2014 US Senate: Michigan

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Joseph Robidoux III
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2014 US Senate: Michigan

#1

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Thu Feb 28, 2013 4:35 pm

Sen Carl Levin will be favored to win a 7th term; if he decides to run.Senate Armed Services Committee Chairman Carl Levin (D-Mich.) still has not decided whether he will seek reelection in 2014, raising new questions about the veteran lawmaker’s future.Levin, who turns 79 this summer, is one of the most senior Senate Democrats and the long-serving senator in Michigan history. The highly respected lawmaker has been pressed for months, both at home and on Capitol Hill, about his intentions for next year. But so far, Levin has refused to declare whether he will run.Levin added that he would make a decision in the “next couple weeks.”However, if Levin retires, it would open an expensive open-seat race for Democrats in what is already going to be a challenging — and costly — cycle for the majority. Democrats will have to defend open seats in West Virginia, Iowa and New Jersey following the retirements of Sens. Jay Rockefeller, Tom Harkin and Frank Lautenberg. Democratic leaders are also anticipating a possible retirement by Sen. Tim Johnson (D-S.D.) in coming weeks.[/break1]politico.com/story/2013/02/carl-levin-pondering-reelection-88244.html?hp=r1]http://www.politico.com/story/2013/02/c ... html?hp=r1

Joseph Robidoux III
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2014 US Senate: Michigan

#2

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Thu Mar 07, 2013 5:48 pm

Sen Levin made his decision.Michigan Democratic Sen. Carl Levin announced Thursday he will retire at the end of 2014.The chairman of the Armed Services Committee, first elected in 1978, is the longest-serving senator in Michigan history and will turn 80 before Election Day next year.Levin would have been heavily favored to win another term heading into 2014. The six-term senator has not faced a tough contest in almost three decades: He has won with at least 57 percent of the vote since his first re-election in 1984.An attorney by trade, Levin worked for the Michigan Civil Rights Commission in the 1960s. He was elected to the Detroit City Council in 1969, where he served for eight years before running for Senate. In 1978, Levin defeated Republican Sen. Robert Griffin by 4 points.[/break1]rollcall.com/pre-write-michigan-carl-levin-to-retire-embargo/]http://atr.rollcall.com/pre-write-michi ... e-embargo/

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#3

Post by A Legal Lohengrin » Thu Mar 07, 2013 6:56 pm

Sen Levin made his decision.I hope he enjoys his retirement and similarly enjoys being replaced by another good Democrat.

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#4

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Sat Mar 09, 2013 12:19 am

Scott Romney, GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney’s brother, is looking at running for retiring Democratic Sen. Carl Levin’s seat, according to a Michigan GOP source with first-hand knowledge of his interest.The Republican is a Harvard-educated corporate attorney at the Detroit-based law firm Honigman Miller Schwartz and Cohn, LLP. He was not immediately available for comment.[/break1]rollcall.com/scott-romney-considering-michigan-senate-bid/]http://atr.rollcall.com/scott-romney-co ... enate-bid/Michigan should be interesting, with or without Romney.

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#5

Post by SueDB » Sat Mar 09, 2013 12:20 am

I wonder how big a case of LOSER he could have caught from his brother.
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#6

Post by TexasFilly » Sat Mar 09, 2013 10:20 am

Scott Romney, GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney’s brother, is looking at running for retiring Democratic Sen. Carl Levin’s seat, according to a Michigan GOP source with first-hand knowledge of his interest.The Republican is a Harvard-educated corporate attorney at the Detroit-based law firm Honigman Miller Schwartz and Cohn, LLP. He was not immediately available for comment.[/break1]rollcall.com/scott-romney-considering-michigan-senate-bid/]http://atr.rollcall.com/scott-romney-co ... enate-bid/Michigan should be interesting, with or without Romney.TPM is on this story too:Report: Romney’s Brother Mulling U.S. Senate Bid In Michigan TOM KLUDT 5:13 PM EST, FRIDAY MARCH 8, 2013Scott Romney, the older brother of 2012 Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, is said to be considering a run in Michigan's open U.S. Senate race next year, a source told Roll Call on Friday. A Detroit-based corporate attorney, Scott Romney would run as a Republican. In 1998, he fell short in his bid to win the GOP nomination in Michigan's attorney general race.The 2014 Senate race in Michigan was upended somewhat on Thursday with news that Sen. Carl Levin (D-MI) will not seek re-election in 2014. A poll released Friday indicated that Levin likely would have won another term had he decided to run.[/break1]talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/report-romneys-brother-mulling-us-senate-bid-in]http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/e ... ate-bid-inThere's a pic of him at the link. He bears no physical resemblance to Mittens. I never even knew he had a brother. The comments over there are entertaining. My favorite: "Binders full of Romneys". :lol:
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#7

Post by Patagoniagirl » Sat Mar 09, 2013 11:02 am

[There's a pic of him at the link. He bears no physical resemblance to Mittens. I never even knew he had a brother. The comments over there are entertaining. My favorite: "Binders full of Romneys". :lol:He's a Brudder from another Mudder? But, how could that be?

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#8

Post by Suranis » Sat Mar 09, 2013 12:00 pm

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/assets_c/2 ... 8.jpgBonus sighting of a black guy in the corner!
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#9

Post by ZekeB » Sat Mar 09, 2013 12:07 pm

Bonus sighting of a black guy in the corner!He appears to be photoshopped into that picture.
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#10

Post by SueDB » Sat Mar 09, 2013 12:09 pm

Bonus sighting of a black guy in the corner!He appears to be photoshopped into that picture.I wouldn't put it past the pugs.
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#11

Post by DryInk » Sat Mar 09, 2013 12:32 pm

Bonus sighting of a black guy in the corner!He appears to be photoshopped into that picture.You can tell by the layers.
Let's just assume I said something witty.

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#12

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Wed Mar 13, 2013 10:33 am

Roll Call reports Romney will not run for the open Senate seat.Scott Romney will not run for the open Michigan Senate seat in 2014, according to a state GOP source who spoke with Romney late on Tuesday.The list of potential Democratic candidates includes Debbie Dingell, the wife of longtime Rep. John D. Dingell, former Gov. Jennifer Granholm, former Rep. Mark Schauer, Rep. Gary Peters and Rep. Dan Kildee.On the GOP side, Reps. Mike Rogers and Justin Amash, former GOP Chair Saul Anuzis and former Michigan Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land are mulling runs.[/break1]rollcall.com/source-scott-romney-not-running-for-senate-in-michigan/]http://atr.rollcall.com/source-scott-ro ... -michigan/

Joseph Robidoux III
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#13

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Fri Mar 15, 2013 5:24 am

Sen Levin made his decision.I hope he enjoys his retirement and similarly enjoys being replaced by another good Democrat.I hope Sen Levin's replacement doesn't have similar views on filibuster reform. Levin was the main objector to the Merkley-T Udall-Harkin reform package.


He [Sen Jeff Merkley] said the only clear holdout among the 55 Democrats is Sen. Carl Levin (D-MI).[/break1]talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/merkley-dems-have-votes-for-filibuster-reform]http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/e ... ter-reform

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#14

Post by Slartibartfast » Fri Mar 15, 2013 5:31 am

Sen Levin made his decision.I hope he enjoys his retirement and similarly enjoys being replaced by another good Democrat.I hope Sen Levin's replacement doesn't have similar views on filibuster reform. Levin was the main objector to the Merkley-T Udall-Harkin reform package.


He [Sen Jeff Merkley] said the only clear holdout among the 55 Democrats is Sen. Carl Levin (D-MI).[/break1]talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/merkley-dems-have-votes-for-filibuster-reform]http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/e ... ter-reformAs one of Levin's constituents (for most of my life), that depresses me. I'm hoping that Governor Granholm runs for (and wins) the seat.
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Joseph Robidoux III
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#15

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Mon Mar 25, 2013 6:55 pm

As one of Levin's constituents (for most of my life), that depresses me. I'm hoping that Governor Granholm runs for (and wins) the seat.Doesn't appear that will happen.Former Michigan Gov. Jennifer Granholm announced Friday via Facebook that she will not run for retiring Sen. Carl Levin’s seat.“Friends, thanks for all of the encouragement on the Michigan Senate seat, but I’m not going to run,” the Democrat wrote. “I appreciate all of the outreach I’ve received; for several reasons it’s just not right for us (it’s a family decision). My best to all the contenders — Levin’s US Senate seat will stay blue!”[/break1]rollcall.com/michigan-granholm-wont-run-for-open-senate-seat/]http://atr.rollcall.com/michigan-granho ... nate-seat/

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#16

Post by Slartibartfast » Mon Mar 25, 2013 10:34 pm

As one of Levin's constituents (for most of my life), that depresses me. I'm hoping that Governor Granholm runs for (and wins) the seat.Doesn't appear that will happen.Former Michigan Gov. Jennifer Granholm announced Friday via Facebook that she will not run for retiring Sen. Carl Levin’s seat.“Friends, thanks for all of the encouragement on the Michigan Senate seat, but I’m not going to run,” the Democrat wrote. “I appreciate all of the outreach I’ve received; for several reasons it’s just not right for us (it’s a family decision). My best to all the contenders — Levin’s US Senate seat will stay blue!”[/break1]rollcall.com/michigan-granholm-wont-run-for-open-senate-seat/]http://atr.rollcall.com/michigan-granho ... nate-seat/Well... crap. :(( :(( :(( It should still be a safely Democratic seat (since the gerrymandered districts don't affect it), but knowing King Snyder, he'll probably try to disqualify anyone living under an emergency manager from voting or something.Thanks for the info.
"Strategy without tactics is the slowest route to victory. Tactics without strategy is the noise before defeat."
---Sun Tzu (quoting Thomas Jefferson)
nam-myoho-renge-kyo---Thomas Jefferson (quoting Slartibartfast)

Joseph Robidoux III
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#17

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Thu May 02, 2013 1:07 am

Congressman Gary Peters (D-MI 14) announces he is a candidate for the open US Senate seat.


Peters has been expected to run since Levin announced his retirement, and has been gearing up for a campaign, raising more than $370,000 in the last three months. He has more than $800,000 to start for the race.





Michigan Democratic power-broker Debbie Dingell's decision last week not to run after some behind-the-scenes elbowing between the two cleared the final obstacle for Peters having a clear primary.








The congressman, who already has the backing of nearly every statehouse Democrat, said he’ll be endorsed by Rep. Dan Kildee (D-Mich.) at a Thursday event.








Most view Rep. Mike Rogers (R-Mich.) as their [Republicans] best chance to win the seat, though he is still weighing his options. If he doesn't run former Michigan Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land (R) is also looking at a bid. Rep. Justin Amash (R-Mich.) has also shown interest, though establishment Republicans are fearful he could scare off other candidates and that his libertarian streak might not play well in a general election.


[/break1]com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/297217-gary-peters-announces-michigan-senate-run]http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/sen ... senate-run

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#18

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Mon Jun 03, 2013 9:28 pm

Michigan Republicans found somebody.


“Beginning today, I [former Michigan Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land] am putting together a campaign strategy and a policy team. I will be filing the appropriate paper work by July 1 to become a Republican primary candidate,” she wrote on Facebook. “Now is our chance to win. I eagerly look forward to speaking with you face-to-face about ways to launch our country to prosperity while defending our liberty and freedoms.”





Land will face an uphill climb to win in Michigan — a state that has increasingly voted for Democrats on the federal level in the past decade. Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call rates this race as Safe Democrat.





Other GOP contenders include Reps. Justin Amash and Mike Rogers. Rogers, the national GOP’s top choice, is expected to make a decision sometime this month. Land told the Detroit Free Press the she would run “regardless” of what Rogers decides to do.





The field has essentially cleared on the Democratic side for Rep. Gary Peters.


[/break1]rollcall.com/republican-enters-michigan-senate-race-misen/]http://atr.rollcall.com/republican-ente ... ace-misen/

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#19

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Wed Jun 05, 2013 5:12 pm

Public Policy Polling has their first post-Levin poll out.PPP's first look at the Michigan Senate race since Carl Levin's retirement announcement finds Democrat Gary Peters as the early front runner, leading 8 different potential Republican candidates by anywhere from 5 to 20 points.The strongest potential Republican candidate at this point is former Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land, who announced her candidacy this week. She trails Peters by 5 points at 41/36. Land is the best known person considering the race too, although she still has just 50% name recognition.Republicans aren't really sure who they would like to be their standard bearer next year, but there is a clear top tier. 21% say they would like Camp to be their candidate, compared to 18% for Rogers, 16% for Amash, and 15% for Land. Anuzis at 7%, Small at 2%, and Steele and Kahn at 1% round out the candidates that we tested. A couple things stand out here- although Camp has a much smaller national profile than his colleagues Amash and Rogers, he actually has more support within the state. And Land's fourth place showing indicates this is another situation where the candidate who might give Republicans the best chance of winning in November is not necessarily the one they actually want to run. :lol: [/break1]publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/06/peters-leads-gop-field-in-michigan.html]http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main ... higan.htmlIt's like deja-vu all over again.

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#20

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Sun Aug 18, 2013 7:59 pm

Check my June 5 post (^^^) to learn whom Michigan Republicans favor to run for the open US Senate seat.


“Over the past few months, I have received a lot of encouragement to run for the United States Senate,” the Ways and Means Committee chairman said in a Friday statement. “I have greatly appreciated and am deeply humbled by those calls and conversations. After much thought and careful consideration, I have decided not to run for the United States Senate.”


Camp’s decision leaves Republicans with former Michigan Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land as the party’s lone candidate for the seat of retiring Democratic Sen. Carl Levin. However, Republican Rep. Justin Amash has not yet taken his name out of the running.


[/break1]rollcall.com/dave-camp-not-running-for-senate-in-michigan/]http://atr.rollcall.com/dave-camp-not-r ... -michigan/This race is presently rated as "Safe Democrat" by [/break1]com/ratings/senate/2014-senate-ratings-august-9-2013]The Rothenberg Political Report.

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#21

Post by SPen » Sun Aug 18, 2013 8:38 pm

The NRSC is desperate to find someone other than Land to take the plunge. They're even looking at small-time judge Kim Small.

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#22

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Mon Jun 16, 2014 4:54 pm

Got started on this a couple of days ago then got sidetracked on something. It must have been real important 'cause now I can't remember what it wuz.[/break1]photobucket.com/user/Joseph_Robidoux_III/media/Politics/2014%20Elections/2014%20US%20Senate/Michigan/USSenateMI2014-06-12a_zpsa50677cb.jpg.html]http://i1143.photobucket.com/albums/n63 ... 0677cb.jpg[/break1]photobucket.com/user/Joseph_Robidoux_III/media/Politics/2014%20Elections/2014%20US%20Senate/Michigan/USSenateMI2016-06-12b_zpsfafb81a7.jpg.html]http://i1143.photobucket.com/albums/n63 ... fb81a7.jpg[/break1]realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/mi/michigan_senate_land_vs_peters-3820.html]http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -3820.htmlThe March lead for Terri Land seems to be a result of a number of Republican leading pollsters all announcing their own poll results during the same time period. Public Policy Polling had Gary Peters +5 in April which seems to be approximately where most are at, or very close to, now.

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#23

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Thu Aug 14, 2014 5:02 pm

Real Clear Politics added 10 polls to its summary since my previous post. Gary Peters lead in all except one.[/break1]photobucket.com/user/Joseph_Robidoux_III/media/Politics/2014%20Elections/2014%20US%20Senate/Michigan/USSenateMI2014-08-14_zps8de532fe.jpg.html]http://i1143.photobucket.com/albums/n63 ... e532fe.jpg[/break1]realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/mi/michigan_senate_land_vs_peters-3820.html]http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -3820.htmlYou know the Republican isn't doing well when you see Rasmussen Reports showing the Democrat +6.

SPen
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#24

Post by SPen » Fri Aug 15, 2014 5:23 am

Land is just about done in this one. If it were up to the national party then she'd be triaged, but Republicans could never triage incumbent Governor Rick Snyder and that would in effect be what they're doing if they completely cut off resources going into Michigan. He previously held a lead over Mark Schauer for months but the polls have tightened over the last several weeks and now that race is neck-and-neck. Snyder won't appear with Land though, and she is basically running her entire campaign out of a bunker and refusing to make herself available to the press or even hold public events. She merely goes to fundraisers and closed-door events so she doesn't have to answer any questions.

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