2014 US Senate: Louisiana

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Joseph Robidoux III
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2014 US Senate: Louisiana

#1

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Mon Mar 04, 2013 8:38 pm

Congressman Charles Boustany (R-LA 03) announced he will not run against Sen Mary Landrieu (D-LA) in 2014. “While Congressman Boustany is honored to have been encouraged to run for the U.S. Senate in 2014, he remains dedicated to the 3rd Congressional District of South Louisiana,” spokesman Neal Patel said in a statement. “Serving on the House Ways and Means Committee allows Congressman Boustany to focus on issues important to Louisiana ranging from trade, to comprehensive tax reform, to health care. He looks forward to continue representing South Louisiana on Capitol Hill.”[/break1]rollcall.com/louisiana-boustany-will-not-run-for-senate/]http://atr.rollcall.com/louisiana-boust ... or-senate/

Joseph Robidoux III
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#2

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Tue Apr 02, 2013 7:57 pm

Sen Mary Landrieu (D-LA) has a challenger, [/break1]house.gov/]6th District Congressman William Cassidy.Republican Rep. Bill Cassidy will challenge Democratic Sen. Mary L. Landrieu in Louisiana, in what’s likely to be one of the most competitive races of 2014, CQ Roll Call has confirmed.The Associated Pres reported Tuesday that Cassidy will officially announce his candidacy in a video to be released on Wednesday.[/break1]rollcall.com/louisiana-cassidy-challenging-landrieu/]http://atr.rollcall.com/louisiana-cassi ... -landrieu/The article stated potential additional candidates include Congressman John Fleming (R-LA 04) and former Congressman Jeff Landry. Landry lost a member v member congressional race against Congressman Charles Boustany in 2012 due to redistricting.

Joseph Robidoux III
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#3

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Fri Apr 05, 2013 12:59 am

[/break1]house.gov/]Congressman John Fleming (R-LA 04) announces he will not run for the US Senate in 2014.


Fleming said he decided to opt out of the race after fellow Louisiana Rep. Bill Cassidy announced Wednesday that he would be challenging vulnerable Democratic Sen. Mary L. Landrieu.





“For me to enter the race now would risk a contest between two experienced Republican Congressmen, potentially offering Senator Landrieu a path back to Washington,” Fleming said in a statement. “I can’t let that happen.” [Nope, no sign of egotism here.]








With Fleming out, political observers are now awaiting word from former Rep. Rep. Jeff Landry, who is still deciding whether to run. In an interview with CQ Roll Call earlier this week, Landry said he will have an announcement next week that “may have the ability to play in this race” but declined to elaborate further.





Fleming is the third prominent Louisiana Republican to decline a run in what is expected to be one of the most competitive Senate races this cycle. Rep. Charles Boustany Jr. and Lt. Gov. Jay Dardenne, who had been mulling over runs, have already announced they won’t run for the seat.


[/break1]rollcall.com/louisiana-fleming-opts-out-of-senate-race/]http://atr.rollcall.com/louisiana-flemi ... nate-race/Nuts! I would have welcomed another member v member race involving two Louisiana Republican congresscritters (actually I enjoy GOP member v member races wherever they take place).

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#4

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Tue Oct 29, 2013 2:59 am

This sounds familiar. Teabaggers decide to support an underdog candidate instead of the favored Republican legislator many have known or known about for years.The Senate Conservatives Fund has endorsed retired Air Force Col. Rob Maness over Rep. Bill Cassidy in Louisiana’s GOP primary for Senate, throwing its support behind a conservative underdog in one of the cycle’s most competitive races.[/break1]rollcall.com/senate-conservatives-fund-backs-maness-in-louisiana-senate-race/]http://atr.rollcall.com/senate-conserva ... nate-race/Seems like deja vu all over again.

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#5

Post by SPen » Thu Oct 31, 2013 1:18 am

GOOD. If they want to throw money at him given Louisiana's jungle primary then it literally means they're throwing money down the toilet.

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#6

Post by SueDB » Thu Oct 31, 2013 12:21 pm

I wonder how badly these primary battles will be bleeding the funds of the various RWNJ group? Will they be able to scrape up enough cash to go on to the general elections.IMHO this is looking like a really brutal primary season coming up for the elephants.South of me is Washington #3 with Congresswoman Jaime Herrera Beutler (R-halfnutter) who broke with the rest of the House at the end of the "Big Showdown" supporting funding the government. She has already drawn a RWNJ challenger. I was expecting her to be more interested ensuring Americans have medical insurance after the birth of her first child with severe complications (living on borrowed time). She's damn lucky she has CongressMed. I would have thought she would have developed a little compassion for folks who are uninsured.[/break1]go.com/blogs/politics/2013/09/rep-jaime-herrera-beutlers-miracle-baby-a-fighter/]Congresswoman's New "Miracle Baby" Rolls Up The Hospital/Medical BillsB illsAgainst all odds, the eight-week-old daughter of Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler, R-Wash., is alive, despite receiving a near-certain death sentence from doctors while still in the womb. :confuzzled:
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Joseph Robidoux III
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#7

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Tue Feb 18, 2014 12:46 pm

Public Policy Polling writes that attack ads have been effective against Sen Landrieu.PPP's newest Louisiana poll finds that the race has tightened quite a bit over the last six months. In August Mary Landrieu led Bill Cassidy 50/40 and in October she had a 48/41 advantage, but now she's up just a single point on Cassidy at 45/44.The big thing that's changed over that period of time is Landrieu has lost much of her crossover support from Republicans. Six months ago she trailed by only 42 points with GOP voters at 65/23, but now that's a 63 point deficit at 77/14.Early attack ads on Landrieu have taken a big toll on her approval ratings. She was on slightly positive ground in August at 46/43, but now faces a -15 spread with only 37% of voters giving her good marks to 52% who disapprove.This race is now looking like the toss up most people expected it to be. You might expect things to be worse for Landrieu given Barack Obama's 39/56 approval rating in the state weighing her down, but the Republican candidates aren't setting the world on fire either and for now it remains an extremely competitive race.[/break1]publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/02/louisiana-senate-race-tightens-.html#more]http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main ... .html#moreRepublican superpacs are going to continue targeting Senators Landrieu and Pryor (D-AR) above all others unless something completely unexpected happens.

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#8

Post by SPen » Tue Feb 18, 2014 2:01 pm

Kay Hagan's been getting the worst of it, she's faced more outside money in attack ads than every other Senate Democrat combined. Landrieu might be facing money from a pro-climate change PAC set up by Tom Steyer: [/break1]nytimes.com/2014/02/18/us/politics/financier-plans-big-ad-campaign-on-environment.html?hp&_r=1]http://www.nytimes.com/2014/02/18/us/po ... ml?hp&_r=1This might actually help Landrieu though, similar to how pro-gun control money spent against Mark Pryor could have helped him, due to incumbents trying to localize their races by casting national interests/money as trying to determine state politics. Landrieu is remarkably tough and will be hard to beat either way.

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#9

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Sat Jul 05, 2014 11:28 pm

Despite the attack ads Sen Landrieu seems to be doing fine. Landrieu's totals in the latest Public Policy Polling and New York Times polls are greater than all her opponents combined.[/break1]photobucket.com/user/Joseph_Robidoux_III/media/Politics/2014%20Elections/2014%20US%20Senate/Louisiana/USSenateLAOpenPrimary2014-07-05a_zps0d5b3411.jpg.html]http://i1143.photobucket.com/albums/n63 ... 5b3411.jpg[/break1]photobucket.com/user/Joseph_Robidoux_III/media/Politics/2014%20Elections/2014%20US%20Senate/Louisiana/USSenateLAOpenPrimary2014-07-05b_zps6890e544.jpg.html]http://i1143.photobucket.com/albums/n63 ... 90e544.jpg[/break1]realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/la/louisiana_senate_primary-4070.html]http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -4070.html

SPen
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#10

Post by SPen » Sat Jul 05, 2014 11:45 pm

The problem is she has to get to 50%+1 on Election Day or it gets thrown to a runoff. Landrieu can win a runoff (she had to win one in '96 to get into the Senate and in '02 to be reelected) but the scenario that most fear is that control of the Senate comes down to a runoff and she just gets swamped even more by outside money and a national Republican fever to take back the Senate. More on the poll: Her job approval at 42%-52% which is pretty dire for a Democrat in LA, and the undecideds overwhelmingly dislike her and give her a 14%-65% job approval. Unlike some of the other Democrats up this year it doesn't seem like she's been able to distance herself from Obama (his approval is at 39%, only 3 points lower than hers). Being at 47% in the runoff means it's obviously doable but it's probably going to be as difficult as her previous races. Some big questions are does Ewin Edwards help with turnout in LA-06 and what the supporters of the Tea Partiers do in November and if it goes to a runoff. Every one of her races is close and this one will be no different. In '96 she won a runoff by a mere 5,788 votes. In '02 she was held to 46% on Election Day and then won the runoff 51%-48% (by 42,000 votes). In 2008 she took 52.1% on Election Day. It would be huge if she could find some way to contrast herself from the president. Getting the Keystone Pipeline would be a massive win for her, and many think Obama will reluctantly approve it in time, but I don't know if that's coming in the next four months or not.

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#11

Post by Sugar Magnolia » Sun Jul 06, 2014 7:04 am

Cassidy announced yesterday that his unmarried 17 year old daughter is pregnant. No idea how/if that will affect his chances.

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#12

Post by Foggy » Sun Jul 06, 2014 8:59 am

They know what causes that now. ;;)
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#13

Post by SueDB » Sun Jul 06, 2014 10:33 am

They know what causes that now. ;;)It can be treated successfully even though Bristol Palin is still around.
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#14

Post by Sterngard Friegen » Sun Jul 06, 2014 10:54 am

I think the correct thing to say is it's preventable unless you're a grifter from Wasila.

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#15

Post by SPen » Sun Jul 06, 2014 11:38 am

Cassidy announced yesterday that his unmarried 17 year old daughter is pregnant. No idea how/if that will affect his chances.I don't know if it does. He will make the runoff unless Landrieu can hit 50%+1 on Election Day. It might turn off some Tea Partiers and make them stay home though. It has the potential to make Cassidy look like a total hypocrite judging by his voting record, but the GOP is the party of serial hypocrisy and their voters couldn't care less.

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#16

Post by Dolly » Sat Dec 06, 2014 11:51 pm

Mary Landrieu Falls to Bill Cassidy in Louisiana RunoffSenate Republicans expanded their majority in the upcoming Congress on Saturday when Republican Rep. Bill Cassidy defeated Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu in a runoff election.The Associated Press called the race for Cassidy, who enjoyed substantial help from outside groups determined to knock off another Democratic incumbent senator this election cycle.Democrats, however, had largely given up on Landrieu once it became clear they no longer would retain control of the Senate. After the November 4 primary, liberal groups aired just 100 television ads in support of the three-term senator, whereas conservative groups aired 6,000, according to the Center for Public Integrity.Cassidy stuck to the GOP's successful strategy of tying Landrieu with President Barack Obama in a state Obama lost by 17 points in his 2012 re-election. He repeatedly said she voted with the president 97 percent of the time and painted her as the "deciding" vote for the Affordable Care Act. <SNIP>http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/electio ... ff-n262801 Landrieu loses reelection bid in Louisiana to Republican challenger Cassidyhttp://www.foxnews.com/politics/2014/12/06/la-senate-race/ cross posted at 2014 LA-06: Congressman Bill Cassidy (R) Seeking Election To US Senatehttp://thefogbow.com/forum/topic/6806-2014-la-06-congressman-bill-cassidy-r-seeking-election-to-us-senate/
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#17

Post by Reality Check » Sat Dec 06, 2014 11:55 pm

Another Republican-lite goes down the tubes. FU Mary. You were a pimple on the ass of progress from the moment you got elected.
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#18

Post by Plutodog » Sun Dec 07, 2014 4:43 am

Yup. Good riddance.
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#19

Post by Adrianinflorida » Sun Dec 07, 2014 9:01 am

Thanks for everything, Mary. Obstruction of the ACA, road blocking most every progressive measure even mentioned in the Senate and the Keystone Pipeline vote whoring a few weeks back. Good riddance.

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#20

Post by Roboe » Mon Dec 08, 2014 3:58 am

Curiously enough, on another forum, a member who has gone from solid pro-Obama to solid anti-Obama and birfer lite, is currently crowing that 'another Obama lackey has been defeated'.

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#21

Post by Suranis » Mon Dec 08, 2014 6:13 am

And I've seen people crow on Facebook about how Landreiu "changed her mind" on the Pipeline.
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#22

Post by Adrianinflorida » Mon Dec 08, 2014 6:33 am

Landreiu, an Obama lackey? That's a good one.

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