https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/po ... 630_IN.pdfA recently conducted survey in Indiana’s 5th Congressional District1 shows Democrats in a strong early position to pick up a seat long held by Republicans. President Trump’s deep unpopularity in this district is helping propel Democrats to a strong showing in this suburban district, which is moving away from Republicans at warp speed.
While there is still significant time before Election Day, the signs in this district are encouraging
for Hale and the Democrats as they seek to add to their margins in the House next year.
The following are some key findings from the data:
- Biden has double-digit advantage over Trump. Donald Trump won Indiana’s Fifth
Congressional District comfortably in 2016, but that would not be the case again if the
election were held today. Presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden leads the
incumbent by a 53 – 43 percent margin.
President Trump’s approval rating in IN-5 is just 41 percent, with 57 percent expressing
disapproval (including 50 percent who strongly disapprove).
Christina Hale leading Victoria Spartz. The open seat for the U.S. Congress here also
favors Democrats today, with Christina Hale holding a 51 – 45 percent lead over
Republican Victoria Spartz.
Yet another House seat the Dems have a chance of picking up.