/forum/
Might have been from the utterly dreadful "live action" remake.W. Kevin Vicklund wrote: ↑Fri Apr 07, 2023 9:37 pm I think the version of the lyrics I used is from a different production than the OG animation![]()
Fantastic, nonetheless!!W. Kevin Vicklund wrote: ↑Fri Apr 07, 2023 9:37 pm I think the version of the lyrics I used is from a different production than the OG animation![]()
I see civil war 2.0 on the horizon....John Thomas8 wrote: ↑Fri Apr 07, 2023 10:33 pm Looks kinda like a Pyrric "Victory" at this point.
NC skank rep flips parties, kills any blue hope in North Carolina.
Tennessee goes full Nathan Bedford Forrest on honestly elected democrats.
Texas "judge" stomps on the "day after pill".
The US House is a complete wreck.
A SCROTUS "justice" has been taking bribes for two decades.
Transgender kids are getting raked over the coals all across the country.
Florida has gone full fascist.
Not seeing any winning.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/25/us/p ... ction.htmlThe Map, the Issues and the Incumbency Favoring Democrats
President Biden’s poll numbers remain low, but structural advantages have Democrats insisting he is far better positioned than his Republican rivals.
By Jonathan Weisman April 25, 2023, 11:15 a.m. ET
Nearly seven in 10 Americans believe their country is on a “wrong track.” The incumbent president will be 81 on Election Day 2024. More than half of the voters in his own party don’t want him to run for re-election. Yet as President Biden embarks on his campaign for a second term, Democratic officials firmly believe he is beginning his bid on Tuesday from ground that is far more solid than his personal standing indicates. Democratic unity has stifled even the hint of an intraparty insurgency. The issues dominating the nation’s politics have largely worked in the Democrats’ favor. And a battleground that has narrowed to only a handful of states means, at least for now, that the 2024 campaign will be waged on favorable Democratic terrain. “I’m always going to be worried because we’re a very divided country, and presidential races are going to be close, no matter who is in it,” said Anne Caprara, who helped lead Hillary Clinton’s super PAC in 2016 and is now chief of staff to Illinois’s Democratic governor, J.B. Pritzker. “But for the first time in my career, I think Republicans have painted themselves into a terrible position. They’re losing and they can’t seem to see that.”
Without doubt, Mr. Biden’s personal liabilities are tugging at the Democrats’ well-worn worry strings. Despite low unemployment, a remarkably resilient economy and an enviable record of legislative accomplishments in his first two years, the octogenarian president has never quite won over the nation, or even voters in his party. A new NBC News poll has Mr. Biden losing to a generic Republican presidential candidate, 47 percent to 41 percent. “President Biden is in remarkably weak shape for an incumbent running for re-election,” said Bill McInturff, a veteran Republican pollster who co-directs the NBC News poll. Republicans plan to play on those uncertainties, harping on Mr. Biden’s age and frailty and painting him as the weakest incumbent president to run for re-election since Jimmy Carter tried 44 years ago. The campaign of former President Donald J. Trump is already looking past the coming Republican nomination fight to contrast what it sees as the strength of personality of an aggressive challenger against a vulnerable incumbent. “This is a choice between Joe Biden and Donald Trump,” said Chris LaCivita, a senior adviser to the Trump campaign, adding, “If they think that is their greatest strength, they are going to have a long, miserable year.” (Agree with Chris but in reverse)
But the political fundamentals look significantly better than Mr. Biden’s personal approval. By avoiding a serious primary challenge, Mr. Biden will not be spending the next year fighting with members of his own party on difficult issues like immigration, crime, gender and abortion in ways that might turn off swing voters. Instead, he can bide his time attending ribbon cuttings and groundbreakings for roads and bridges, semiconductor plants, electric vehicle manufacturers and solar energy projects that stem from his three biggest legislative achievements — the infrastructure bill, the “chips and science” law and the Inflation Reduction Act, with its huge tax incentives for clean energy. The mere presence of Mr. Trump in the Republican primary race is helping the Democrats make the 2024 campaign a choice between the two parties, not a referendum on the incumbent, a far more difficult challenge for the party in power, said Jim Messina, who managed the last successful presidential re-election campaign, Barack Obama’s in 2012. Early polls, both in key states like Wisconsin and nationally, have Mr. Biden holding onto a slim lead over Mr. Trump, but even with or behind Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida.
The Republicans’ narrow control of the House has also given Mr. Biden a foil in the months before a Republican presidential nominee emerges, just as the Republican Congress helped Mr. Obama. And then there is the map. The 2022 midterms should have been a disaster for a president with low approval ratings. Instead, in two critical states — Pennsylvania and Michigan — the Democratic Party greatly strengthened its hand and its electoral infrastructure, with victories in the governors’ races in both states, the Pennsylvania House flipping to the Democrats and the Michigan Legislature falling to complete Democratic control for the first time in nearly 40 years. At the outset of the 2024 campaign, two-thirds of the Upper Midwestern “Blue Wall” that Mr. Trump shattered in 2016 and Mr. Biden rebuilt in 2020 appear to favor the Democrats. As partisanship intensifies in Democratic and Republican states, battlegrounds like Florida, Ohio and Iowa have moved firmly toward Republicans, but other battlegrounds like Colorado, Virginia and New Hampshire look reliably Democratic.
That has elevated just a handful of states as potentially decisive next year: Wisconsin, the third brick in the “Blue Wall”; Georgia, once reliably Republican; Arizona; and Pennsylvania, especially if the political winds shift in the Republicans’ favor. If Mr. Biden can lock down Pennsylvania, he would need to win only one of the other big battlegrounds — Wisconsin, Georgia or Arizona — to get the necessary Electoral College votes in 2024. Even if he lost Nevada, he would still win as long as he secures New Hampshire and doesn’t split the Electoral College votes of Maine. Wisconsin had a split decision in 2022, with the Democratic governor, Tony Evers, winning re-election while the Republican senator, Ron Johnson, also prevailed. But this month, an expensive, hard-fought State Supreme Court race in Wisconsin went to the Democratic-backed candidate by 11 percentage points, a remarkable margin.
Democrats won the governorship in Arizona in 2022. And while they lost the governor’s race decisively in Georgia, they eked out the Senate contest between the incumbent Democrat Raphael Warnock and the Republican, Herschel Walker. Those recent electoral successes point to the other major factor that appears to be playing in the Democrats’ favor: the issues. The erosion of abortion rights in the wake of the Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe v. Wade has continued to dominate electoral outcomes in key states like Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. And abortion is not fading, in large part because the socially conservative core of the Republican electorate keeps driving red states and conservative judges forward on abortion restrictions. The tragic drumbeat of mass shootings has kept gun control high on the political agenda as well, an issue that Democrats believe will help them with suburban voters in key swing states and will trap Republicans between a base of voters who want no compromise on gun rights and a broader electorate that increasingly favors restrictions.
Republicans have issues that could favor them, too. Crime helped deliver House seats in New York and California, which secured the narrow House majority for the G.O.P. And transgender politics might help Republicans with some swing voters. A poll for National Public Radio last summer found that 63 percent of Americans opposed allowing transgender women and girls to compete on teams that align with their gender identity, while broader support for L.G.B.T. rights has only gained ground. But a hotly contested primary is likely to drag the eventual nominee to the right, even on issues that could otherwise favor his party. Mr. DeSantis, widely seen as Mr. Trump’s most serious challenger, signed a ban on abortion in his state after six weeks, a threshold before many women know they are pregnant. And at some point, Republicans’ drive against transgender people and their fixation on social issues may appear to be bullying — or simply far afield from real issues in the lives of swing voters, said Ms. Caprara, the chief of staff for the Illinois governor. “There’s this toxic soup between abortion, guns, gay rights, library books, African American history,” she said. “It just comes across to people as, ‘Who are these people?’”
The biggest issue, however, may be the storm cloud on the horizon that may or may not burst — the economy. In 2020, Mr. Biden became one of the few presidential candidates in modern history to have triumphed over the candidate who was more trusted on the economy in polls. Since then, the surge of job creation from the trough of the coronavirus pandemic has shattered monthly employment records, while unemployment rates — especially for workers of color — are at or near their lowest levels ever. Inflation, which peaked near 10 percent, is now at about 5 percent. Yet Mr. Biden continues to get low marks on his economic stewardship, and those marks could deteriorate as the Federal Reserve continues to tamp down inflation with higher interest rates, warned Mr. Messina, the former Obama campaign manager. A new poll for CNBC found that 53 percent of Americans expect the economy will get worse, compared with 34 percent when Mr. Biden took office. “Today, I’d rather be Joe Biden,” Mr. Messina said. “But I wish I knew where the economy is going to be, because that’s the one thing hanging out there that nobody can control.”
https://www.rawstory.com/election-deniers-2024/MAGA election deniers did worse in 2022 than other Republicans — and Dems expect more 'implosions' in 2024
Matthew Chapman
The 2022 midterm elections saw a predicted "red wave" fizzle out, as Republicans only barely won control of the House while losing ground in the Senate, governorships, and state legislatures. Some election observers have suggested that a big factor was the inability of several Republican candidates in key states like Arizona and Pennsylvania to accept the results of the 2020 election, pushing conspiracy theories about election fraud and rigging that turned off more mainstream voters and possibly discouraged hardcore Republicans from voting.
A new study reported by The New York Times suggests that is indeed what happened. "Denying the results of the 2020 election and casting doubts about the nation’s voting system cost statewide Republican candidates 2.3 to 3.7 percentage points in the midterms last year, according to a new study from States United Action, a nonpartisan group that promotes fair elections," reported Nick Corasaniti. "Even at the lowest end of the spectrum, 2.3 percentage points would have been enough to swing several critical midterm races that Republicans lost, including the contests for governor and attorney general in Arizona and the Senate elections in Nevada and Georgia. In each of those races, the Republican nominee had either expressed doubts about the 2020 election or outright rejected its legitimacy.
"In the midterms, a slate of election-denying candidates ran together as the America First coalition. These candidates, organized in part by Jim Marchant, the Republican nominee for secretary of state in Nevada, sought to take over critical parts of the nation’s election infrastructure by running for secretary of state, attorney general and governor in states across the country," said the report. "But in every major battleground state, these candidates lost. 'What we found was lying about elections isn’t just bad for our democracy, it’s bad politics,' said Joanna Lydgate, the chief executive of States United Action."
This comes amid a new report from POLITICO that Democrats are hoping for more such candidates win GOP primaries in key states, weakening Republicans in 2024 ahead of a Senate map that is extremely challenging for Democrats to hold their majority — starting with Marchant himself making another bid for high office in Nevada. "Though the state’s 2022 Senate race was one of the closest in the country, Democrats are near-giddy that former President Donald Trump backer Jim Marchant is taking on Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.). Marchant is on a multi-year losing streak in key races — but he’s still a Republican primary contender given his alliance with the former president and track record of prevailing in primaries," reported Burgess Everett and Holly Otterbein. "'He is, I believe, a three-time loser. A MAGA election denier. And so, he’s going to have his challenges,' Rosen said in an interview of Marchant, a former state lawmaker. 'He’s going to have to sell himself.'"
TrumpMagaKing
47USCode§230
@DrPol7
Your friendly #MarxistDemocrats are handing out checks to voters for 18 months (illegals included). Just long enough to vote corrupt demented creepy Joe Biden back in to finish off the country & make the vast majority of American families dependent slaves to socialism
@Orly_licious 1m
How did you find out the plan? Democrats haven't even started yet; with Trump on Indictment Watch & the MAGA civil war, Democrats are just enjoying the Summer. As you noted, there's really no point in Republicans voting, Democrats will win their 4th straight election in 2024.
https://thefederalist.com/2023/06/23/ho ... -into-law/How The Ballot Amendment Process Became Democrats’ New Strategy To Entrench Their Agenda Into Law
BY: SHAWN FLEETWOOD JUNE 23, 2023
Advancing policy doesn’t require legislative majorities or control of the executive, but rather the willpower and money needed to convince enough voters to approve it.
It’s no secret Republicans suffered disappointing electoral outcomes in the 2022 midterms. Of all the highly-contested states, however, it’s Michigan where such defeats have proven the most consequential. In addition to reelecting Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and giving Democrats total control of the state legislature, Michigan voters passed Props 2 and 3 — two ballot initiatives that enshrined both the left’s election takeover and rights to abortion and kids’ trans surgeries into the state’s constitution. As a result, neither Michigan’s elections nor its unborn are safe from leftist policies.
Over just a few short months, Michigan Democrats have been hard at work dismantling the state’s election system by advancing legislation expanding the use of state-funded ballot drop boxes and gutting safeguards for mail-in voting. Regarding Prop 3, Whitmer signed into law in April a measure repealing a 1931 statute that banned baby-killing in Michigan.
A New Strategy Is Born
Yes, Michigan’s passage of Props 2 and 3 ensured significant policy wins for Democrats. But it also gave them an idea on how to further embed their radical agenda into law — even in states where they don’t hold government power. Prior to the 2022 midterms, it was Republicans who controlled both chambers of the Michigan Legislature. While able to act through executive fiat, Whitmer was largely prevented from passing any of the radical bills she and Michigan Democrats are now ramming through the legislature. Faced with a GOP firewall, Michigan Democrats turned to a new means of advancing their agenda: The ballot amendment process.
In a matter of months, coalitions of left-wing groups orchestrated a statewide campaign, collecting signatures to have Prop 2 and 3 placed on the ballot for Michigan’s 2022 elections. While initially failing to secure approval from the state’s board of canvassers, both proposals were given life after the Michigan Supreme Court ruled they could appear on the November ballot. After receiving the green light from Michigan’s highest court, out-of-state, left-wing groups such as Planned Parenthood began pouring millions of dollars into the state to sway voters into supporting their bid to overall Michigan’s constitution. In the end, their efforts proved successful.
The Democrat Game Plan For Future Elections
The outcome of Michigan’s 2022 elections taught Democrats a lesson: Advancing policy doesn’t require legislative majorities or control of the executive, but rather the willpower and money needed to convince enough voters to approve it. Illinois Democrat Gov. J.B. Pritzker has all but admitted such a strategy could be used to entrench abortion into state constitutions across the country. In April, Pritzker told CNN he thinks Democrats “should put the right to choose on every ballot across the country in 2024 — not just with the candidates we choose, but with referendum efforts to enshrine reproductive rights in states where right-wing politicians are stripping those rights away.”
Such efforts are already underway in Republican-controlled states like Ohio, where pro-abortion activists are in the process of collecting signatures to have a constitutional amendment proposal allowing abortions “up until fetal viability” to be placed on the ballot this November. Relatedly, Ohio voters will be voting on a separate proposal during an Aug. 8 special election that would require constitutional amendment proposals to receive approval from 60 percent of voters rather than a simple majority.
Left-wing activists in red states such as Florida and South Dakota — both of which passed pro-life legislation within the past year — are also in the process of gathering signatures to potentially have pro-abortion initiatives appear on their states’ respective ballots for upcoming elections. Meanwhile, Democrat-controlled states such as New York and Maryland have already passed such proposals that will be considered by voters during the 2024 election.
Democrats’ hope is that if left-wing activists in red or purple states can get their policy proposals placed on the ballot, out-of-state money from leftist mega-donors and campaigning by these activists will be enough to turn out sympathetic voters in blue localities. The goal is to convince enough voters to overhaul their state’s constitution, no matter how damaging or repulsive the policies will be. If voters in “red” states like Kansas, Kentucky, and Montana can be convinced to reject pro-life amendments, then there’s not reason to believe it can’t happen everywhere else.
Shawn Fleetwood is a staff writer for The Federalist and a graduate of the University of Mary Washington. He previously served as a state content writer for Convention of States Action and his work has been featured in numerous outlets, including RealClearPolitics, RealClearHealth, and Conservative Review. Follow him on Twitter @ShawnFleetwood
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/07/0 ... e-00104629It pays to be censured: Schiff scores record haul after GOP rebuke
The Democratic congressman and Senate candidate parlayed attacks from Republicans and Donald Trump’s legal morass into a bonanza fundraising sprint.
By CHRISTOPHER CADELAGO 07/05/2023 05:00 AM EDT
California Rep. Adam Schiff, the target of conservative scorn and House Republican censure as he campaigns for the U.S. Senate, raised over $8.1 million in the year’s second quarter, a major haul that’s likely to put more distance between his rivals.
The record-breaking quarter places the Democratic congressman in his party’s upper echelon of 2024 fundraisers and brings to $29.5 million his cash on hand for the Senate race. Prior to Schiff, Sen. Raphael Warnock, at the time an incumbent Democrat from Georgia, raised $7.2 million in the second quarter of the off-cycle in 2021.
Schiff had more than 144,000 unique donors over the quarter who made more than 233,000 donations from 50 states and all of California’s 58 counties, according to contribution figures shared first with POLITICO.
The numbers are all the more startling considering California is a deep blue state and the race to succeed retiring Sen. Dianne Feinstein will almost certainly have no bearing on which party holds control of the Senate in 2024. But they demonstrate the power of using Republicans and specifically former President Donald Trump and his acolytes as central foils in the fierce competition for online dollars from national Democrats. During the spring stretch before and after his House censure, Schiff was a constant presence on cable TV and other programs, and his email appeals became ubiquitous.
All but 2 percent of his contributions came from grassroots supporters giving $200 or less, the campaign said. The average contribution was $34. Schiff is not accepting corporate PAC money.
What's really stupid is that it was the Republicans who pushed for all these referendums across the country and now they can't handle that the PEOPLE don't agree with their anti-democratic views. If they can't handle the outcomes, they shouldn't have pushed for the people.Slim Cognito wrote: ↑Wed Jul 05, 2023 11:44 am Good for them! Meanwhile, here in Floriduh, we've gathered many more sigs than necessary to legalize recreational marijuana via the ballot box, but DuhSantis and his cronies are trying to get the referendum thrown out because...people might use recreational marijuana recreationally.
Yeah, I'm living in Stupidville.
Free State of Florida, my ass.