2018 Wisconsin Governor

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2018 Wisconsin Governor

#1

Post by Addie » Mon Mar 12, 2018 11:01 am

Associated Press
GOP crusader Walker reaches to center in volatile Wisconsin

JANESVILLE, Wis. (AP) — Not long ago, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker was the voice of a conservative revolution in the heartland, a Republican at the vanguard and a possible future president. Today, he's the voice of concern, warning his party — at home and nationally — that change is coming again.

In private meetings, public forums and his own policy moves, Walker has made clear he sees worrisome signs for the GOP and the hard-line conservatism that's marked his eight years in office. Wisconsin, which helped hand the White House to Republicans, is looking for something different, Walker has said, and Democrats are motivated.

A recent local election should be a "wake-up call" to the changes afoot in the rural and exurban pockets that 17 months ago voted enthusiastically for President Donald Trump, he recently told a group of GOP donors and activists. ...

While a crowded field of Democrats is seeking to oust Walker, it's not yet clear whether he faces a difficult re-election path. But his concerns echo far beyond Wisconsin, said Michael Epstein of Maryland, who was on Walker's presidential finance team and heard Walker's presentation in Las Vegas. ...

"In the end, we're a blue state and, at best, we made it purple," Walker told AP.


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Re: 2018 Wisconsin Governor

#2

Post by Addie » Thu Jul 26, 2018 5:37 pm

The Hill
Poll: Scott Walker trailing Dem challenger by 13 points

Gov. Scott Walker (R-Wisc.) is trailing Democratic challenger Tony Evers by 13 points in the upcoming Wisconsin gubernatorial race, according to a new poll released Thursday.

Forty-one percent of registered Wisconsin voters in the NBC News/Marist poll backed Walker in the race, compared to the 54 percent who supported Evers.

When asked if Walker deserves to be re-elected, 34 percent of the voters agreed with the statement. Sixty-one percent said a new person should be given a chance, and 5 percent were unsure.

Walker, who ran for president in 2016, is running for a third term.


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Re: 2018 Wisconsin Governor

#3

Post by RVInit » Thu Jul 26, 2018 7:54 pm

:cheer1:


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Re: 2018 Wisconsin Governor

#4

Post by ZekeB » Thu Jul 26, 2018 8:46 pm

You would have thought Wisconsinites would have known better four years ago. All they had to do was look across the river and see how Minnesota was doing with its progressive agenda. If they wanted to make Wisconsin great again they needed look back at the William Proxmire/Gaylord Nelson Progressive Democrat era. Oh wait, half the voters weren't born yet. They don't teach history like they should either.


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Re: 2018 Wisconsin Governor; Primary August 14

#5

Post by Addie » Mon Aug 06, 2018 9:42 pm

HuffPo
Democrats May Have Finally Found The Candidate To Take Down Scott Walker ...

Some Democrats look at Mitchell’s frequent off-color jokes ― call them gaffes, if you want to use a term from a different political era ― and see a man who could ruin their best chance at defeating Republican Gov. Scott Walker in years. Walker’s moves to crush the state’s public sector unions made him public enemy No. 1 among liberal Wisconsinites. And after years of battles, his approval ratings have slipped. Just 34 percent of registered voters in the state say the governor deserves to be re-elected, an NBC News/Marist poll released last week showed.

Others believe Mitchell’s unique biography makes him the perfect man to win back the voters who jumped from supporting President Barack Obama twice to supporting President Donald Trump: He’s a Milwaukee-born, Madison-based African-American whose economic policies could fire up the base; the leader of a union whose members split between Hillary Clinton and Trump; with an occupation that gives him instant credibility with the white working class. ...

Mitchell first rose to political prominence in 2011, when Walker and Republicans in Wisconsin’s state legislature rammed through Act 10, a bill that stripped collective bargaining rights from the state’s public sector unions. The bill excluded firefighters and police. Republicans hoped the exemption would keep unions representing first responders out of the political battle. Instead, Mitchell dove head-first into the fight. He was the Democrats’ nominee for lieutenant governor during the unsuccessful 2012 recall election. ...

The opposition to the seven-year-old law clearly drives a lot of the energy behind Mitchell’s bid for governor now. Mitchell has the backing of several unions, including the Service Employees International Union, the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees and the Wisconsin AFL-CIO.

And he also touts his history at the firefighters’ union as evidence that he can appeal to the white, working-class voters the Democrats need to win back over ― Mitchell says at least half of his union’s members voted for Trump in 2016. He also successfully brought Milwaukee’s conservative-leaning firefighters union back under the umbrella of the statewide union.


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Re: 2018 Wisconsin Governor; Primary August 14

#6

Post by Addie » Sun Aug 12, 2018 6:29 am

New York Times: Wisconsin Faces a Political Crossroads Tuesday. Which Way Will It Go?


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Re: 2018 Wisconsin Governor; Primary August 14

#7

Post by Tiredretiredlawyer » Sun Aug 12, 2018 11:30 am

Thanks, Addie. Excellent article.


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Re: 2018 Wisconsin Governor; Primary August 14

#8

Post by Addie » Tue Aug 14, 2018 10:43 am

FiveThirtyEight: Polls close: 9 p.m. Eastern

The Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor has seven serious contenders, and in such a crowded field, the eventual winner could be coronated with 20 percent or less of the vote. Mahlon Mitchell, the head of the state firefighters’ union, has developed a reputation for shooting from the hip on the campaign trail. Mike McCabe has led several nonpartisan reform groups. Former state party chair and attorney Matt Flynn has come under fire for representing the Archdiocese of Milwaukee in sex-abuse cases. Former state Rep. Kelda Roys, endorsed by Emily’s List, made national news for an ad in which she breastfed her daughter. State Sen. Kathleen Vinehout brings experience winning a Republican-leaning rural district. Paul Soglin is famous for his decades of liberal activism as the mayor of the “People’s Republic of Madison.” But it is state education chief Tony Evers, with three statewide wins under his belt, who leads in every primary poll. The guess here is that Evers or Vinehout would do the best in November against GOP Gov. Scott Walker, while Flynn or Soglin would do the worst.


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Re: 2018 Wisconsin Governor; Primary August 14

#9

Post by Addie » Tue Aug 14, 2018 9:58 pm

New York Times
Governor
Democratic Primary
Candidate Vote Pct.
Tony Evers 46,725 41.8%
Mahlon Mitchell 21,387 19.1
Kelda Roys 14,539 13.0
Others 29,202 26.1

111,853 votes, 23% reporting (826 of 3,641 precincts)
Republican Primary
Candidate Vote Pct.
Scott Walker* 137,800 93.8%
Robert Meyer 9,173 6.2

146,973 votes, 23% reporting (851 of 3,641 precincts)

* Incumbent


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Re: 2018 Wisconsin Governor; Primary August 14

#10

Post by Addie » Wed Aug 15, 2018 9:52 am

The Hill
Wisconsin Dems pick education chief to face Walker

Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) will face state Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Evers (D) this fall, after Democrats picked Evers out of a crowded field of eight candidates in Tuesday's primary.

With 34 percent of precincts reporting, the Associated Press called the race for Evers, who's serving his third term in statewide office. Evers held 39 percent of the vote, ahead of fire fighters union president Mahlon Mitchell, who came in second with 24 percent.

The Democratic primary had been a low-key, low-spending affair, marked mostly by Evers's name recognition while the other candidates struggled to earn voters' attention. Only four candidates -- Evers, former state Rep. Kelda Roys (D), fire fighters union president Mahlon Mitchell (D) and former state Democratic Party chairman Matt Flynn -- could afford to run paid advertising.

Evers likely spent almost everything in his campaign account just to get past the crowded Democratic field.

Now, he faces Walker, whose campaign war chest was stocked with nearly $6 million at the end of June. Walker won re-election in 2014 by running millions in early advertisements, and he is likely to try to flex his political muscle again this year, now that he has an opponent.
Tony for Wisconsin

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Re: 2018 Wisconsin Governor; Primary August 14

#11

Post by DejaMoo » Wed Aug 15, 2018 10:34 am

Final vote numbers for this race:

Dems - 537840 ballots cast
Repubs - 456007 ballots cast

So yeah, there's an enthusiasm gap, and for once it's on the Republicans. This kind of turnout by Dems for a midterm primary is very promising.



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Re: 2018 Wisconsin Governor

#12

Post by Addie » Mon Sep 10, 2018 8:18 am

Politico
‘Scott Walker fatigue’ haunts Republicans

Signs that the Wisconsin governor is ripe to be taken down are everywhere.


GREEN BAY, Wisc. — There’s every reason to believe this is the beginning of the end for Scott Walker.

His presidential bid crashed and burned. He’s running for a third term as governor in what figures to be a hostile midterm for the Republican Party. Polling shows that the independent voters who were so critical to Walker’s wins in the 2012 recall and 2014 reelection are breaking away from him.

After years of futility, Democrats here are convinced they finally have him cornered.

“He’s stuck with a bad environment. He’s stuck with a long incumbency, and he’s stuck with a short general election,” said Tom Russell, a Wisconsin-based consultant with the Democratic Governors Association. ...

Three former Walker aides have even turned on the governor, with two cutting ads for Evers. And Walker has quickly gone negative on Evers, including in a new, highly-charged ad.

Just as important, Democrats are running a populist candidate they believe is made for the moment — Evers, who built momentum from decisively winning a crowded primary and went on to raise $1 million in his first week as the nominee.


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Re: 2018 Wisconsin Governor

#13

Post by Addie » Fri Sep 14, 2018 10:29 am

Cook Political Report: WISCONSIN (R – Walker) Lean Republican → Toss Up: Democrats have wanted to defeat Republican Gov. Scott Walker since the day he was elected in 2010. After two failed attempts, they believe that they will succeed on the third try. But, Walker isn’t an easy target. Between his first gubernatorial election in 2010, a recall election in 2012, the race for a second term in 2014 and his unsuccessful bid for the GOP presidential nominee, Walker is about as tested a candidate as any incumbent Governor seeking re-election in 2018. He is a strong fundraiser and, as evidenced by his party’s successes in 2016 and in this year’s Senate primary on behalf of state Sen. Leah Vukmir, has built and maintained a solid grassroots organization.

Democrats think that this race is different from the last two. Strategists say that Walker’s failed bid for the GOP presidential nomination pushed him even further to the right and exposed some inherent weaknesses. That they can tie him to President Trump, who is unpopular in the state, is an added bonus. They also argue that after two terms, fatigue has set in and voters aren’t sure they want to give Walker another four years. Finally, they contend that their nominee, Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Evers, is focusing on issues that voters care about like education and fixing the state’s deteriorating roads.

Republicans say that Walker will run on his record and focus on issues like making higher education more affordable. They are portraying Evers as an advocate of higher taxes and budget-busting single-payer health care. Their most recent attacks, however, have centered on Evers’ failure to take action against a teacher who viewed pornography at school and another who allegedly used Snapchat to solicit sex from a student.

Public polling taken in August showed a range of outcomes from giving Evers a five-point advantage to putting Walker ahead by two points. We are dubious of public polling here given polling in both the 2016 Senate and presidential contests, but we do think that this race is within the margin of error and is therefore a Toss Up.


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Re: 2018 Wisconsin Governor

#14

Post by Addie » Fri Sep 14, 2018 11:07 am

The Hill
Koch network pumps $1.3 million into Wisconsin to boost Walker

The political network backed by billionaire industrialist Charles Koch is spending more than $1 million on an ad campaign to boost Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R).

The Wisconsin chapter of Americans for Prosperity announced Friday that it would spend $1.3 million on digital and TV ads hitting Democratic candidate Tony Evers in the coming weeks.

Evers is challenging the two-term incumbent Walker for the governor's mansion.

The latest ad campaign comes less than a month after AFP's Wisconsin branch dropped $1.8 million on a series of TV and digital ads touting Walker's record on education. ...

Evers leads Walker in several recent public polls. The RealClearPolitics polling average currently puts the Democrat ahead by 3.5 points.


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Re: 2018 Wisconsin Governor

#15

Post by ZekeB » Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:24 pm

Consensus among my libtard cousins is that Walker is awful. However they feel that Evers is a "pussycat" and won't be aggressive enough and attack Walker. Also, Milwaukee democrats do not vote, especially when it is not a presidential election. That would skew the poll's worth.


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Re: 2018 Wisconsin Governor

#16

Post by Addie » Wed Sep 26, 2018 8:58 am

The Hill
Poll: Walker trails challenger by 7 points in Wisconsin

Incumbent Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker (R) trails his challenger by 7 points in a Reuters Poll released Wednesday.

State schools superintendent Tony Evers (D) holds a lead in the poll, with 50 percent saying they'd back him and 43 percent backing Walker.

Walker was first elected governor of Wisconsin in 2010, and unsuccessfully launched a presidential bid in 2016.

Trump narrowly defeated Hillary Clinton in Wisconsin in 2016, becoming the first Republican presidential candidate to win the state since Ronald Reagan in 1984.

The president endorsed Walker in August, but according to a poll from earlier in September he has an negative approval rating among registered voters in the state, with 42 percent approving of his job performance and 54 percent disapproving.



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Re: 2018 Wisconsin Governor

#17

Post by Tiredretiredlawyer » Wed Sep 26, 2018 8:59 am

:like: :banana:


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Re: 2018 Wisconsin Governor

#18

Post by Addie » Thu Oct 11, 2018 6:53 pm

The Hill
Poll: Walker down 10 points in Wisconsin

Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) is trailing state schools superintendent Tony Evers by 10 points in his reelection bid, according to an NBC News/Marist poll released Thursday.

Walker gets 43 percent of likely voters’ support in the survey, while 53 percent support Evers.

Walker also has a significant deficit when comparing the two candidates’ favorability ratings.

Evers has a net-positive favorability rating, with 49 percent of respondents reporting a favorable view of him compared to 38 percent unfavorable, with 24 percent saying they haven’t heard of him or are unsure. Walker’s favorability rating is underwater, with 42 percent of likely voters having a favorable view of him and 54 percent having an unfavorable one.

President Trump’s net-negative approval rating may also serve as an anchor on Walker. About 45 percent of likely Wisconsin voters approve of the job he is doing, while 50 percent say they disapprove. Trump won Wisconsin by less than 1 percent in 2016. ...

Former President Obama endorsed Evers earlier this month.

The Cook Political Report rates the race as a “toss up.”



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