2014 House Race Ratings

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mimi
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2014 House Race Ratings

#1

Post by mimi » Thu Apr 25, 2013 4:13 pm

The big picture:SummarySolid Seats: 204 Rep, 166 DemLikely/Lean Seats: 28 Rep, 29 DemToss Up or Worse: 2 Rep, 6 DemHow can this be?Go here to see the info broken down:[/break1]com/house/charts/race-ratings]http://cookpolitical.com/house/charts/race-ratings



Joseph Robidoux III
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2014 House Race Ratings

#2

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Mon Jul 08, 2013 7:52 pm

This Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee March 5, 2013 article list 26 Democratic congresscritters whom the DCCC believes to be vulnerable.The "Frontline Program" list includes:

Representative Ron Barber (AZ-02)Representative John Barrow (GA-12)Representative Ami Bera (CA-07)Representative Tim Bishop (NY-01)Representative Julia Brownley (CA-26)Representative Cheri Bustos (IL-17)Representative Lois Capps (CA-24)Representative Suzan DelBene (WA-01)Representative Bill Enyart (IL-12)Representative Elizabeth Esty (CT-05)Representative Pete Gallego (TX-23)Representative Joe Garcia (FL-26)Representative Ann Kirkpatrick (AZ-01)|Representative Ann McLane Kuster (NH-02)Representative Sean Patrick Maloney (NY-18)Representative Dan Maffei (NY-24)Representative Jim Matheson (UT-04)Representative Mike McIntyre (NC-07)Representative Patrick Murphy (FL-18)Representative Bill Owens (NY-21)Representative Scott Peters (CA-52)Representative Raul Ruiz (CA-36)Representative Brad Schneider (IL-10)Representative Carol Shea-Porter (NH-01)Representative Kyrsten Sinema (AZ-09)Representative John Tierney (MA-06)

The highly successful Frontline Program is a partnership between the DCCC and Members to build successful campaign operations for the 2014 cycle.[/break1]org/newsroom/entry/dccc_chairman_steve_israel_announces_2013-2014_frontline_members/]http://dccc.org/newsroom/entry/dccc_cha ... e_members/



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Dolly
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2014 House Race Ratings

#3

Post by Dolly » Sun Oct 06, 2013 9:37 pm

10/6/13 2014 poll: GOP could lose the House The Republican Party could be in danger of losing control of the House in 2014, new polls on Sunday show.In a survey of 24 seats, Republicans fall behind in 17 head-to-head matches against “generic Democrat candidates” among registered voters and lag in an additional four districts when respondents are told the Republican candidate supported the shutdown, according to the surveys by Public Policy Polling which were funded by the liberal group, MoveOn.orgDemocrats would need to pick up 17 seats to take over the House — something the polling reveals could be within reach.details at: [/break1]politico.com/story/2013/10/2014-elections-poll-gop-house-97890.html]http://www.politico.com/story/2013/10/2 ... 97890.html


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Sterngard Friegen
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2014 House Race Ratings

#4

Post by Sterngard Friegen » Sun Oct 06, 2013 10:00 pm

The Democrats are loving this.And when the shutdown is over a lot of Republicans, including Boehner, will be primaried and may lose. I think the Dems will easily take back the house as a result of the shutdown and the Tea Baggers' disappointment it didn't kill the government.It's ugly and perilous to all of us, but this is how the Republican Party dies.



AnitaMaria
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2014 House Race Ratings

#5

Post by AnitaMaria » Mon Oct 07, 2013 12:21 am

You know what could accelerate the GOP slide? A birther bill. \ :D /



Joseph Robidoux III
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2014 House Race Ratings

#6

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Fri Oct 11, 2013 6:59 pm

It appears shutting down the government is satisfying to Republicans and pissing off everyone else.PPP's newest national survey finds that Americans continue to lean toward voting Democratic for the House next year, as they pin most of the blame for the government shutdown on Republicans.Democrats lead the generic Congressional ballot 46/41, including a 42/33 lead with independents. Independents have shifted 21 points on the generic ballot from July when Republicans had a 39/27 advantage with them. The lean toward Democrats for next year reflects who they blame for the shutdown. By a 51/37 margin they say Republicans are more at fault than Democrats, and by a 57/41 margin they think Congress is more to blame than the President. [/break1]publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/10/democrats-maintain-edge-for-2014.html#more]http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main ... .html#more



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June bug
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2014 House Race Ratings

#7

Post by June bug » Fri Oct 11, 2013 7:12 pm

Not to be a party pooper, but November, 2014 is over a year away. Gerrymandered districts and the American electorate's famously short memory argue against any premature celebrations.



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Foggy
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2014 House Race Ratings

#8

Post by Foggy » Fri Oct 11, 2013 7:20 pm

That's right, June Bug. The shorter way of saying that is, a week is a lifetime in polly ticks.


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June bug
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2014 House Race Ratings

#9

Post by June bug » Fri Oct 11, 2013 9:22 pm

Thanks, Fogster - shorter and better! :-bd



Joseph Robidoux III
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2014 House Race Ratings

#10

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Tue Jan 21, 2014 4:58 am

Roll Call has a casualty list for the US House and Senate.


[/break1]rollcall.com/politics/casualtylist.html]http://www.rollcall.com/politics/casualtylist.html



Joseph Robidoux III
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2014 House Race Ratings

#11

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Tue Jan 21, 2014 7:20 pm

The link in my preceding post has info for the 93rd through 113th Congresses. After a cursory check the 113th doesn't seem to have anything stand out.



Roboe
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2014 House Race Ratings

#12

Post by Roboe » Mon Jan 27, 2014 9:33 pm

Any idea whether that's a higher,lower,average turnover rate?+ Jon Runyan :roll:He lists his reasons for retiring here: [/break1]politico.com/magazine/story/2014/01/jon-runyan-quitting-congress-102583.html?ml=po_r]http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/ ... ml?ml=po_r



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mimi
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2014 House Race Ratings

#13

Post by mimi » Mon Jan 27, 2014 11:11 pm

I saw this last week:Tea Party Scorecard:[/break1]teapartyscorecard.com/]http://www.teapartyscorecard.com/The MembersThe 47 Members of Congress whose scores we tallied fall into one of two categories. The majority are Republicans who are running for reelection and hold seats that are considered possible “swings,” as defined by the Cook Partisan Voting Index. The remaining are sitting Republican representatives who are facing competitive challenges in the next election regardless of the general partisan makeup of their district (again using analysis from Charlie Cook).



Joseph Robidoux III
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2014 House Race Ratings

#14

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Fri May 16, 2014 8:58 am

The Washington Post has an article titled "America’s most gerrymandered congressional districts". Take a WAG which is considered the most gerrymandered congressional district in the country and which state has the most of these (it really shouldn't be that hard to guess).[/break1]washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2014/05/15/americas-most-gerrymandered-congressional-districts/]http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/won ... districts/It also has pictures :-bd to show us what the 10 most-gerrymandered districts look like. A few even have names. My favorite is "Goofy kicking Donald Duck".



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