Suranis wrote: ↑Mon Aug 21, 2023 4:19 pmJust thought I would reference this post from back in page 72.RTH10260 wrote: ↑Tue Jan 17, 2023 2:00 amWarning of unprecedented heatwaves as El Niño set to return in 2023
Scientists say phenomenon coupled with growing climate crisis likely to push global temperatures ‘off the chart’
The return of the El Niño climate phenomenon later this year will cause global temperatures to rise “off the chart” and deliver unprecedented heatwaves, scientists have warned.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment ... ate-crisis
I don't know which of you two is having a snipe at the other.
RTH's post is, in fact, rather overly optimistic, in my opinion, because the heat did come in 2023, it didn't wait for 2024. But you know, its still likely to get even worse in 24, because the El Nino hasn't really taken hold yet.
This article is from the Aussie point of view as we are approaching spring and bracing for a sweltering summer. Our summer is going to catch the full brunt of the El Nino.
Here’s why we can expect a steep climb in global temperature this year and next
Antarctic sea ice 'should' be increasing, not decreasing. Why? Because as more ice melts from the ice pack dumping more water into the ocean, the surrounding waters gets less salty and therefore freezes more easily. But it isn't happening - so the ocean temperature is already too warm for the fresh water to have the expected impact.Now, in 2023, all kinds of records are being broken. The highest daily temperatures ever recorded globally occurred in early July, alongside the largest sea surface temperature anomaly ever.
June had its highest global mean surface temperature, according to preliminary analysis. The extent of Antarctica's sea ice has been at a record low. Meanwhile, atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations continue to increase at rates that show no sign of slowing.
...
We can expect 2023 to emerge as the warmest year to date. But sea-surface temperatures during El Niño events tend to peak about December and have the greatest influences in the subsequent two months. That sets the stage for 2024 jumping up the staircase to the next level, perhaps to 1.4℃ above pre-industrial levels, with likely daily incursions over 1.5℃.
Do NOT make me come over there and give each of you a spanking. 
