2022 Georgia Senate Race
2022 Georgia Senate Race
538's live blog is reporting the counties' percentages are breaking roughly similar to how they broke in November.
In other words, if the trends continue, Warlock will win by a narrow margin.
In other words, if the trends continue, Warlock will win by a narrow margin.
2022 Georgia Senate Race
Here's a gift link...Reality Check wrote: ↑Tue Dec 06, 2022 8:03 pmNope. it's blocked.RTH10260 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 06, 2022 7:44 pm NYT keeps running results if page kept open.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... unoff.html
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... =share-url
Is that better?
2022 Georgia Senate Race
I'm seeing it. 55.8% to 44.2% with 45% of the vote in.Reality Check wrote: ↑Tue Dec 06, 2022 8:03 pmNope. it's blocked.RTH10260 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 06, 2022 7:44 pm NYT keeps running results if page kept open.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... unoff.html
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2022 Georgia Senate Race
Walker is picking up. :p
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2022 Georgia Senate Race
NYT needle now shows leaning Warnock, 71% chance to win. Projected margin 1.8%. Many stupid people in Georgia.
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2022 Georgia Senate Race
NYT:
Projected margin Warnock +2.5%
Probability Warnock: 78%
Projected margin Warnock +2.5%
Probability Warnock: 78%
2022 Georgia Senate Race
Excuse me, Senator Werewolf.pipistrelle wrote: ↑Tue Dec 06, 2022 8:12 pmIn other words, if the trends continue, Warlock will win by a narrow margin.
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2022 Georgia Senate Race
Warnock still leading but not going in the right direction. 61% Warnock. DeKalb County only at 5% reporting.
2022 Georgia Senate Race
NYT paused its reporting with Walker leading by around 5000 votes.
Now 25,000 votes. (AP also has that count.)
Now 25,000 votes. (AP also has that count.)
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2022 Georgia Senate Race
NYT:
We have temporarily paused updates to our estimates while we investigate a data issue.
Showing Walker ahead. WTF?
We have temporarily paused updates to our estimates while we investigate a data issue.
Showing Walker ahead. WTF?
2022 Georgia Senate Race
CNN says Walker's up 50.5 to 49.5
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2022 Georgia Senate Race
I am confident that when DeKalb and Fulton counties come in Warnock will win by a comfortable margin.
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2022 Georgia Senate Race
NYT shows only 5% of DeKalb County counted with Warnock getting 75% of what is counted. 258,000 votes left. WTF are they doing?
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2022 Georgia Senate Race
Most of the Walker counties are at 80-90% reporting, Dekalb is at 5% and Fulton at about 55%
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2022 Georgia Senate Race
Small rural red counties are reporting fast as there is only one race on the ballot. Metro Atlanta is more complicated.
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2022 Georgia Senate Race
Dekalb just came in with a huge hunk of votes. Warnock back ahead.
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2022 Georgia Senate Race
Dekalb County drop puts Warnock back in the lead
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2022 Georgia Senate Race
I think this race is gonna be callable for Warnock in the next 1-2 hours
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2022 Georgia Senate Race
If the NYT is right there are are almost 1/2 million votes out in counties that Warnock is heavily favored and piss left for Walker. Warnock is 1/2% ahead right now. The NYT needle is broken.New Turtle wrote: ↑Tue Dec 06, 2022 8:58 pm I think this race is gonna be callable for Warnock in the next 1-2 hours
2022 Georgia Senate Race
Here's an interesting recent post from the Five Thirty-Eight blog...
https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/g ... ck-walker/Geoffrey Skelley
Dec. 6, 9:00 pm
We now have 95 percent or more of the expected vote reporting from 93 counties, more than half of the 159 in Georgia. In those counties, which are mostly GOP-heavy rural areas, Walker leads by 26 points. But he’s actually doing about 0.3 points worse by margin in those counties than he did in November, and since Warnock led the initial vote by 1 point, Walker needs more. You can see this to some extent in the table below, as Warnock is tending to outperform the November vote margin in these places more often than Walker.
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2022 Georgia Senate Race
Oooops - Walker just now 2000 votes over Warnock