Nevada 4th CD 2018

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Addie
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Nevada 4th CD 2018

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Post by Addie » Fri Oct 12, 2018 10:53 am

Cook Political: House Rating Changes: Post-Kavanaugh Polls Reveal an Even More Polarized Landscape ...

NV-04: OPEN (Kihuen) (D) - South central: northern Las Vegas suburbs
Lean Democratic.


Democrats were relieved when freshman Rep. Ruben Kihuen, accused of making unwanted sexual advances to a campaign aide, didn't file. But former Democratic Rep. Steven Horsford, who held this seat for a term before losing to Republican Cresent Hardy 49 percent to 46 percent, is once again struggling to put Hardy away in a rematch.

The 4th CD is 54 percent non-white and voted for Hillary Clinton 50 percent to 45 percent in 2016. The only reason Hardy won in 2014 was that Democratic turnout plummeted in the absence of a competitive statewide race and Horsford was caught napping That won't be the case in 2018, as amped up Democrats fight to turn out voters for competitive Senate and governor races.

But Horsford retains high negatives from his 2014 race, and the NRCC is on air rehashing Horsford's old defaults on car and home loans as well as a new attack on lobbying work Horsford's public relations firm did for the South Sudan regime. Now, the DCCC and House Majority PAC are both up with ads refuting those charges. Horsford is still the favorite, but it's competitive.
Steven Horsford for Congress

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