http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/ ... cts-213430
A site which shows all the various markets isThe attention and research lavished on your presidential race by overseas betters would astonish American observers. During the last presidential election in 2012, Betfair, the world's biggest peer-to-peer betting exchange (for which I write as a freelance political analyst), saw a record $200 million traded on the main “Next President” market
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us- ... 016/winner
The writer suggests that at this time that Hilary Clinton will win in 2016 with 54% of the vote. this seems to be borne out by all the betting markets. We are , of course, a fair way out from the election and things could change dramatically but these results have been consistent for some time but I would like to point out that even a 200 to 1 long shot can occasionally win a big race.
The author makes the point, that because of the vast amount of information available on the American scene, that there a much greater confidence in the result than gambling on sports.