2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

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AndyinPA
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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#451

Post by AndyinPA » Mon Sep 17, 2018 10:29 am

The allegations against Kavanaugh just right now are tricky for Senate republicans. I think that's part of why they are considering having Christine Blasey Ford testify before the Judiciary Committee. To do otherwise this close to the election could be suicide.



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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#452

Post by Slim Cognito » Mon Sep 17, 2018 10:45 am

AndyinPA wrote:
Mon Sep 17, 2018 10:29 am
The allegations against Kavanaugh just right now are tricky for Senate republicans. I think that's part of why they are considering having Christine Blasey Ford testify before the Judiciary Committee. To do otherwise this close to the election could be suicide.
This morning, her atty said she would testify, but she hasn't been contacted. Thoughts being, if she comes across as genuine (likely) and he comes across as an asshole (a distinct possibility), the testimony is more likely to sway public opinion in her direction than his. Then what? They (probably) can't ram another candidate through before midterms.


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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#453

Post by AndyinPA » Mon Sep 17, 2018 11:18 am

Slim Cognito wrote:
Mon Sep 17, 2018 10:45 am
AndyinPA wrote:
Mon Sep 17, 2018 10:29 am
The allegations against Kavanaugh just right now are tricky for Senate republicans. I think that's part of why they are considering having Christine Blasey Ford testify before the Judiciary Committee. To do otherwise this close to the election could be suicide.
This morning, her atty said she would testify, but she hasn't been contacted. Thoughts being, if she comes across as genuine (likely) and he comes across as an asshole (a distinct possibility), the testimony is more likely to sway public opinion in her direction than his. Then what? They (probably) can't ram another candidate through before midterms.
:thumbs:



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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#454

Post by Addie » Fri Sep 21, 2018 8:42 am

Axios
The GOP's growing identity crisis ...

Gallup's most recent gauge of party identity has 28% of Americans considering themselves Republicans, 27% calling themselves Democrats and 43% identifying as independents.
It's that big middle group where you see the looming threat to the vitality of the GOP: Some Trump policies are so polarizing that independents are likely to be increasingly inaccessible to the Republican Party, giving Democrats a potentially overwhelming advantage in the pool of voters they can activate.
A former White House official told me: "Shifting demographics have been a problem for Republicans for a long time. Paradoxically, while Trump likely exacerbated that problem in the long term, he also postponed its consequences because he carved out a new path to 270, in large part thanks to his trade rhetoric."
"The problem post-Trump is that what he did is not replicable."
Be smart: High profile defections like the ones above won't change the electoral math of the heartland, where GOP presidencies are won. The danger is Trump's alienation of quiet conservatives: They won't make big announcements. They just won't show up.

And they could form the base for a new conservative party — run by someone like Sasse.



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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#455

Post by Addie » Fri Sep 21, 2018 8:50 am

The Hill
GOP, White House start playing midterm blame game

The White House and congressional Republicans are blaming one another for a difficult political environment that has bolstered Democrats' chances of winning control of the House, and possibly the Senate.

Republicans on Capitol Hill say President Trump's lack of discipline and penchant for controversy has put them at a disadvantage, while Trump's political team has grown frustrated with the high number of GOP retirements and poor fundraising totals.

"This election is all about Trump. The White House knows it, and to shift blame is a ridiculous notion," said one House Republican chief of staff.

Republicans say strong economic gains should help propel GOP incumbents to victory, but the chaos surrounding Trump has helped negate that advantage.

"We should be talking about the economy but we're easily distracted," said Rep. Dennis Ross (Fla.), one of several dozen congressional Republicans retiring in early January. "That's essentially the advice that was given two years ago when the Billy Bush incident came out: Everybody better take care of their own district because we're not sure where this is gonna go." ...

But Trump’s job approval rating recently plunged below 40 percent in several well-respected polls following a summer in which he generated negative headlines on a wide range of issues. That dip in popularity has compounded the headwinds the president’s party typically faces in midterm contests.

Most congressional Republicans have remained closely aligned with Trump, fully aware that any sign of disloyalty would anger the conservative base with which he still remains enormously popular.



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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#456

Post by Orlylicious » Mon Oct 01, 2018 8:22 pm

:thumbs:
800,000 people registered to vote on National Voter Registration Day
Khorri Atkinson 14 mins ago

A record number of Americans registered to vote in the midterm elections as part of National Voter Registration Day last week, reports Time.

By the numbers: The more than 800,000 new voter registrations this year surpassed the previous record of 771,321 in 2016 and was up from 154,500 in 2014 — the first midterm election since the day's existence. The registration campaign also had more than 4,000 partners, including Facebook, Google and Twitter.
https://www.axios.com/record-800000-peo ... e07ae.html



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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#457

Post by Tiredretiredlawyer » Thu Oct 04, 2018 11:56 am

http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-me-p ... story.html
The polls for each specific district are shown and described in detail. Cross posting to each thread.
Republicans face big risks in contested California races as Democrats fight for control of the House

Trump is unpopular across most of the targeted districts — four covering parts of Orange and San Diego counties, one in Los Angeles County and one centered on Modesto in the Central Valley. That’s especially true among college-educated white voters, whose alienation from the president has turned suburban districts across the country into risky territory for the GOP, and among Latinos and women.

The share of voters who approve of Trump serves as a ceiling for Republican candidates, with none able to surpass Trump’s level by more than a few percentage points. That’s a significant problem for Republicans; in five of the six districts, a majority of likely voters disapprove of the president’s performance in office.

In several districts, the president’s opponents appear more motivated to vote than his supporters, with self-identified liberals and registered Democrats more likely to say that they view this year’s election as more important than previous contests.

Strategies that the Republicans had hoped would bolster their campaigns and make up for the undertow from the president appear to have had limited effect, at best.


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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#458

Post by Addie » Fri Oct 05, 2018 7:10 am

Reuters
Special Report: The Trump trap - Republicans duck president in key House races ...

Trump largely enjoys strong support within his party: Reuters/Ipsos opinion polls put him at 82 percent approval among Republican likely voters. But that backing softens among Republicans with college degrees and higher incomes. In 2016, he ran poorly in many districts where those voters hold sway.

Some disenchanted Republicans take issue with Trump’s policies, particularly on immigration, the environment and U.S.-Russia relations, polling shows. More often, they condemn the president for being divisive and disrespectful.

Now, with polls and analysts favoring Democrats to win the House majority, battleground Republicans need every vote. And few questions loom larger than how closely they should align themselves with the president.

The answer for many: keep quiet.



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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#459

Post by Orlylicious » Sat Oct 13, 2018 3:41 am

There's too much going on for polling, new voters, unreachable voters for polls... we have to GOTV no matter what the polls say and think 4 points down. But clearly this "green wave" of small donations is showing the potential for some real surprises.
'We’ve never seen anything like this': GOP overwhelmed by Democratic cash
The gush of spending in House races has triggered recriminations on the right as the party tries to salvage its majority.
By ALEX ISENSTADT 10/12/2018 07:43 PM EDT

A deluge of Democratic spending in the final days of the battle for the House has triggered recriminations among Republicans and forced the party to lean on its biggest patron to salvage their majority. Since the end of July, Republican candidates in the 70 most contested races have reserved $60 million in TV ads, compared to $109 million for Democratic hopefuls, according to figures compiled by media trackers and reviewed by POLITICO. The disparity is almost certain to grow, as former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg makes good on plans to spend nearly $80 million to help Democrats flip the House.

“From Democrat candidates to outside groups, we’ve never seen anything like this before,” said Brian Walsh, president of the pro-Trump America First Action super PAC. “They are dumping in cash by the truckload.” Desperate for help, Republicans are turning to their go-to benefactor: Las Vegas casino mogul Sheldon Adelson. The 85-year-old ally of President Donald Trump has made another contribution in the range of $20 million to the House GOP-aligned Congressional Leadership Fund super PAC, according to two Republican officials familiar with the donation. Party leaders are hopeful he'll fork over even more.
***
But despite those and other steps, party officials concede they’ll be significantly outspent. On Thursday morning, Corry Bliss, the House GOP super PAC’s executive director, invited about 50 top Beltway lobbyists to his downtown Washington office to make a plea for cash. Bliss walked the group through polling in top races and made the case that the GOP is making late gains. But the party’s biggest hurdle is money, he said. Bliss told the group that Republicans are facing a “green wave” and that he's trying to raise another $20 million. That would be in addition to Adelson's latest contribution.
***
The National Republican Congressional Committee is expected to secure a loan to help the party compete in the final weeks. Party officials declined to divulge the size of the credit line though in previous election years the committee has received loans of between $10 million and $20 million. NRCC Chairman Steve Stivers has also reached out to party leaders, including Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy and Majority Whip Steve Scalise, seeking financial help. McCarthy, who spent part of the week in Texas huddling with donors, has transferred $5.7 million to party groups over the past two weeks.

Still, Republicans have hit roadblocks. House GOP aides had hoped to receive a late cash transfer from the Republican National Committee, but they now don’t expect that to happen. The RNC, which is running an extensive national field campaign, has already allocated its remaining funds for the rest of the election season, according to two senior Republicans. Meanwhile, a blame game is underway. Many Republican lawmakers and strategists are frustrated with the NRCC over its failure to raise more money, they said in interviews. The committee has reserved $46 million on the TV airwaves, compared to $64 million by their Democratic counterpart. A committee spokesman said the NRCC has eclipsed its fundraising record by $20 million this election cycle.
https://www.politico.com/story/2018/10/ ... nse-898162



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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#460

Post by Addie » Thu Oct 25, 2018 12:44 pm

Politico
Trump distances himself from a potential GOP thumping

In public the president says the 2018 election is about him. In private, he talks about pointing the finger after likely Democratic gains.


At his rallies, President Donald Trump argues that the midterm elections are about one person — Donald Trump. “Get out in 2018,” Trump told a crowd in Missouri last month, “because you’re voting for me!”

Privately, the president says the exact opposite.

According to two people familiar with the conversations, Trump is distancing himself from a potential Republican thumping on Election Day. He’s telling confidants that he doesn’t see the midterms as a referendum on himself, describing his 2020 reelection bid as “the real election.” And he says that he holds House Speaker Paul Ryan and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell responsible for protecting their majorities in Congress.

According to one person with knowledge of these talks, Trump has said of Ryan and McConnell: “These are their elections … and if they screw it up, it’s not my fault.”



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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#461

Post by Addie » Thu Oct 25, 2018 12:54 pm

The Guardian: Bannon holds rally for Republican candidates but none show up

Trump’s former strategist touts his role in president’s success before crowd of 200 in upstate New York
Interesting snip:
... the former chief strategist drew a crowd of just 38 to an event in Staten Island, New York, on Monday



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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#462

Post by much ado » Thu Oct 25, 2018 1:01 pm

Addie wrote:
Thu Oct 25, 2018 12:54 pm
The Guardian: Bannon holds rally for Republican candidates but none show up

Trump’s former strategist touts his role in president’s success before crowd of 200 in upstate New York
Interesting snip:
... the former chief strategist drew a crowd of just 38 to an event in Staten Island, New York, on Monday
I really like that. :rotflmao:



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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#463

Post by Addie » Thu Oct 25, 2018 1:20 pm

Politico
GOP alarmed Obamacare attacks could cost them the House

Republican incumbents are getting pummeled after voting to scrap protections for pre-existing conditions.


For weeks, vulnerable Rep. Glenn Grothman had been getting pummeled by his Democratic opponent for voting to curb protections for people with pre-existing conditions — most recently with an attack ad depicting a little boy with an oxygen mask over his face gasping for air.

So on a conference call with GOP leaders last week, Grothman pleaded with party leaders to invest in a nationwide TV ad that could run in competitive districts like his, defending the House GOP’s Obamacare repeal bill that passed the chamber last year, according to three sources on the call.

You’re on your own, was the response. It would be too expensive, Republican leaders told Grothman.

House Republicans are increasingly worried that Democrats’ attacks on their votes to repeal and replace Obamacare could cost them the House. While the legislation stalled in the Senate, it’s become a toxic issue on the campaign trail for the House Republicans who backed it.

Toxic and ubiquitous: Democrats have maintained an almost single-minded focus on health care in their campaign messaging. More than 54 percent of pro-Democratic campaign ads in federal races mentioning the issue between mid-September and mid-October, according to a recent study by Wesleyan University’s Media Project.



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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#464

Post by Addie » Thu Oct 25, 2018 4:41 pm

Honestly, if you can't get more than 38 Republicans to come see you on Staten Island, it's time to pack it in, Steve. :lol:
much ado wrote:
Thu Oct 25, 2018 1:01 pm
Addie wrote:
Thu Oct 25, 2018 12:54 pm


Interesting snip:
... the former chief strategist drew a crowd of just 38 to an event in Staten Island, New York, on Monday
I really like that. :rotflmao:



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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#465

Post by tek » Thu Oct 25, 2018 5:15 pm

Republican incumbents are getting pummeled after voting to scrap protections for pre-existing conditions.
Huh! Actions have consequences? Who knew?

:sarcasm:


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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#466

Post by RVInit » Thu Oct 25, 2018 11:18 pm

Here in Florida the Republicans are all advertising that they have "plans" and "support" covering preexisting conditions. However, they fail to say that they support coverage of preexisting conditions at rates that not a single person in that category could possibly afford.


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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#467

Post by p0rtia » Fri Oct 26, 2018 5:22 am

RVInit wrote:
Thu Oct 25, 2018 11:18 pm
Here in Florida the Republicans are all advertising that they have "plans" and "support" covering preexisting conditions. However, they fail to say that they support coverage of preexisting conditions at rates that not a single person in that category could possibly afford.
Same in upstate NY. Stefanik is actually running on her previous statements that she "has always supported repeal and replace" Accent on replace. So vote for her despite the fact that her party has no intention of implementing repeal and replace, or on supporting affordable care. She's all about minor health care bills that are worded so they sound like they are reducing health care costs, but ignore the elephant in the (operating) room that overall costs are soaring again.


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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#468

Post by BrianH » Fri Oct 26, 2018 10:24 am

In the IL 6th Cong race between the incumbent Republican Peter Roskam and Dem. Sean Casten, TV ads on the Chicago CBS affiliate this morning have each repeatedly running a single ad. Roskam tries to tie Casten to IL House Speaker and Super-Pol Dem. Mike Madigan. Casten is hammering Roskam for his 60 votes against healthcare protections. Seeing Repubs having to hide from their ACA votes brings me pleasure.



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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#469

Post by Addie » Wed Oct 31, 2018 1:14 pm

Newsweek
Donald Trump Says Paul Ryan ‘Knows Nothing’ About Birthright Citizenship Days Before Midterm Elections

President Donald Trump lashed out at Paul Ryan on Wednesday, saying the house speaker “knows nothing” about birthright citizenship. Ryan previously went against Trump’s proposed plan to sign an executive order eliminating the right to citizenship for children born in the United States.

“Paul Ryan should be focusing on holding the Majority rather than giving his opinions on Birthright Citizenship, something he knows nothing about!” Trump tweeted. “Our new Republican Majority will work on this, Closing the Immigration Loopholes and Securing our Border!”

In an interview with radio station WVLK on Tuesday, Ryan responded to Trump’s plan to end birthright citizenship, saying he “obviously cannot do that.”

“Well, you obviously cannot do that,” Ryan said. “You cannot end birthright citizenship with an executive order. We didn’t like it when Obama tried changing immigration laws via executive action, and obviously as conservatives, we believe in the Constitution.”



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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#470

Post by Addie » Wed Oct 31, 2018 9:52 pm

CNN
GOP campaigns asked Trump to steer clear of Nevada and Arizona

As President Trump kicks off an 11-rally tour in the final six days of the midterm election campaign, he is focused on expanding Republican control of the Senate — without jeopardizing it.

He will pay two visits to Florida, Missouri and Indiana, all home of key Senate races, in addition to stops in Montana, West Virginia and Tennessee. (He also visits Ohio and Georgia.)

But two states noticeably absent from his itinerary: Arizona and Nevada, which are among the most competitive races and the best chance for Democrats to pick up GOP-held Senate seats (as our new CNN polls today illustrate).

Here's why: Two Republican officials involved in shaping the President's political travel tell CNN that Republicans in both Arizona and Nevada asked the White House to steer clear of those states in his final swing. Both states were on an early list of places Trump hoped to hit, officials say, but were taken off the final schedule because a presidential visit wasn't seen as helpful to Rep. Martha McSally in Arizona and Sen. Dean Heller in Nevada.



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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#471

Post by Dr. Kenneth Noisewater » Wed Oct 31, 2018 9:56 pm

Trump please go to Nevada and Arizona.



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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#472

Post by Addie » Wed Oct 31, 2018 10:03 pm

:lol:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Wed Oct 31, 2018 9:56 pm
Trump please go to Nevada and Arizona.



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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#473

Post by Slim Cognito » Thu Nov 01, 2018 8:14 am

I'm picturing somebody telling trump he's not welcome in NV or AZ and having a hard time imagining him accepting that. I'm sure they came up with a different spin.


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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#474

Post by p0rtia » Thu Nov 01, 2018 10:58 am

Like: "The asked me to come, but it was after all the plans were made. I don't like people who are late. I like people who are on time. We'll have to see what happens."


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Re: 2018 GOP Rattled by Trump

#475

Post by Tiredretiredlawyer » Thu Nov 01, 2018 11:02 am

p0rtia wrote:
Thu Nov 01, 2018 10:58 am
Like: "The asked me to come, but it was after all the plans were made. I don't like people who are late. I like people who are on time. We'll have to see what happens."
You should go into show biz. PERFECT Trump imitation!


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