Polls: 2020 Already

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RoadScholar
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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#26

Post by RoadScholar » Thu Jan 18, 2018 8:45 pm

Sterngard Friegen wrote:
Thu Jan 18, 2018 4:26 pm
Are there any good, younger-ish candidates in purple or red states who could fill one or both roles. Political stars, of course. All of the suggestions, including mine, involve pols from blue states or old Joe.
Democrats could surely use some of that early Willam Jefferson sort of appeal right now.


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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#27

Post by Dr. Caligari » Thu Jan 18, 2018 11:24 pm

Sterngard Friegen wrote:
Thu Jan 18, 2018 4:26 pm
Are there any good, younger-ish candidates in purple or red states who could fill one or both roles. Political stars, of course. All of the suggestions, including mine, involve pols from blue states or old Joe.

Not mine (as to VPs).


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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#28

Post by Addie » Sat Jan 27, 2018 12:43 pm

Vox
A new Colorado survey is bad news for a Trump-voting Republican senator

Colorado Republican Cory Gardner isn’t up for reelection until 2020 — but his recent poll numbers are another reason for him and Republicans nationwide to worry.

Gardner, who was elected to represent Colorado in the US Senate in 2014, has a 25 percent approval rating in his home state, according to a survey from the American Politics Research Lab released on Thursday. The survey, taken in November and made public just now, found that Gardner’s approval has dipped significantly from 43 percent in 2016 to 25 percent; it appears the senator has been weighed down by Washington politics. Gardner has largely voted in line with President Donald Trump’s positions and appears to be hindered by the president’s low popularity nationwide. He has, at times, pushed back against the president — specifically when it comes to the Justice Department’s marijuana policies; Colorado has legalized marijuana — but that separation doesn’t appear to be breaking through to voters.

Democrats, unsurprisingly, widely disapprove of Gardner, with just 12 percent saying they think he’s doing a good job. But he also scores poorly among independents (23 percent of whom approve of his work) and Republicans (46 percent approve). ...

According to FiveThirtyEight’s tracker of how members of Congress vote with respect to Trump, Gardner’s votes line up with the president’s positions 93.4 percent of the time. He’s not the “Trumpiest” of senators — Senators John Cornyn (R-TX), Orrin Hatch (R-UT), and Marco Rubio (R-FL), for example, vote more in line with Trump than him. But Gardner votes with Trump about the same amount of the time as Senators Ron Johnson (R-WI), Rob Portman (R-OH), and Ted Cruz (R-TX).

All this said: Colorado is an increasingly left-leaning state, so Gardner’s poll numbers aren’t entirely shocking. Moreover, the American Politics Research Lab’s survey found other Colorado political figures’ approval ratings have dropped as well, including Governor John Hickenlooper (53 percent approval, down from 58 percent) and Senator Michael Bennett (44 percent approval from 53 percent), both Democrats.


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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#29

Post by kate520 » Sat Jan 27, 2018 12:48 pm

Whatever happened to the identical twin saviors of the Democratic Party, the Castro Bros?


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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#30

Post by Addie » Fri Feb 09, 2018 11:09 am

The Hill
Poll: Nearly half of Iowans wouldn’t vote for Trump in 2020

Nearly half of Iowa voters said they wouldn't vote for President Trump in the 2020 election, according to a poll of likely voters released Thursday.

The Des Moines Register poll found that 48 percent of voters said they would "definitely" vote for a candidate besides Trump, while 20 percent said that they would consider it. Just 26 percent of likely voters said they would definitely vote for Trump in 2020.

Iowa traditionally holds the first caucuses of the presidential nominating process, and is set to be the first battleground for Democrats looking to run in 2020. ...

Trump won the state of Iowa by 3.5 percentage points over Hillary Clinton in 2016. During the GOP primary, Trump finished second in the caucuses behind Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas), losing by 3.3 percent.


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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#31

Post by Addie » Wed Mar 07, 2018 7:03 am

Politico
Poll: Trump trails generic Democrat by 8 points ...

A week after naming Brad Parscale to run his reelection effort, Trump is 8 points behind a generic Democratic candidate, 44 percent to 36 percent, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll. Nearly one in five voters, 19 percent, are undecided.

Male voters are evenly split: 42 percent would vote for Trump, and 42 percent would back the Democratic candidate. Among female voters, the Democrat has a 15-point lead, 46 percent to 31 percent.

The results fall predictably along party lines: Democratic voters support the Democrat, 82 percent to 8 percent; Republican voters choose Trump, 79 percent to 7 percent. Among independents, the Democratic candidate leads, 35 percent to 29 percent, with 36 percent undecided.

Eighty-six percent of voters who say they backed Hillary Clinton in 2016 would choose the Democratic candidate in 2020, greater than the 80 percent of Trump voters who say they would vote for him again.

Other indicators also suggest Trump is in perilous shape at this early stage. The president’s approval rating in the new poll is 43 percent, down from 46 percent last week. And Democrats’ lead on the generic congressional ballot is up to 7 points, 44 percent to 37 percent.


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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#32

Post by Addie » Thu Mar 29, 2018 12:32 pm

CNN
More than half of Americans think Trump will lose in 2020. That's not the end of the world for him.

Washington (CNN)A majority of Americans think President Donald Trump will lose his re-election bid in 2020, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS, similar numbers to those facing former President Barack Obama at this point in his first term ahead of his re-election victory.

Fifty-four percent of Americans say they expect Trump to lose his campaign for re-election, the same number who said Obama would lose the 2012 election at this point in his first term. Only 40% of Americans think Trump will win in 2020, similar to the 44% who said the same for Obama.

Republicans overwhelmingly say they expect Trump to win re-election to the White House in 2020 (79% feel that way), while Democrats nearly unanimously say they expect him to lose (87% say so). A majority of independents also expect him to lose. Republicans now are more optimistic about Trump's re-election prospects than Democrats were about Obama (just 69% of Democrats said they expected Obama to win at this point in 2010).

Former President Bill Clinton faced even worse expectations in 1995, when only a quarter of Americans expected him to win his second term following deep losses for his party in the 1994 midterm elections. Trump filed re-election paperwork with federal election officials on Inauguration Day in 2017. He formally announced his re-election bid in February.


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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#33

Post by RTH10260 » Thu Mar 29, 2018 9:50 pm

Addie wrote:
Thu Mar 29, 2018 12:32 pm
CNN
More than half of Americans think Trump will lose in 2020. That's not the end of the world for him.
:snippity:
From the gossip I understand that Teh Donald intended to lose the elections and run his enterprise with a better known name recognition. After leaving office he will find the business world ended for him. The enterprise will be lacking of clients wanting his branding. His hotels, especially in Washington DC, will lose their international business visitors that payed in expectation of getting near to and influencing dotus or family members. His aspiration of building some trumped up tower in Moscow will never happen, Putin will have disavoued the failure-in-chief.



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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#34

Post by Addie » Wed May 23, 2018 9:58 am

The Hill
Poll: 36 percent back Trump reelection bid

Just 36 percent of voters say they would vote to re-elect President Trump, according to a new Politico-Morning Consult poll.

Forty-four percent of respondents said they would vote for a generic Democrat in 2020, while one-fifth are still undecided.

Trump's support is roughly in line with other recent polls, and is 10 points lower than former President Barack Obama’s at the same point in his presidency.

Support for Trump’s reelection fell largely along party lines, with 79 percent of Republicans saying they would vote for Trump and 86 percent of Democrats supporting a Democrat.

According to the poll, a GOP candidate other than Trump would have an even lower chance of reelection, with 27 percent saying they would support a generic Republican compared to 40 percent supporting a Democrat.


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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#35

Post by Danraft » Fri May 25, 2018 12:42 am

Don't know where to ask this, but having a discussion about the "Bernie was robbed" and Newsweek Greg Price hqd a headline saying that, but the body relly didnt have any facts besides the fact that she had control of the DNC budget.
I know the email dump didn't show anything like that, and that there were Trolls pushing that story, but was there any real facts?
we're any of these articles retracted?


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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#36

Post by RVInit » Fri May 25, 2018 6:40 am

Danraft wrote:
Fri May 25, 2018 12:42 am
Don't know where to ask this, but having a discussion about the "Bernie was robbed" and Newsweek Greg Price hqd a headline saying that, but the body relly didnt have any facts besides the fact that she had control of the DNC budget.
I know the email dump didn't show anything like that, and that there were Trolls pushing that story, but was there any real facts?
we're any of these articles retracted?
This may help

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/mon ... 16110058ce


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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#37

Post by Addie » Wed Aug 01, 2018 12:13 pm

The Hill
Biden tops Trump by 7 points in hypothetical 2020 matchup: poll

Former Vice President Joe Biden tops President Trump by 7 points in a hypothetical 2020 matchup, according to a new Politico–Morning Consult poll.

Forty-four percent of registered voters told pollsters they would support Biden in the next presidential election, compared to 37 percent of voters who said they would vote to reelect Trump.

The poll also found that a generic candidate would do better against Trump than Biden among registered Democrats: 89 percent said they would vote for a generic candidate from their own party, compared to 80 percent who said they would vote for Biden.

Seventy-eight percent of Republicans said they would vote Trump back into office.

Biden ran for president in 1998 and 2008, but dropped out quickly both times. The former Delaware senator has been floated as a 2020 contender, and a poll in June found that he would attract the highest support among Democratic voters of any candidate in the survey.


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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#38

Post by Dr. Kenneth Noisewater » Wed Aug 01, 2018 12:27 pm

Addie wrote:
Wed Aug 01, 2018 12:13 pm
The Hill
Biden tops Trump by 7 points in hypothetical 2020 matchup: poll

Former Vice President Joe Biden tops President Trump by 7 points in a hypothetical 2020 matchup, according to a new Politico–Morning Consult poll.

Forty-four percent of registered voters told pollsters they would support Biden in the next presidential election, compared to 37 percent of voters who said they would vote to reelect Trump.

The poll also found that a generic candidate would do better against Trump than Biden among registered Democrats: 89 percent said they would vote for a generic candidate from their own party, compared to 80 percent who said they would vote for Biden.

Seventy-eight percent of Republicans said they would vote Trump back into office.

Biden ran for president in 1998 and 2008, but dropped out quickly both times. The former Delaware senator has been floated as a 2020 contender, and a poll in June found that he would attract the highest support among Democratic voters of any candidate in the survey.
I know that his son had just died but I think it was a mistake that Biden didn't run in 2016. He most likely would have won.



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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#39

Post by Lani » Wed Aug 01, 2018 5:19 pm

Biden would have been trashed as much as Clinton by the right, the left, and the Russians. He'd be accused of hiding brain injury/secret medical condition. A sellout to and puppet for corporations. Rumors about harassing women. Wife's death a contract murder. Anita Hill. Provides cover for the Democratic pedo rings. And on and on.


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