2014 US Senate: Minnesota

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Joseph Robidoux III
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2014 US Senate: Minnesota

#1

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Mon May 27, 2013 12:48 am

Sen Al Franken (D-MN) appears to be in a much better position than many would have speculated 5 years ago.


Republicans promised to make funnyman Al Franken a one-term senator, but look who’s laughing now.





The Minnesota Democrat looked to be a top GOP pickoff target next year after his agonizing seven-month recount and legal battle put him in the Senate in 2009 by a mere 312 votes.





Yet, in a turnabout few could’ve predicted, Franken has yet to draw a Republican opponent. The GOP looks likely to choose between relatively unknown state legislators, inexperienced businessmen or a conservative radio host [Jason Lewis] with a history of controversial statements.








Franken, the former “Saturday Night Live” star and liberal talk show host, worked overtime to put himself in this position. Studiously following the Hillary Clinton Senate playbook, Franken has kept his head down, largely avoided national press and focused on populist issues like privacy and consumer protection. He has cultivated a reputation as a serious lawmaker and amassed a formidable war chest.


[/break1]politico.com/story/2013/05/al-franken-minnesota-senate-2014-91876.html?hp=f1]http://www.politico.com/story/2013/05/a ... html?hp=f1Some very encouraging poll results from Public Policy Polling.


PPP’s new survey of Minnesota voters finds Al Franken comfortably leading all potential challengers. Franken leads Michele Bachmann 55% to 38%. He leads Jason Lewis by 54% to 37%. Franken bests Republican Mike McFadden 51%-36%. He leads Julianne Ortman 52%-35%. Julie Rosen trails Franken 36%-52%. Rounding out the bunch, Rich Stanek faces a 36%-51% deficit against the Senator.





Franken himself is popular, with a 51% approval rating to 42% disapproval. Bachmann is deeply unpopular, at 34% favorable, 60% unfavorable and 7% not sure. Lewis has an 18% positive rating and 19% negative rating; 63% were undecided. McFadden garners positive views from 4%, negative ones from 10% and none from 85%. Julianne Ortman also has a 4% favorability rating, but her positive number comes with a 15% negative rating. Rosen garners a 9%-13% spread with 79% expressing no opinion. Rich Stanek stands at 11% positive and 14% negative. 75% have no opinion of him.





“Al Franken has proven to be a pretty popular Senator,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Add to that a relatively weak Republican bench in Minnesota and he’s looking like a clear favorite for reelection.”


[/break1]publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/05/franken-in-solid-position-for-reelection.html]http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main ... ction.htmlFranken, Congresswoman Crazy (R-MN 06) and Jason Lewis are the only 3 I've heard of from this bunch. Franken defeating either Bachmann or Lewis would be very enjoyable although I suspect the Republican nominee will be a Minnesota state legislator (just an early hunch).



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mimi
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2014 US Senate: Minnesota

#2

Post by mimi » Sat Jun 22, 2013 12:59 pm

Minn.'s Franken hardly a GOP target for defeatBy PATRICK CONDON— Jun. 22 4:22 AM EDTYou are hereHome » United States Senate » Minn.'s Franken hardly a GOP target for defeat[/break1]ap.org/article/minns-franken-hardly-gop-target-defeat]http://bigstory.ap.org/article/minns-fr ... get-defeatWhodathunk Al Franken would be so strong? I mean it was such a tight race back in 2008.



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Foggy
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#3

Post by Foggy » Sun Jun 23, 2013 8:58 am

He won over the Lizard People constituency. :P


Mr. William L. Bryan is the root of a great deal of criminal mischief. And yet, Mr. Bryan remains at large.

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#4

Post by Norbrook » Sun Jun 23, 2013 11:40 am

Actually, it wasn't Hillary Clinton's strategy, it was originally Chuck Schumer's. ;-) Anyone who has read Al Franken's books could have told you that he was a serious policy wonk. Yes, he's funny, yes, he was a comedian, but he's also a very, very smart man. This is why I rolled my eyes a lot at all the lefties who fell all over themselves gushing about Kucinich or Grayson. Sure, there wasn't a camera or microphone they wouldn't jump to, to thunder pronouncements. When it came to actual "get the work done" and "accomplish something," it turned out that they were too busy issuing pronouncements. :roll:



AnitaMaria
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2014 US Senate: Minnesota

#5

Post by AnitaMaria » Sun Jun 23, 2013 1:55 pm

Not only has Franken been more wonky than people expected, he's also been more moderate than people expected. In fact, he has frustrated some liberals with some of his positions and votes. He recently defended the NSA's data-collection activities. A couple of weeks ago--before the House farm bill imploded--he voted in favor of the Senate farm bill that cut $4B from SNAP. He was a Senate co-sponsor of Michele Bachmann's Stillwater Bridge bill, the sole purpose of which was to override the National Park Service's ruling that the proposed new bridge would violate the Wild and Scenic Rivers Act. This was a huge blow to environmentalists who have been fighting this bridge project for--literally--20 years and, IMO, set a bad precedent for future environmental policy. He's still reliably liberal. He won't face any liberal backlash. But he's not the radical some hoped for and others feared.





Add to this the current state of the Minnesota Republican Party. It's in shambles. There hasn't been a Republican elected to a statewide office since 2006. The state's highest-profile Republicans--Bachmann, Pawlenty, and Norm Coleman--appear to be out of Minnesota politics for the foreseeable future. Amy Klobuchar's challenger last fall was an unknown Paulista high school teacher with no political experience. There were some shady (though apparently not illegal) dealings related to debt they incurred for an ill-advised recount of the 2010 gubernatorial election results. The landlord for its St. Paul headquarters began eviction proceedings against them last year because they were over $100K behind in rent payments. (This has since been resolved.) A locally-renowned Republican activist is pursuing a lawsuit against the state because he was fired from his position as an aide to the state senate's Republican caucus after it was revealed that he had an affair with his boss, who happened to be the majority leader of the state senate at the time. Republicans throughout the state were crushed in last fall's election. They really, really blew the marriage equality fight by overreaching with the constitutional amendment to ban gay marriage. The MN GOP does not have direction, money, or leadership right now.





Democratic Governor Mark Dayton is also up for reelection in 2014. He's beatable. If a strong Republican emerges, I think it will be as a gubernatorial candidate rather than a challenger to Franken.

Edit: Correction: Klobuchar's challenger last fall was a one-term member of the MN House of Representatives and served on the city council in suburban Rosemount.



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#6

Post by AnitaMaria » Sat Jul 13, 2013 11:43 am

Al Franken has raised a lot of money...and he wants people to know about it. :P [/break1]us/photo/my-images/11/8l0m.png/]http://img11.imageshack.us/img11/4774/8l0m.png



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2014 US Senate: Minnesota

#7

Post by AnitaMaria » Thu Aug 22, 2013 12:28 pm

BuzzFeed has a great post by Al Franken:[link]Al Franken’s 13 Reasons Why The Minnesota State Fair Is The Best In The Country,http://www.buzzfeed.com/senatorfranken/ ... state-e04l[/link]It's loaded with good stuff about statues carved out of butter, meat on a stick, and all-you-can-drink milk bar. And you can vote on what State Fair food he should eat. [/break1]alfranken.com/landing/e130821/]http://www.alfranken.com/landing/e130821/I know why he doesn't do stuff like this much, but I wish he would do it more often. :P



Joseph Robidoux III
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2014 US Senate: Minnesota

#8

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Mon Jun 16, 2014 6:10 pm

These poll numbers may be discouraging to Republicans still upset over the 2008 MN Senate race but they should hardly be a surprise to anyone (see OP).[/break1]photobucket.com/user/Joseph_Robidoux_III/media/Politics/2014%20Elections/2014%20US%20Senate/Minnesota/USSenateMN2014-06-16a_zps3fedc84a.jpg.html]http://i1143.photobucket.com/albums/n63 ... edc84a.jpg[/break1]photobucket.com/user/Joseph_Robidoux_III/media/Politics/2014%20Elections/2014%20US%20Senate/Minnesota/USSenateMN2014-06-16b_zpsf5fa02db.jpg.html]http://i1143.photobucket.com/albums/n63 ... fa02db.jpg[/break1]realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/mn/minnesota_senate_mcfadden_vs_franken-3902.html]http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -3902.html



Joseph Robidoux III
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2014 US Senate: Minnesota

#9

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Wed Aug 13, 2014 1:14 am

Minnesota Primary Election Results:


Minnesota Department of State


Precincts Reporting in State: 96.1% 3946 of 4106





Democratic-Farmer-Labor


Al Franken................179,953....94.53%


Sandra Henningsgard.....10,410.....5.47%





Republican


Mike McFadden..........127,311....71.64%


Jim Abeler.................26,448....14.88%


David Carlson.............16,099......9.06%


Patrick D Munro............5,023.....2.83%


O Savior.....................2,822.....1.59%





Independence


Steve Carlson...............2,118....33.64%


Kevin Terrell................1,364....21.66%


Jack Shepard................1,126....17.88%


Stephen Williams.............863.....13.71%


Tom Books.....................825.....13.10%


[/break1]sos.state.mn.us/Results/USSenate/19?officeInElectionId=5382]http://minnesotaelectionresults.sos.sta ... ionId=5382



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mimi
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2014 US Senate: Minnesota

#10

Post by mimi » Wed Aug 13, 2014 8:48 am

Just the link to the rcp polling page:[/break1]realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/mn/minnesota_senate_mcfadden_vs_franken-3902.html]http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -3902.html



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#11

Post by Reality Check » Wed Aug 13, 2014 12:12 pm

Good to see Franken maintaining a nice lead in that one. He has been a great senator. We don't need a repeat of the 2008 cliffhanger. [-(


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2014 US Senate: Minnesota

#12

Post by DejaMoo » Wed Aug 13, 2014 6:41 pm

Minnesota Primary Election Results:


Minnesota Department of State


Precincts Reporting in State: 96.1% 3946 of 4106





Democratic-Farmer-Labor


Al Franken................179,953....94.53%


Sandra Henningsgard.....10,410.....5.47%





Republican


Mike McFadden..........127,311....71.64%


Jim Abeler.................26,448....14.88%


David Carlson.............16,099......9.06%


Patrick D Munro............5,023.....2.83%


O Savior.....................2,822.....1.59%


Note: Franken, in an off-election year, garnered more primary votes than all of his Republican-slate challengers combined.





Mark Dayton, Minnesota governor, accomplished the same feat.





Minnesotans are sending a strong message that they're tired of the Republican mismanagement of our state and want to stick to reliable politicians who can be counted on to govern responsibly.



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