2014 US Senate: Iowa

Joseph Robidoux III
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2014 US Senate: Iowa

#26

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Tue Feb 18, 2014 4:55 pm

Bob Vander Plaats decides not to run for the Senate.


He [Bob Vander Plaats] is an influential evangelical Christian [and egotistical maniac] in Iowa and helped to launch the presidential prospects of former Arkansas Gov Mike Huckabee (R) and former Sen. Rick Santorum (R-Pa.), both of whom won the state’s last two presidential caucuses. He also ran for governor in 2010 but lost in the primary to Iowa Gov. Terry Branstad (R).





Democrats hoped that Vander Plaats would run and repeat the experience of Rep. Todd Akin (R-Mo.), who rose to national attention in the 2012 Senate race in Missouri with controversial remarks about “legitimate rape.”





National Republicans had worried that he would coast through the state’s June primary but could lose the general election to the Democrat in the race, Rep. Bruce Braley (Iowa).


[/break1]com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/198494-conservative-leader-turns-down-senate-run]http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/sen ... senate-runVander Plaats could make Todd Akin look sane.

SPen
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#27

Post by SPen » Wed Feb 19, 2014 1:45 am

Yeah that one hurt us, We could have really benefited from him jumping into the race because he probably would have won the primary and then would have promptly gotten run over by Braley. This race is still looking pretty good for us though, Braley is fundraising like a champion.

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bob
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#28

Post by bob » Wed Apr 09, 2014 6:14 pm

Think Progress: [/break1]org/election/2014/04/09/3424617/sam-clovis-obama-impeachment/]Senate Candidate Says Obama Hasn’t Been Impeached Because He’s Black:Sam Clovis, an Iowa Republican running for U.S. Senate, thinks the only reason President Obama has not been impeached by the House of Representatives is because he is the nation’s first black president. “I would say there are people in the House of Representatives right now that would very much like to take the opportunity to start the process,” Clovis said in an interview with the Daily Times Herald. “And I think the reason that they’re not is because they’re concerned about the media.” Clovis clarified that this concern is over Obama being a black president. “It’s not that what he has done would not rise to the level where it might be impeachable,” he added, explaining that it still is not a “practical, pragmatic issue.” Referencing President Clinton’s impeachment, Clovis said, “Now we have a situation where race is thrown into the cards as well. Whether we like it or not, race is an issue.”
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SPen
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#29

Post by SPen » Thu Apr 10, 2014 9:29 pm

We'll take it, we really need the attention to go back to the clown car GOP primary after Braley got into trouble with some remarks about Grassley that came off disrespectful to farmers/non-lawyers. The good news is that primary is still WIDE OPEN with Ernst polling in first at a measly 25%, Jacobs right behind at 23%, and Clovis a mile behind in third place at 7%. We really need June 3rd to roll around and the GOP still not have someone get to 40% in the primary. That could send it to a convention, which would up the odds considerably that the clown car primary produces anyone other than the head clown, and either way it'll benefit Braley by extending his coast towards the general. The newest Suffolk poll had Braley in a pretty good position (+8 on Ernst, +6 on Jacobs) even with a "likely voter" screen but he's still topping out at or around 40%. He could use another 3 months of stockpiling money while he focuses on moderate voters.

Joseph Robidoux III
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#30

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Wed Apr 16, 2014 11:46 pm

You knew I would eventually post one of these.
► Show Spoiler

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Sterngard Friegen
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#31

Post by Sterngard Friegen » Thu Apr 17, 2014 12:00 am

Who's the top klown?

Joseph Robidoux III
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#32

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Thu Apr 17, 2014 12:59 am

Who's the top klown?Since Congressman Steve King and fellow RWNJ Bob Vander Plaats both declined to run, my vote for top klown would go to former radio commentator Sam Clovis.Vander Platts would have boosted state economic growth with increased Pepto Bismol sales for Republicans had he run and captured the nomination. We missed a very entertaining race.I would love to see this nomination go to a convention.http://www.thefogbow.com/forum/viewtopi ... 41#p581041

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realist
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#33

Post by realist » Wed Apr 30, 2014 6:59 am

Who's the top klown?My vote...





http://www.thefogbow.com/forum/viewtopi ... 21#p606721





[link]The Raw Story,http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2014/04/29/i ... lical-law/[/link]





Iowa’s GOP Senate candidates vow to block judges who won’t follow ‘biblical law’





Four Republican candidates for the U.S. Senate fell over themselves to show deference to religious right voters in a forum sponsored Friday by The Family Leader.





Right Wing Watch reported three of the candidates vowed they would block federal judge nominees who did not adhere to “natural law,” which the candidates described as handed down by God.





Radio host and retired Air Force colonel Sam Clovis (pictured above) said he would use natural law as a “litmus test” for judges, while Sarah Palin-backed state Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Red Oak) said judges and senators should understand U.S. laws “come from God” and make their decisions “within that criteria.” ](*,)





But Matt Whitaker, [highlight]a former federal prosecutor, declared his opponents had not gone “far enough”[/highlight] and said [highlight]he would demand federal judicial nominees be “people of faith”[/highlight] who “have a biblical view of justice.”





[...]





Iowa Democrats had urged Republicans to denounce [highlight]the event’s moderator, conservative pundit Erick Erickson,[/highlight] :roll: for his comments on women and LGBT people, and about 10 Democrats stood outside the forum in protest.read more at the link
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Joseph Robidoux III
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#34

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Wed May 21, 2014 4:37 pm

Iowa state Sen Joni Ernst now enjoys a big lead over the other klowns candidates. The only question appears to be can Ernst avoid a state Republican convention selecting their nominee.


[/break1]photobucket.com/user/Joseph_Robidoux_III/media/Politics/2014%20Elections/2014%20US%20Senate/Iowa/USSenateIARepPrimary2014-05-21_zps005c9955.jpg.html]http://i1143.photobucket.com/albums/n63 ... 5c9955.jpg


[/break1]realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/ia/iowa_senate_republican_primary-3644.html]http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -3644.html

Joseph Robidoux III
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#35

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Wed May 21, 2014 9:41 pm

The Sarah Palin endorsed candidate, Joni Ernst, told The Des Moines Register she still believes there were weapons of mass destruction in Iraq at the time of the US invasion.


[Joni] Ernst told The Des Moines Register's editorial board on Friday: "We don't know that there were weapons on the ground when we went in, however, I do have reason to believe there were weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. That was the intelligence that was operated on. I have reason to believe there was weapons of mass destruction. My husband served in Saudi Arabia as an Army Central Command sergeant major for a year and that's a hot-button topic in that area."





Democratic operatives began to circulate Ernst's comments in an effort to tangle up her campaign, noting that President George W. Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney have long said that the intelligence on weapons justifying the war was wrong.


[/break1]desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/elections/2014/05/12/joni-ernst-wmd/9003823/]http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/ ... d/9003823/A video of Ernst's comments is available at the above link.





Ernst is now backpedaling from that statement.

Joseph Robidoux III
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#36

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Wed May 28, 2014 6:20 pm

Iowa state Sen Joni Ernst is not getting a lot of love from The Iowa Republican.


Earlier this week, Philip Rucker and Dan Balz of the Washington Post wrote an article about how Joni Ernst’s television ad about castrating hogs transformed Iowa’s Republican U.S. Senate race. Indeed, the provocative ad did more for Ernst’s candidacy than anything else she had done in the race, but does the ad’s pork cutting message stand up to the record that Ernst has compiled in the four years she has served in the Iowa Senate?





During Ernst’s tenure in the Iowa Senate, state spending has increased by nearly a billion dollars. The state budget ballooned from $6.010 billion in fiscal year 2012 to $6.959 billion for fiscal year 2015, which begins in July. That accounts for almost a 14 percent increase in spending over the four years that Ernst has been in the legislature. Federal spending over the same time period has actually grown at a much slower rate. Federal spending increased from $3.7956 trillion in fiscal year 2012 to $4.0595 trillion in fiscal year 2015, an increase of six percent.








An examination of Ernst’s senate record shows that she has never offered an amendment that would cut spending in her time in the Iowa Senate. Perhaps that’s why Ernst uses her experience on the farm castrating pigs to tout her pork cutting in her campaign ad and not her record in the Iowa Senate. In fact, instead of cutting pork in the Iowa Senate, Ernst has a record of sponsoring amendments that actually increase spending.


[/break1]com/2014/ernsts-record-in-iowa-senate-lacks-any-effort-to-cut-state-spending/]http://theiowarepublican.com/2014/ernst ... -spending/Another Republican candidate that is all mouth. No wonder Sarah Palin endorsed her.

SPen
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#37

Post by SPen » Wed May 28, 2014 9:11 pm

Good, we need her to fizzle. We desperately need her to fall short of the 35% threshold on Tuesday so that a nominating convention, dominated by party hacktivists, will determine their nominee. It's really our only chance to get a non-Ernst/Jacobs nominee at this point.

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#38

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Thu Jun 19, 2014 2:45 pm

The Iowa Republican Convention has some offices where they have to select a nominee (including US House 3rd CD); unfortunately this won't be one of them.





June 3, 2014 Primary Results


US Senator -- Republican


Joni Ernst..........88,692....56.1%


Sam Clovis.........28,434....18.0%


Mark Jacobs.......26,582....16.8%


Matt Whitaker....11,909......7.5%


Scott Schaben......2,270......1.4%


Write-in...............144......0.1%


Party Total......158,031


[/break1]sos.iowa.gov/Views/TabularData.aspx?TabView=StateRaces]http://electionresults.sos.iowa.gov/Vie ... StateRaces^Federal%20/%20Statewide%20Races^83&ElectionID=83

Joseph Robidoux III
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#39

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Thu Jun 19, 2014 10:55 pm

[/break1]photobucket.com/user/Joseph_Robidoux_III/media/Politics/2014%20Elections/2014%20US%20Senate/Iowa/USSenateIA2014-06-19_zpsb3bfabe9.jpg.html]http://i1143.photobucket.com/albums/n63 ... epublicans searched in vain for a top-flight candidate, while Democrats settled upon Rep. Bruce Braley. Many analysts concluded that Democrats would hold the seat. But Braley’s campaign has been beset by gaffes, while Republicans coalesced around state Sen. Joni Ernst. Some still fear that Ernst won’t hold up to the rigors of a long campaign in the spotlight, but for now, this looks to be a very competitive race.[/break1]realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/ia/iowa_senate_ernst_vs_braley-3990.html]http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -3990.htmlThis race is Congressman Braley's to lose. Actually both candidates would be better off if their campaign manager duct taped their boss's mouth shut.

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#40

Post by Suranis » Thu Jun 19, 2014 11:03 pm

The sad thing is that the more someone needs to have thier mouths duct taped, the less likely it is that they would accept duct taping.
Learn to Swear in Latin. Profanity with class!
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SPen
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#41

Post by SPen » Fri Jun 20, 2014 2:45 am

I'm not sure who at RCP wrote the blurb quoted above (not that it really matters), but this actually is not a competitive race right now. It's true Braley has had to deal with some totally forgettable gaffes (his comments about Senator Chuck Grassley is really the only one that has stuck), but Ernst has actually committed more gaffes and missteps by a wide margin. Her characterization of the California shooting was just the latest in a long string of them.Braley will have to work, but he probably has a 6-8 lead right now and that's probably what the final margin will be. Ernst's policy positions are HILARIOUSLY out of sync with a tilts-Democratic state like Iowa, they'd actually be offbase even in a tilts-Republican state. Her positions on Iraq, Social Security, and climate regulations to name a few are simply untenable to a majority of the state/national electorate.

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#42

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Fri Jun 20, 2014 2:03 pm

I don't have any faith in the Quinnipiac or Loras College polls. I'd like to believe you're right but unless you have access to a more recent Public Policy Polling, Rasmussen Reports or somebody's internal polling I have to use what's available. Rasmussen's Ernst +1 and PPP's Braley +6 suggest to me Braley is leading somewhere around +3. YMMV.

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#43

Post by SPen » Fri Jun 20, 2014 9:47 pm

I don't have any faith in the Quinnipiac or Loras College polls. I'd like to believe you're right but unless you have access to a more recent Public Policy Polling, Rasmussen Reports or somebody's internal polling I have to use what's available. Rasmussen's Ernst +1 and PPP's Braley +6 suggest to me Braley is leading somewhere around +3. YMMV.Rasmussen is absolute trash, their surveys shouldn't be considered in any calculus no matter what their toplines show. Their polls shouldn't be included in any aggregate. The Loras poll should also be dismissed out of hand.Because Quinnipiac didn't poll the state in 2012, they don't really have a baseline to judge against. Most of their 2014 polls have had a noticeable Republican-friendly house effect ranging from just a couple of points (CT-GOV, FL-GOV) to an absurd degree (CO-GOV, OH-GOV). When adjusted for house effect, they are showing a pretty stable Braley lead in the mid-single digits. PPP will likely be back in the state over the next couple of weeks, and now that Ernst has won the nomination there might be some other media firms such as NBC/WSJ parachuting into the state to find their baseline for the race for the fall.

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#44

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Mon Jul 21, 2014 10:56 pm

Real Clear Politics has added just 1 new poll result since my June 19, 2014 post above. NBC News/Marist has Braley and Ernst tied at 43.[/break1]realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/ia/iowa_senate_ernst_vs_braley-3990.html]http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -3990.htmlThe Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee is launching a major ad buy in Iowa, the latest sign of Democratic worries about holding retiring Sen. Tom Harkin's (D-Iowa) seat.The ad hits Iowa state Sen. Joni Ernst (R) on Social Security.The DSCC's $515,000 statewide broadcast buy, which is scheduled to last two weeks, is the latest indication that the committee is concerned about the seat.[/break1]com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/212921-dscc-launching-big-ad-buy-in-iowa]http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/sen ... uy-in-iowa

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#45

Post by SPen » Tue Jul 22, 2014 12:32 am

I believe that this is ultimately a good move for the DSCC because realistically they were not going to get away with not spending here this year. Braley is a better candidate and a better campaigner but in this post-Citizens United political atmosphere every Democrat is going to get hammered by outside spending if the race is anything other than Safe Democratic/Safe Republican.





The Braley camp has a TON of material to work with on Ernst. She is truly a terrible fit for the state as her policy positions fall wayyyyy outside the mainstream, even in Iowa which is a state with a very narrow Democratic tilt. Braley faces the same problem that many Democrats face related to the above, and that specifically plagues Kay Hagan and Mary Landrieu, that their campaigns have to be very sure-handed about the way they spend their money over the course of the election cycle. All of the Democrats who are campaigning in the states that will determine who controls the Senate are going to face tens of millions of dollars in outside spending, mostly in negative attacks against them, and the practical effect is that the Democrats can't go on the air if there's even a chance that they'll run out of money before November. They don't want to burn through their war chests and their best material in July when few people are paying attention, only to end up with no money in October and when Republican campaigns combined with Rove/Kochworld/Chamber/NRA are dumping $10-$50 million against each of them.

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#46

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Sat Aug 16, 2014 6:22 pm




The Braley camp has a TON of material to work with on Ernst. She is truly a terrible fit for the state as her policy positions fall wayyyyy outside the mainstream, even in Iowa which is a state with a very narrow Democratic tilt.


Unsurprisingly, SPen was right, again.


The latest primary comments that could haunt her Senate bid are on the topic of Agenda 21, a community planning provision in a decades-old United Nations treaty that’s become an object of fear and conspiracy theories on the right, and especially in the commentaries and writing of Glenn Beck.





Yahoo News has obtained video showing Ernst at a January GOP forum in Montgomery County, Iowa, warning that Agenda 21 could force Iowa farmers off their land, dictate what cities Iowans must live in, and control how Iowa citizens travel from place to place.





Of course, wacky ideas from Glenn Beck aren’t the only area of concern surrounding her candidacy. As Rachel noted on the show in June, Ernst has also said she would ban abortions and many forms of birth control; she would privatize Social Security and abolish the minimum wage; she would back an anti-gay amendment to the Constitution; she’s open to impeaching President Obama for unknown reason; and she believes there’s secret information that Saddam Hussein really did have weapons of mass destruction.





Since then, we’ve also learned Ernst believes states can nullify federal laws they don’t like and the war in Iraq shouldn’t have ended.


[/break1]msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/iowas-ernst-has-raised-fears-agenda-21-conspiracy]http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show ... conspiracy

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#47

Post by SPen » Sun Aug 17, 2014 9:19 am

And that doesn't even cover THIS, which is the most-recent revelation:www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/08/15/joni- ... 82606.html



Joni Ernst Suggested Medicaid Recipients Have No 'Personal Responsibility' For Their Health



Here's the money quote:



Iowa has nearly 500,000 Medicaid enrollees. If the program is expanded, it is estimated the Medicaid population will grow by an additional 110,000 to 181,000 recipients who have no personal responsibility for their health and no accountability for the care provided



Ernst's campaign is in crisis mode, trying to walk it back by laughably claiming that she was talking about the "bureaucrats" who would have no personal responsibility for the care provided. I know the Braley campaign is being patient and holding their fire for near or after Labor Day when more people start paying attention, and I agree with the strategy, but it is soon time to start firing so that they can totally nuke Ernst. The "Palin from Iowa," as she proudly call herself, has gotten the ultimate free pass up to this point: she beat a bunch of nobodies in the primary by a large margin and rather than the media focus on how the Iowa GOP's first seven choices decided to pass on the race, it's focusing on how she beat a bunch of nobodies and also-rans by a large percentage.

It's time to nuke her. It's not just the policy positions that are so far out of the mainstream for Iowa, it's that she makes a seemingly-disqualifying verbal gaffe every single week. If it's not black helicopters, it's this shit. If it's not this, it's talking about state's being able to nullify federal laws they don't like. She's an embarrassment.

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#48

Post by Dr. Kenneth Noisewater » Fri Oct 10, 2014 5:28 pm

This is looking like a serious conflict of interest as well as an ethics violation:



http://www.salon.com/2014/10/07/exclusi ... questions/







A construction company owned by GOP Iowa Senate candidate Joni Ernst’s father received more than $200,000 in county contracts while she served as auditor of Montgomery County, Iowa, despite a strict conflict of interest code governing the provision of contracts to family members of county officials.A new review of records — as well as an analysis of the Code of Iowa — by Salon reveals that the nature of the contracts and how they were promulgated, may have violated relevant county standards...

The Iowa Code lays out stringent conflict of interest standards for county contracts. Chapter 331 of the code stipulates that “[a]n officer or employee of a county shall not have an interest, direct, or indirect, in a contract with that county.” The provision applies if 5 percent of a company’s outstanding stock is owned by either a county employee or an immediate family member – including a parent – of an employee.



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