Re: Russia Invades Ukraine
Posted: Mon Feb 28, 2022 8:31 pm
Secretary Clinton will be on with Rachel Maddow tonight.
Falsehoods Unchallenged Only Fester and Grow
http://thefogbow.com/forum/
Chris Murphy @ChrisMurphyCT wrote: Just leaving classified briefing on Ukraine crisis. A few takeaways that I can share:
1/ Confirmation that the Russians have fallen behind their timeline. Ukrainian resistance has been fierce and there have been multiple Russian equipment and logistics failures.
2/ DoD and DHS are pressing hard for Congress to end the continuing resolution and get a budget passed. There is no way for our national security agencies to be nimble enough to support Ukraine if they are operating on the 2020/21 budget.
3/ The ability to keep supply lines running to Ukraine remains alive, but Russia will try to encircle and cut off Kiev in the next several weeks. The fight for Kiev will be long and bloody and Ukrainians are rapidly preparing for street to street combat.
4/ The U.S. and allies are coordinating to not only freeze the assets of Putin and his oligarch allies, but to seize those assets as well. This is likely a further step than Putin’s inner circle anticipated.
He’s real. Old article.Kendra wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 7:45 pmraison de arizona wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 7:38 pm Looks real. Hope he has sunflower seeds in his pockets. Hope he needs them. We don’t want him back.![]()
https://www.texasmonthly.com/articles/s ... a-hacking/War of Words: Meet the Texan Trolling for Putin
In 2014, Russell Bonner Bentley was a middle-aged arborist living in Austin. Now he’s a local celebrity in a war-torn region of Ukraine—and a foot soldier in Russia’s information war.
There's been chatter on Twitter about this all day, how it's insane to have all those vehicles bunched and why would anyone do that? All I can think is Putin's hoping to draw NATO air fire so he can punch the big red button before he punches out.W. Kevin Vicklund wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 10:00 pmThat's what we refer to as a "target-rich environment"
Especially if you're a drone pilot.
I think it is more just trying to get a quick victory logistic log jam..pipistrelle wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 11:18 pmThere's been chatter on Twitter about this all day, how it's insane to have all those vehicles bunched and why would anyone do that? All I can think is Putin's hoping to draw NATO air fire so he can punch the big red button before he punches out.W. Kevin Vicklund wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 10:00 pmThat's what we refer to as a "target-rich environment"
Especially if you're a drone pilot.
(Hoping at least they run out of fuel at an inconvenient point.)
This was discussed elsewhere that the Russians were using civilian unencrypted conventional analog radios rather than military grade comms.MN-Skeptic wrote: ↑Tue Mar 01, 2022 8:18 am Excellent Twitter thread about the communications issues plaguing the Russian army -
https: //twitter.com/sbreakintl/status/1498619309618503680
I wonder if Putin wasn’t lied to by his military leaders about the readiness of his army.Slim Cognito wrote: ↑Tue Mar 01, 2022 8:28 am Is/was Putin so delusional he actually believed Ukrainians would happily surrender and the hi-tech stuff wasn't necessary? I fear what will happen in Kiev today now that we hear Putin is angry the above didn't happen, thus the km(s) long convoy heading that way. Also, he's putting the (real) nuclear option on the table. I've lived an interesting life and am strangely calm about that but I do feel really bad for the younger generations.
It’s worth mentioning that a decent portion of Russia’s army is conscripted. I can’t remember for sure, but I want to say 30%.MN-Skeptic wrote: ↑Tue Mar 01, 2022 9:06 amI feel awful for those young Russian soldiers duped into this war. They join up because of poverty at home only to find themselves in a war they don’t want. They are disposable cannon fodder for Putin and the military leaders.
Stalin wasn't ready for the Germans either.MN-Skeptic wrote: ↑Tue Mar 01, 2022 9:06 am I wonder if Putin wasn’t lied to by his military leaders about the readiness of his army.
I read somewhere that after Afghanistan, Russian laws were passed that prohibited the use of concripts in certain situations... Like what is happening now.raison de arizona wrote: ↑Tue Mar 01, 2022 9:10 amIt’s worth mentioning that a decent portion of Russia’s army is conscripted. I can’t remember for sure, but I want to say 30%.MN-Skeptic wrote: ↑Tue Mar 01, 2022 9:06 amI feel awful for those young Russian soldiers duped into this war. They join up because of poverty at home only to find themselves in a war they don’t want. They are disposable cannon fodder for Putin and the military leaders.
I can't stop thinking about that convoy. Like everyone says, it seems like such an easy target.pipistrelle wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 11:18 pmThere's been chatter on Twitter about this all day, how it's insane to have all those vehicles bunched and why would anyone do that? All I can think is Putin's hoping to draw NATO air fire so he can punch the big red button before he punches out.W. Kevin Vicklund wrote: ↑Mon Feb 28, 2022 10:00 pmThat's what we refer to as a "target-rich environment"
Especially if you're a drone pilot.
(Hoping at least they run out of fuel at an inconvenient point.)
Slim Cognito wrote: ↑Tue Mar 01, 2022 9:27 amOff Topic(Full disclosure, I LOVE haunted houses. I always seek out historic haunted hotels when I travel.)
Interesting, that appears to be the case. It also appears that Russia is playing fast and loose with their rules. I'm paywalled here, but just the headline indicates something amiss.Chilidog wrote: ↑Tue Mar 01, 2022 9:48 amI read somewhere that after Afghanistan, Russian laws were passed that prohibited the use of concripts in certain situations... Like what is happening now.raison de arizona wrote: ↑Tue Mar 01, 2022 9:10 amIt’s worth mentioning that a decent portion of Russia’s army is conscripted. I can’t remember for sure, but I want to say 30%.MN-Skeptic wrote: ↑Tue Mar 01, 2022 9:06 amI feel awful for those young Russian soldiers duped into this war. They join up because of poverty at home only to find themselves in a war they don’t want. They are disposable cannon fodder for Putin and the military leaders.
https://www.haaretz.com/world-news/euro ... 1.10633865Russian Mothers Say Soldiers Tricked Into Going to Ukraine
Russian law prohibits conscripts from being sent to the front unless they choose to sign a contract and become career soldiers. But in Ukraine, 'there are a lot of draftees. None of them signed up'
Honestly, it could be heavily guarded or it could be bait for a trap. Its been reported for days so it has to be moving extremely slowly, which could suggest its having to stop and start, which might mean it's being attacked all the time. t And frankly there could be nothing on it worth attacking, and the News is reporting on it as its a lovely visual thing they can show off.Notaperson wrote: ↑Tue Mar 01, 2022 10:24 am I can't stop thinking about that convoy. Like everyone says, it seems like such an easy target.