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Volkonski
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#176

Post by Volkonski »

:eek:

Miami and New Orleans face greater sea-level threat than already feared
Twin studies reveal that ‘acceleration’ of sea-level rise under way, leaving southern US cities in even greater peril


https://www.theguardian.com/environment ... ew-orleans
Coastal cities in the southern US, including Miami, Houston and New Orleans, are in even greater peril from sea-level rise than scientists already feared, according to new analysis.

What experts are calling a dramatic surge in ocean levels has taken place along the US south-eastern and Gulf of Mexico coastline since 2010, one study suggests, an increase of almost 5in (12.7cm).

That “burst”, more than double the global average of 0.17in (0.44cm) per year, is fueling ever more powerful cyclones, including Hurricane Ian, which struck Florida in September and caused more than $113bn of damage – the state’s costliest natural disaster and the third most expensive storm in US history, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (Noaa).

The University of Arizona study, published in the Journal of Climate and reported on Monday by the Washington Post, provides an alarming new assessment of a key ingredient of the escalating climate emergency, particularly in popular but vulnerable areas of the US where millions of people live.

Existing projections by Nasa show a sea-level rise up to 12in (30cm) by the middle of the century, with longer-range forecasts even more dire.

The Gulf region from Texas to Florida, and southern Atlantic seaboard will see most of the change, the agency says.

“The entire south-east coast and the Gulf Coast is feeling the impact of the sea-level rise acceleration,” the study’s author Jianjun Yin, professor of geosciences at the University of Arizona, told the Post.

“It turns out that the water level associated with Hurricane Ian was the highest on record due to the combined effect of sea-level rise and storm surge.”
So happy we moved to Wichita Falls, elevation 948 feet.
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#177

Post by raison de arizona »

Climate Defiance @ClimateDefiance wrote: BREAKING: we just shut down a keynote speech by Senior Advisor to the President John Podesta. Addressing a room full of millionaires in a 5-star hotel, Podesta said we can only get to net-zero by 2050. So we sang him off the stage.
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#178

Post by raison de arizona »

Heartland Signal @HeartlandSignal wrote: Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI) says climate change will be good for the U.S. because it will be less cold: "Global warming will actually be beneficial ... Why wouldn't we take comfort in that? ... Y'know, concerned if you're in the hot region of Africa ... but we're in good shape."
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#179

Post by Lani »

Good Gawd, these people are stupid - and dangerous.
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#180

Post by AndyinPA »

https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate- ... e-climate/
After being exiled from Iceland for manslaughter, a Viking known as Erik the Red headed west in search of a new home. The bearded, red-haired explorer ventured 180 miles away, arriving on land that was not yet part of any European settlement. He spotted a green meadow and named the area Greenland, hoping to entice others to come. From about 985 to 1450, a small population of Vikings farmed and built communities on the island’s southern coast. Then, they mysteriously vanished.

Scientists and historians have proposed many theories for their disappearance, from plague, to drought, pirate raids and temperature changes. Now, a new study points to a key factor that may have prompted Vikings to flee their settlements: rising seas and subsequent flooding. The waters around some settlements may have risen by more than 10 feet over four centuries.

“The Vikings were experiencing pervasive sea level rise at the same time as other environmental, social, and economical challenges,” Marisa Borreggine, a doctoral student in earth sciences at Harvard University and the lead author of the study, said in an email. “Several factors coalesced to cause the Vikings to reach a tipping point and abandon the settlement, and now we have a better understanding of the impact sea level change had on their society.”

Sea level rise has previously been considered as an explanation for the Vikings’ disappearance from Greenland. Other calculations have estimated that the nearby ocean rose by a few feet during their centuries of occupation. Farmlands were inundated and land disappeared. But the new study pinpoints the extent of sea level rise more concretely, and details when and how the ocean was rising locally, incorporating advanced sea level models and high-resolution topography.
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#181

Post by Kriselda Gray »

Very interesting - thanks for posting this!
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#182

Post by RTH10260 »

Vietnam records highest ever temperature of 44.1C
Report comes after neighbouring countries also register unprecedented highs during April heatwave

Agence France-Presse in Hanoi
Sun 7 May 2023 18.37 BST

Vietnam has reported a record-high temperature of 44.1C (111.38F), as weather experts and authorities told the population to remain indoors during the hottest parts of the day.

Scientists have said global warming is aggravating adverse weather. Neighbouring countries registered record temperatures during a heatwave in Asia in April.

Vietnam’s record was measured indoors at Hoi Xuan station in northern Thanh Hoa province on Saturday, the National Centre for Hydro Meteorological Forecasting said, breaking the 2019 record of 43.4C.

Nguyen Thi Lan, a farmer, said temperatures in the central city of Danang had forced workers to start their days earlier than ever. “We have had to finish before 10am to avoid the heat,” she said.

Vietnam’s weather varies from north to south, but the country as a whole is now entering its hottest summer months.

“This is a worrying record in the context of climate change and global warming,” Nguyen Ngoc Huy, a climate change expert, said from the capital, Hanoi. “I believe this record will be repeated many times. It confirms that extreme climate models are being proven to be true.”

Danang officials have asked Vietnam’s industry and electricity ministries to “cooperate to effectively deal with the heat, possible drought and lack of water,” according to state media.

Officials have also told the city’s water supply company to ensure there are adequate supplies of water for domestic use.

On Saturday, Hanoi city centre was almost empty at midday as many people remained indoors to avoid the sun..

The Thai meteorological department reported a record-equalling 44.6C in western Tak province in April, while Myanmar media said a town in the country’s east reported 43.8C, the highest in a decade.

Both countries usually endure a hot period before the rainy season, but the intensity of the heat has exceeded previous records.




https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/ ... re-of-441c
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#183

Post by Volkonski »

Greenland Ice Sheet melting faster than previously thought, scientists say

https://abcnews.go.com/US/greenland-ice ... d=99168848
One of the coldest regions on the planet appears to be losing its ability to retain the frigid climate necessary to regulate temperatures in the rest of the world.

Scientists have determined that in the last 10 to 20 years of steady global warming, the ocean has played an "important role" in the evolution of glaciers, Eric Rignot, professor of system science at the University of California, Irvine, and author of the study, told ABC News.

Melting at the interface between ice sheets and the ocean in the Arctic is much more extensive than previously estimated, according to a study published Monday in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

What is happening at the grounding line -- the junction between a grounded ice sheet and the ocean -- led the researchers to discover much more melting that previously thought at Petermann Glacier in Greenland, according to the paper.

However, the researchers found that the seawater is "regularly' intruding beneath the glacier for a sizeable distance that was initially assumed to be "very small," Rignot said.

:snippity:

Researchers found that the grounding line of the Petermann Glacier migrates with the tidal cycle over distances of 2 to 6 kilometers -- or up to 3.7 miles -- with the largest retreats occurring along preexisting subglacial outlet channels, according to the study.

Unlike previous models, the highest ice sheet melt rates recorded were within the zone of grounding line migration, which was estimated to be around 60–100 meters of ice melt per year -- or up to 328 feet per year.
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#184

Post by AndyinPA »

https://www.theguardian.com/environment ... al-heating
Svalbard, the Norwegian archipelago that lies deep inside the Arctic Circle, is on the frontline of global heating. This remote, largely barren cluster of rock, glacial ice and snow is experiencing observable, unsettling climate-induced transformation.

Studies suggest Svalbard is warming six times faster than the global average, with some researchers predicting that, by 2100, its glaciers will be losing ice at double the current rate, regardless of whether global climate targets are hit.

“The climate on Svalbard is altering dramatically,” says Andrea Spolaor, who studies environmental chemistry at the Italian National Research Council. “This is a worrying situation for the archipelago, but at the same time provides a case study for understanding the effects on the environment. To understand change one must measure it, and Svalbard is, unfortunately, a good example.”

For scientists and researchers, there is no shortage of perturbing phenomena to assess: retreating glaciers, decreased snow cover, extreme precipitation, disappearing sea ice, avalanches, imperilled flora and fauna. No part of Svalbard, it seems, is immune to its climate predicament.
Interesting. I'll be there next year.
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#185

Post by raison de arizona »

Heat Will Likely Soar to Record Levels in Next 5 Years, New Analysis Says

Global temperatures are likely to soar to record highs over the next five years, driven by human-caused warming and a climate pattern known as El Niño, forecasters at the World Meteorological Organization said on Wednesday.

The record for Earth’s hottest year was set in 2016. There is a 98 percent chance that at least one of the next five years will exceed that, the forecasters said, while the average from 2023 to ’27 will almost certainly be the warmest for a five-year period ever recorded.

“This will have far-reaching repercussions for health, food security, water management and the environment,” said Petteri Taalas, the secretary general of the meteorological organization. “We need to be prepared.”
:snippity:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/17/clim ... ecast.html
https://public.wmo.int/en/media/press-r ... five-years
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#186

Post by RTH10260 »

same
World likely to breach 1.5C climate threshold by 2027, scientists warn
UN agency says El Niño and human-induced climate breakdown could combine to push temperatures into ‘uncharted territory’

Fiona Harvey Environment editor
Wed 17 May 2023 11.00 BST

The world is almost certain to experience new record temperatures in the next five years, and temperatures are likely to rise by more than 1.5C above pre-industrial levels, scientists have warned.

The breaching of the crucial 1.5C threshold, which scientists have warned could have dire consequences, should be only temporary, according to research from the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO).

However, it would represent a marked acceleration of human impacts on the global climate system, and send the world into “uncharted territory”, the UN agency warned.

Countries have pledged, under the 2015 Paris climate agreement, to try to hold global temperatures to no higher than 1.5C above pre-industrial levels, after scientific advice that heating beyond that level would unleash a cascade of increasingly catastrophic and potentially irreversible impacts.

Prof Petteri Taalas, the secretary general of the WMO, said: “This report does not mean that we will permanently exceed the 1.5C specified in the Paris agreement, which refers to long-term warming over many years. However, WMO is sounding the alarm that we will breach the 1.5C level on a temporary basis with increasing frequency.”

Global average surface temperatures have never before breached the 1.5C threshold. The highest average in previous years was 1.28C above pre-industrial levels.



https://www.theguardian.com/environment ... o-research
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#187

Post by Lani »

Jakarta is sinking, and Indonesia’s president has chosen to move the capital.
https://mail.google.com/mail/u/0/#inbox ... LGrCvgTDnL
The encroaching sea presents a threat to one of the world’s most densely packed cities, where 10 million people live in an area about half the size of New York City, and another 20 million reside in the surrounding region. To deal with that threat, Indonesia’s popular president — Joko Widodo, in his ninth year in office — has devised an audacious solution: He is moving the country’s capital.

The new capital, now under construction, is called Nusantara. It is being built from the ground up, about 800 miles from the current capital. Joko promises that the city will be a model of environmental stewardship, carbon neutral within a few decades.
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#188

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https://e360.yale.edu/features/climate- ... re-cooling

There is a paradox at the heart of our changing climate. While the blanket of air close to the Earth’s surface is warming, most of the atmosphere above is becoming dramatically colder. The same gases that are warming the bottom few miles of air are cooling the much greater expanses above that stretch to the edge of space.

This paradox has long been predicted by climate modelers, but only recently quantified in detail by satellite sensors. The new findings are providing a definitive confirmation on one important issue, but at the same time raising other questions.

The good news for climate scientists is that the data on cooling aloft do more than confirm the accuracy of the models that identify surface warming as human-made. A new study published this month in the journal PNAS by veteran climate modeler Ben Santer of the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution found that it increased the strength of the “signal” of the human fingerprint of climate change fivefold, by reducing the interference “noise” from background natural variability. Sander says the finding is “incontrovertible.”

But the new discoveries about the scale of cooling aloft are leaving atmospheric physicists with new worries — about the safety of orbiting satellites, about the fate of the ozone layer, and about the potential of these rapid changes aloft to visit sudden and unanticipated turmoil on our weather below.
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#189

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‘Worthless’: Chevron’s carbon offsets are mostly junk and some may harm, research says
Exclusive: investigation finds energy giant’s efforts to offset its huge emissions rely on schemes with little impact

Nina Lakhani in New York
Wed 24 May 2023 09.00 BST

A new investigation into Chevron’s climate pledge has found the fossil-fuel company relies on “junk” carbon offsets and “unviable” technologies, which do little to offset its vast greenhouse gas emissions and in some cases may actually be causing communities harm.

Chevron, which reported $35.5bn in profits last year, is the US’s second-largest fossil fuel company with operations stretching from Canada and Brazil to the UK, Nigeria and Australia.

Despite major expansions in five continents, Chevron has said that it “aspires” to achieve net zero upstream emissions by 2050. To do this, it is mostly relying on carbon offset schemes – environmental projects meant to cancel out its greenhouse gas emissions – and carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies.

New research by Corporate Accountability, a non-profit, transnational corporate watchdog, found that 93% of the offsets Chevron bought and counted towards its climate targets from voluntary carbon markets between 2020 and 2022 were too environmentally problematic to be classified as anything other than worthless or junk.

A carbon offset is characterized as having low environmental integrity, or being worthless, if it is linked to a forest or plantation or green energy project, including those involving hydroelectric dams, that doesn’t lead to additional greenhouse gas reductions, exaggerates benefits or risks emitting emissions, among other measures.

Many of Chevron’s offset purchases focus on forests, plantations or large dams.

According to the report shared exclusively with the Guardian, almost half of Chevron’s “worthless” offsets are also linked to alleged social and environmental harms – mostly in communities in the global south, which are also often the most affected by the climate crisis.

“Chevron’s junk climate action agenda is destructive and reckless, especially in light of climate science underscoring the only viable way forward is an equitable and urgent fossil fuel phase-out,” said Rachel Rose Jackson from Corporate Accountability.




https://www.theguardian.com/environment ... ate-crisis
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#190

Post by AndyinPA »

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/ ... t-climate/
For the second year in a row, a late-spring heat wave is forcing schools in the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic and Great Lakes region to close, send kids home early or shift to remote learning. Climate change is making hot days before the end of the school year more common across northern states where many schools lack air conditioning, especially in urban areas that tend to heat up the most.

:snippity:

In addition to the schools in Michigan, 40 public schools in Pittsburgh shifted to remote learning Thursday and Friday, the Associated Press reported. More than a dozen Baltimore City Public Schools and 90 public schools in Philadelphia closed early Friday. Near the beginning of the school year, schools in Philadelphia were closed early on two days in late August because of heat, while heat closed schools in Denver for multiple days in early September.
Edited to add: Just heard on news that the Obama Academy will not go back to classes for the last two weeks of school. I am sure my granddaughter will not be happy.

Second edit: I would be wrong. She cheered! :shrug:
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#191

Post by raison de arizona »

US climate change lawsuit seeks $50 billion, citing 2021 heat wave

An Oregon county on Thursday sued Exxon (XOM.N), Chevron (CVX.N), other major oil and coal companies, and industry groups, seeking over $50 billion to counter the harms caused by extreme weather fueled by climate change.

Multnomah County said in the lawsuit filed in state court in Portland that fossil fuel companies and trade groups like the American Petroleum Institute intentionally deceived the public about the dangers of burning their products for decades. It said the companies and trade groups must now help pay for past and future harms from the extreme weather that has resulted, including a 2021 heat wave in the Pacific Northwest that killed dozens.

Rather than acknowledge the dangers of climate change, the lawsuit said the fossil fuel industry worked to undermine the scientific consensus around the problem "with pseudo-science, fabricated doubt, and a well-funded, sustained public relations campaign to promote their spin."

The lawsuit also targets the consulting firm McKinsey, which it said advises major oil companies, including on strategies to downplay or deny the link between greenhouse gas emissions and extreme weather.
:snippity:
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-cli ... 023-06-22/
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#192

Post by raison de arizona »

New all-time record for single day ice melt:
Image
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#193

Post by Volkonski »

BNO News
@BNONews@mastodon.social
Thursday was the world's hottest day ever recorded with a global temperature of 17.23°C (63.01°F), the 3rd record this week - CCI
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#194

Post by Dave from down under »

https://www.abc.net.au/news/science/202 ... /102574376

A small lake near the Canada-US border has been chosen as the site that may define the start of a new geological epoch called the Anthropocene.

Key points:
Some scientists believe Earth has entered a new epoch called the Anthropocene
Defining the beginning of a new epoch requires identifying rapid change in the global geological record
An international panel voted Crawford Lake in Canada as the primary location to define the start of the Anthropocene

The spot — named Crawford Lake — was picked from a list of a dozen contenders by a panel called the Anthropocene Working Group, who announced their decision at the International Congress on Stratigraphy in Lille overnight.

The vote is the culmination of a three-year project to find the most suitable site, Colin Waters, chair of the working group, said.

It's also one step closer to confirming that Earth has entered a new epoch — one triggered by burning fossil fuels, nuclear bomb tests and other human activity.

The current epoch, the Holocene, started roughly 11,700 years ago. As seen in climate signatures from cores drilled from a Greenland icesheet, it's when the planet started warming after the relatively chilly Pleistocene.

The idea that humans have forced changes to the planet so substantive that we've shifted into a new epoch was first popularised by the late Dutch chemist and Nobel Laureate Paul Crutzen in 2000.

He proposed the term "Anthropocene" — derived from the Greek "anthropo" for "man" and "cene" for "new" — at a conference.

The reaction, Jürgen Renn from the Max Planck Institute of Geoanthroplogy in Germany said, was "very intense".

"It pointed to these global impacts of humanity ... it's not just about climate change. It's not just biodiversity loss. It's not just ... that humans are moving. It's all of this together."
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#195

Post by raison de arizona »

97 degrees?? That's crazy.
Ocean heat around Florida is ‘unprecedented,’ and scientists are warning of major impacts

A sudden marine heat wave off the coast of Florida has surprised scientists and sent water temperatures soaring to unprecedented highs, threatening one of the most severe coral bleaching events the state has ever seen.

Sea surface temperatures around Florida have reached the highest levels on record since satellites began collecting ocean data. And the warming is happening much earlier than normal – yet another example of ocean heat being amplified by the human-caused climate crisis and the extreme weather it brings.

“We didn’t expect this heating to happen so early in the year and to be so extreme,” Derek Manzello, a coordinator at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Coral Reef Watch, told CNN. “This appears to be unprecedented in our records.”

The exceptional temperatures – close to 97 degrees Fahrenheit in some areas – are more than just another alarming climate record; extreme ocean heat and its duration are critical in deciding the survival of coral reefs. Temperatures that are too hot for too long cause coral to bleach, turning a ghastly white as they expel their algal food source and slowly starve to death.

Coral that bleaches won’t always die, but the more intense the heat and the longer it lasts, the more inevitable death becomes, coral experts said.

All it takes is sea surface warming of 1 degree Celsius, or 2 to 3 degrees Fahrenheit, beyond the reef’s normal highest temperature to trigger the heat stress that leads to bleaching, according to Manzello. The sea surface temperatures around Florida are more than 2 degrees Celsius above that normal range and have been for one to two weeks, he said.

Buoys off the coast of Florida measured hot tub-like water temperatures near 97 degrees Fahrenheit on Monday in the shallow, heat-prone Florida Bay between the southern tip of Florida and the Keys. The more ecologically vital and expansive coral reefs are located east and south of the Florida Keys, but the buoy measurements indicate just how extreme the heat in Florida has been so unusually early in the summer.
:snippity:
https://kesq.com/news/national-world/cn ... impacts-2/
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#196

Post by AndyinPA »

Nearly bath water temps.
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#197

Post by Slim Cognito »

Our pool is so hot right now, it's unusable. There's nothing refreshing about it.
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#198

Post by raison de arizona »

Slim Cognito wrote: Thu Jul 13, 2023 9:27 pm Our pool is so hot right now, it's unusable. There's nothing refreshing about it.
Can you beat this?
IMG_5327.jpeg
IMG_5327.jpeg (92.13 KiB) Viewed 688 times
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#199

Post by neonzx »

Slim Cognito wrote: Thu Jul 13, 2023 9:27 pm Our pool is so hot right now, it's unusable. There's nothing refreshing about it.
Our condo community has a nice pool and a hot tub. Used to be one could spend 15 mins in the hot tub (set @ 102 degrees), then take a plunge in the unheated pool to cool off. No such luck. They seem the same temp now.
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#200

Post by Slim Cognito »

raison de arizona wrote: Thu Jul 13, 2023 9:36 pm
Slim Cognito wrote: Thu Jul 13, 2023 9:27 pm Our pool is so hot right now, it's unusable. There's nothing refreshing about it.
Can you beat this?
IMG_5327.jpeg
I'll check tomorrow but I bet I get pretty darn close. I know I've seen it at 95 and that was before the current heat wave.
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