Democratic friends, There's a huge opportunity here, the generic ballot is now +7 Democratic. It can happen if we all work hard the next 30 days. We have to play like we're 10 points behind.
Please consider helping, with the Call Tool you can make a few calls from home.
Almost every area needs volunteers.
We know how dangerous the Orange Menace is but a lot of voters don't know that Republicans in general support his ideas. If we can get that word out we can see a wave.
Sabato today with Senate rankings:
The Senate now seems likely to be decided by six Toss-up races: Republican-held seats in Indiana, Missouri, New Hampshire, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania, as well as a Democratic-held seat in Nevada. The disparity between these half-dozen races and every other Senate race is clear from Map 2, our updated Senate race ratings.
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crysta ... lege-edge/
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/20 ... ising.html
The Odds of a Democratic Sweep Next Month Are Small But Rising
By Ed Kilgore October 10, 2016 12:46 p.m.
After the wild events of the last few days, the whole political world is awaiting the fallout. The talk over the weekend of the Republican Party somehow replacing Donald Trump as its presidential nominee against his wishes was never very convincing, and will presumably stop after his base-pleasing second presidential debate performance.
During an extensive discussion at Vox on the math of House Democratic prospects, Jeff Stein quotes congressional election specialist Geoffrey Skelley suggesting a six-point Clinton win would put the House “in play.” By that he means Clinton would carry about 50 House districts currently controlled by Republicans, which should give the Democratic candidates in those districts a crucial advantage. It might not be enough to flip the House, however, in part because some districts have relatively weak Democratic challengers running against well-financed and even popular GOP incumbents, and in part because it’s unclear what Gary Johnson voters will do in down-ballot races. If Clinton gets an actual majority of the popular vote, the odds of a Democratic House will go up significantly.
Such calculations do not take into account the possibility of a massive shift of resources by the Republican National Committee and pro-GOP super-pacs from the presidential to down-ballot races, which could give GOP congressional candidates a lift relative to their beleaguered presidential nominee. And for some time now there has been speculation that congressional Republican leaders might signal a pivot to what is known as a “checks and balances” message that all but concedes the presidential race and warns voters they need a GOP Congress to make sure Hillary Clinton does not do crazy liberal things. Indeed, there are reports today that Speaker Paul Ryan is doing just that.