2022 Georgia Senate Race

[Reality Check]

Here is where the remaining votes primarily are.

Fulton Warnock +65 203,945 55% 166,000
Gwinnett Warnock +30 177,785 66% 91,000
Cobb Warnock +31 153,709 54% 130,000
DeKalb Warnock +83 118,198 43% 154,000

[Frater I*I]

Oooops - Walker just now 2000 votes over Warnock

This is to be expected, as the rural deep red low pop counties are getting to 95%+ reporting...heavy dem counties are around 50-70%...

[Reality Check]

Another DeKalb vote drop. Warnock up 30k. Warnock up +82% in DeKalb and still 99k left.

[SuzieC]

YES YES YES YES YES YES

I'm very excited because I contributed much $$$ to Sen. Warnock and my Indivisible group wrote hundreds of letters and postcards for him. We are not in Georgia but I feel invested in him.

[Reality Check]

Fulton still has 155k left too. This is over.

[RTH10260]

Oooops - Walker just now 2000 votes over Warnock

This is to be expected, as the rural deep red low pop counties are getting to 95%+ reporting...heavy dem counties are around 50-70%...

Now it's time for the Great Steal

Soros really waits until the last minutes to change the program and flip the votes

[bill_g]

I'll just skip to the end when it arrives.

Hopefully GA grows a brain and retains Warnock.

[Reality Check]

NYT has really dropped the ball on their coverage. The predictions went down before 9 PM EST and are still down.

[SuzieC]

FTFNYT. It's useless.

[Reality Check]

There are still 428k votes out in the 4 large Atlanta metro counties and Warnock is winning them large margins. These may be same day votes so Warnock may not carry by what he has so far but I would rather be him.

Fulton alone has 163k remaining with Warnock leading +65%.

[SuzieC]

Dave Wasserman has called it for Warnock.

[Dr. Ken]

NYT just updated their estimated chances of winning putting warnock at 95% with a margin of 3.1 for warnock

[much ado]

NYT has really dropped the ball on their coverage. The predictions went down before 9 PM EST and are still down.

NYT estimate is working again (they say)...

Very likely Warnock
>95% chance of winning

ETA: This place is crawling with ninjas.

[Reality Check]

NYT needle back. Now Warnock at 95%!

[New Turtle]

YES YES YES YES YES YES

I'm very excited because I contributed much $$$ to Sen. Warnock and my Indivisible group wrote hundreds of letters and postcards for him. We are not in Georgia but I feel invested in him.

He appears to have improved his numbers from November across the board, a lot of this comes from strong grassroots operation.

[Dr. Ken]

YES YES YES YES YES YES

I'm very excited because I contributed much $$$ to Sen. Warnock and my Indivisible group wrote hundreds of letters and postcards for him. We are not in Georgia but I feel invested in him.

He appears to have improved his numbers from November across the board, a lot of this comes from strong grassroots operation.

Walker is underperforming his numbers from november everywhere but Pickens County where his numbers increased.

[Dr. Ken]

[Reality Check]

NYT shows an estimated margin of +3% so likely will be called tonight.

[SuzieC]

YES YES YES YES YES YES

I'm very excited because I contributed much $$$ to Sen. Warnock and my Indivisible group wrote hundreds of letters and postcards for him. We are not in Georgia but I feel invested in him.

He appears to have improved his numbers from November across the board, a lot of this comes from strong grassroots operation.

Walker is underperforming his numbers from november everywhere but Pickens County where his numbers increased.

I don't think Republicans have thousands of grassroots letter and postcard writing campaigns. They mostly rely upon billionaires dropping $$$ on states.

[bill_g]

Thank you GOP of GA for picking the weakest possible candidate to run against Sen Warnock. We appreciate it, though you could have saved us all some time and money, and yourself enormous embarrassment, by forfeiting the race from the beginning. We'll take it from here, and ensure he becomes a permanent fixture in the US Senate. Thank you very much. Or as they say in the South - Bless your heart.

[New Turtle]

NBC News called for Warnock

[sad-cafe]

HELL YEA

Rev. Warnock won

51 votes in the senate baby~~~~~~~~~~~

[Reality Check]

Warnock widening his lead now as DeKalb drop another batch. I expect the networks will call this by 11 PM unless they want to play the horse race game for ratings.

[W. Kevin Vicklund]

Hometown Heroes 2, Creepy Carpetbaggers 0

[jez]

Well, some good news, I guess:

State law does not require an automatic recount of votes. However, based on Georgia H.B. 316 (2019), a candidate can request a recount if the margin is less than or equal to 0.5%.

So, as long as the difference stays at <0.5%, they cannot request a recount unless they can prove shenanigans.