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2014 House Race Ratings

Posted: Thu Apr 25, 2013 4:13 pm
by mimi
The big picture:SummarySolid Seats: 204 Rep, 166 DemLikely/Lean Seats: 28 Rep, 29 DemToss Up or Worse: 2 Rep, 6 DemHow can this be?Go here to see the info broken down:[/break1]com/house/charts/race-ratings]http://cookpolitical.com/house/charts/race-ratings

2014 House Race Ratings

Posted: Mon Jul 08, 2013 7:52 pm
by Joseph Robidoux III
This Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee March 5, 2013 article list 26 Democratic congresscritters whom the DCCC believes to be vulnerable.The "Frontline Program" list includes:

Representative Ron Barber (AZ-02)Representative John Barrow (GA-12)Representative Ami Bera (CA-07)Representative Tim Bishop (NY-01)Representative Julia Brownley (CA-26)Representative Cheri Bustos (IL-17)Representative Lois Capps (CA-24)Representative Suzan DelBene (WA-01)Representative Bill Enyart (IL-12)Representative Elizabeth Esty (CT-05)Representative Pete Gallego (TX-23)Representative Joe Garcia (FL-26)Representative Ann Kirkpatrick (AZ-01)|Representative Ann McLane Kuster (NH-02)Representative Sean Patrick Maloney (NY-18)Representative Dan Maffei (NY-24)Representative Jim Matheson (UT-04)Representative Mike McIntyre (NC-07)Representative Patrick Murphy (FL-18)Representative Bill Owens (NY-21)Representative Scott Peters (CA-52)Representative Raul Ruiz (CA-36)Representative Brad Schneider (IL-10)Representative Carol Shea-Porter (NH-01)Representative Kyrsten Sinema (AZ-09)Representative John Tierney (MA-06)

The highly successful Frontline Program is a partnership between the DCCC and Members to build successful campaign operations for the 2014 cycle.[/break1]org/newsroom/entry/dccc_chairman_steve_israel_announces_2013-2014_frontline_members/]http://dccc.org/newsroom/entry/dccc_cha ... e_members/

2014 House Race Ratings

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2013 9:37 pm
by Dolly
10/6/13 2014 poll: GOP could lose the House The Republican Party could be in danger of losing control of the House in 2014, new polls on Sunday show.In a survey of 24 seats, Republicans fall behind in 17 head-to-head matches against “generic Democrat candidates” among registered voters and lag in an additional four districts when respondents are told the Republican candidate supported the shutdown, according to the surveys by Public Policy Polling which were funded by the liberal group, MoveOn.orgDemocrats would need to pick up 17 seats to take over the House — something the polling reveals could be within reach.details at: [/break1]politico.com/story/2013/10/2014-elections-poll-gop-house-97890.html]http://www.politico.com/story/2013/10/2 ... 97890.html

2014 House Race Ratings

Posted: Sun Oct 06, 2013 10:00 pm
by Sterngard Friegen
The Democrats are loving this.And when the shutdown is over a lot of Republicans, including Boehner, will be primaried and may lose. I think the Dems will easily take back the house as a result of the shutdown and the Tea Baggers' disappointment it didn't kill the government.It's ugly and perilous to all of us, but this is how the Republican Party dies.

2014 House Race Ratings

Posted: Mon Oct 07, 2013 12:21 am
by AnitaMaria
You know what could accelerate the GOP slide? A birther bill. \ :D /

2014 House Race Ratings

Posted: Fri Oct 11, 2013 6:59 pm
by Joseph Robidoux III
It appears shutting down the government is satisfying to Republicans and pissing off everyone else.PPP's newest national survey finds that Americans continue to lean toward voting Democratic for the House next year, as they pin most of the blame for the government shutdown on Republicans.Democrats lead the generic Congressional ballot 46/41, including a 42/33 lead with independents. Independents have shifted 21 points on the generic ballot from July when Republicans had a 39/27 advantage with them. The lean toward Democrats for next year reflects who they blame for the shutdown. By a 51/37 margin they say Republicans are more at fault than Democrats, and by a 57/41 margin they think Congress is more to blame than the President. [/break1]publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/10/democrats-maintain-edge-for-2014.html#more]http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main ... .html#more

2014 House Race Ratings

Posted: Fri Oct 11, 2013 7:12 pm
by June bug
Not to be a party pooper, but November, 2014 is over a year away. Gerrymandered districts and the American electorate's famously short memory argue against any premature celebrations.

2014 House Race Ratings

Posted: Fri Oct 11, 2013 7:20 pm
by Foggy
That's right, June Bug. The shorter way of saying that is, a week is a lifetime in polly ticks.

2014 House Race Ratings

Posted: Fri Oct 11, 2013 9:22 pm
by June bug
Thanks, Fogster - shorter and better! :-bd

2014 House Race Ratings

Posted: Tue Jan 21, 2014 4:58 am
by Joseph Robidoux III
Roll Call has a casualty list for the US House and Senate.


[/break1]rollcall.com/politics/casualtylist.html]http://www.rollcall.com/politics/casualtylist.html

2014 House Race Ratings

Posted: Tue Jan 21, 2014 7:20 pm
by Joseph Robidoux III
The link in my preceding post has info for the 93rd through 113th Congresses. After a cursory check the 113th doesn't seem to have anything stand out.

2014 House Race Ratings

Posted: Mon Jan 27, 2014 9:33 pm
by Roboe
Any idea whether that's a higher,lower,average turnover rate?+ Jon Runyan :roll:He lists his reasons for retiring here: [/break1]politico.com/magazine/story/2014/01/jon-runyan-quitting-congress-102583.html?ml=po_r]http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/ ... ml?ml=po_r

2014 House Race Ratings

Posted: Mon Jan 27, 2014 11:11 pm
by mimi
I saw this last week:Tea Party Scorecard:[/break1]teapartyscorecard.com/]http://www.teapartyscorecard.com/The MembersThe 47 Members of Congress whose scores we tallied fall into one of two categories. The majority are Republicans who are running for reelection and hold seats that are considered possible “swings,” as defined by the Cook Partisan Voting Index. The remaining are sitting Republican representatives who are facing competitive challenges in the next election regardless of the general partisan makeup of their district (again using analysis from Charlie Cook).

2014 House Race Ratings

Posted: Fri May 16, 2014 8:58 am
by Joseph Robidoux III
The Washington Post has an article titled "America’s most gerrymandered congressional districts". Take a WAG which is considered the most gerrymandered congressional district in the country and which state has the most of these (it really shouldn't be that hard to guess).[/break1]washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2014/05/15/americas-most-gerrymandered-congressional-districts/]http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/won ... districts/It also has pictures :-bd to show us what the 10 most-gerrymandered districts look like. A few even have names. My favorite is "Goofy kicking Donald Duck".