2014 US Senate: South Dakota

Joseph Robidoux III
Posts: 5619
Joined: Fri Feb 11, 2011 6:02 am

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#1

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Thu Jan 17, 2013 11:07 pm

Originally posted on the 2014: House and Senate Class II thread.


South Dakota





Former GOP Governor Mike Rounds announced he will challenge Sen Tim Johnson when Johnson faces re-election in 2014.


[/break1]com/news/former-south-dakota-gov-mike-rounds-announces-run-for-us/article_0d6f54b6-3a32-11e2-838d-0019bb2963f4.html]http://rapidcityjournal.com/news/former ... 963f4.html





Johnson stated a formal announcement will come later but it certainly appears he intends to run.


[/break1]talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/sen-tim-johnson-re-election-decision-to-come]http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/e ... on-to-come


http://www.thefogbow.com/forum/viewtopi ... p449359Sen Johnson hedged a bit last December on his future plans. If Johnson decides not to run for re-election, you can color this seat red immediately. Former Gov Rounds would be a very heavy favorite for both the (Republican) primary and general elections.





But if Johnson decides to retire, Democrats will find other strong candidates for the Senate seat, [South Dakota Democratic Party Chairman Ben] Nesselhuf said. Former Democratic Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin and the senator's own son, U.S. Attorney Brendan Johnson, have been mentioned as possible candidates.


[/break1]huffingtonpost.com/2012/12/05/tim-johnson-south-dakota_n_2245376.html]http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/12/0 ... 45376.htmlI believe this is called puffing.





We'll just have to wait (and hope) a few weeks for the formal announcement.



Joseph Robidoux III
Posts: 5619
Joined: Fri Feb 11, 2011 6:02 am

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#2

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Thu Mar 21, 2013 10:16 am

The Mitchell, SD newspaper headline states Sen Johnson's seat is vacant but the very next line reads "Top Democratic official offers hint that Sen. Johnson will retire." I guess I can't blame South Dakota Republicans from wishful thinking. I'll admit it's my speculation Sen Johnson will retire. The lack of visible fundraising does not suggest a candidate running for re-election. Johnson, 66, has never lost an election, winning terms in the Legislature, the U.S. House and the U.S. Senate. Although he suffered a major brain bleed in December 2006 that weakened his body and slurred his speech, he returned to the Senate floor after several months away in 2007 and campaigned for and won a third term in 2008.But Johnson is still severely impacted physically from the 2006 episode.Johnson’s spokesman, Perry Plumart, said the senator, who has been in Congress for 26 years counting his 10 years in the House, will announce his plans this month. No date has been set for Johnson’s decision to be made public.[/break1]mitchellrepublic.com/event/article/id/77638/]http://www.mitchellrepublic.com/event/article/id/77638/ -xx



Joseph Robidoux III
Posts: 5619
Joined: Fri Feb 11, 2011 6:02 am

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#3

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Mon Mar 25, 2013 6:44 pm

News conference scheduled for 3:00pm CT in Vermillion, South Dakota.Sen. Tim Johnson will announce his future political plans in South Dakota on Tuesday, and according to a Reuters report, the three-term Democrat will retire.Johnson will hold a news conference “regarding the 2014 election” at the University of South Dakota in Vermillion — his 1969 alma mater — at 4 p.m. ET, according to a Monday press release from his Senate office.[/break1]rollcall.com/report-johnson-will-announce-retirement-in-south-dakota-on-tuesday/]http://atr.rollcall.com/report-johnson- ... n-tuesday/Senator Tim Johnson, the Democratic chairman of the powerful banking committee, does not plan to run for re-election when his current term ends in 2014, two sources familiar with the matter and a Capitol Hill staffer said on Monday.[/break1]reuters.com/article/2013/03/25/us-usa-congress-johnson-idUSBRE92O0SO20130325]http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/ ... SO20130325I'm expecting to learn the Reuters' news sources are correct.



Joseph Robidoux III
Posts: 5619
Joined: Fri Feb 11, 2011 6:02 am

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#4

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Tue Mar 26, 2013 4:04 pm

Sen Johnson announced he will retire at the end of his current Senate term.[/break1]keloland.com/newsdetail.cfm/sen-johnson-announces-retirement/?id=145718]http://www.keloland.com/newsdetail.cfm/ ... ?id=145718



Joseph Robidoux III
Posts: 5619
Joined: Fri Feb 11, 2011 6:02 am

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#5

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Thu Apr 04, 2013 8:08 pm

The [/break1]argusleader.com/article/20130404/UPDATES/130404026/In-shadow-primary-Johnson-backers-more-aggressive-than-Herseth-Sandlin-s]Sioux Falls Argus Leader has an article about the two Democrats considered the most likely to run for the open US Senate seat, US Attorney Brendan Johnson (son of Sen Tim Johnson) and former Congresswoman Stephanie Herseth Sandlin.



User avatar
Addie
Posts: 27348
Joined: Mon Jun 15, 2009 6:22 am
Location: downstairs

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#6

Post by Addie » Mon May 13, 2013 1:32 pm

[link]Political Wire,http://politicalwire.com/archives/2013/ ... e_bid.html[/link]





Herseth Sandlin Will Not Make Senate Bid





Former Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D-SD) has announced that she will not run for the U.S. Senate in 2014, the [link]Sioux Falls Argus Leader,http://www.argusleader.com/article/DF/2 ... ing-Senate[/link] reports.





"Rick Weiland, a former aide to Tom Daschle, last week became the first Democrat to enter the race after months of attention focusing on U.S. Attorney Brendan Johnson and former Herseth Sandlin. Johnson last week said he won't seek the seat being vacated by his retiring father."





"On the Republican side, former Gov. Mike Rounds has the field to himself -- for now."


¡Sterngard! come home.

Joseph Robidoux III
Posts: 5619
Joined: Fri Feb 11, 2011 6:02 am

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#7

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Tue Jun 11, 2013 6:59 pm

It appears Republicans will flip this Senate seat without much difficulty (and easily retain the only US House seat in South Dakota).Rep. Kristi Noem, R-S.D., announced Tuesday she will seek re-election rather than take on former Gov. Mike Rounds in the primary for the open seat. Her move clears a major hurdle in the GOP’s path to picking up the seat of retiring Democratic Sen. Tim Johnson.[/break1]rollcall.com/kristi-noem-not-running-for-senate/]http://atr.rollcall.com/kristi-noem-not ... or-senate/The Teabaggers will probably be upset for a while, then either hold their nose and vote for Rounds or just stay at home. Either way Rounds should remain a prohibitive favorite.Rounds could still face a challenge. Conservatives have been looking for a candidate for months, but Noem had by the far the highest name recognition of anyone mentioned.



Joseph Robidoux III
Posts: 5619
Joined: Fri Feb 11, 2011 6:02 am

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#8

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Tue Jul 09, 2013 6:28 pm

Former Gov Mike Rounds is not right wing enough for South Dakota Teabaggers.State Sen. Larry Rhoden, a longtime leader in the South Dakota Legislature, said Tuesday he will challenge former Gov. Mike Rounds for the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate next year.Rhoden has long been mentioned as a possible candidate by some Republicans who believe Rounds is not conservative enough on tax and spending issues. But Rounds, considered the front-runner, holds a substantial edge in name recognition in the race for the U.S. Senate seat now held by Democratic Sen. Tim Johnson, who is not seeking re-election after three terms.Rhoden, 54, a rancher and custom welder from Union Center in sparsely populated western South Dakota, said he will formally announce his candidacy Wednesday in Sioux Falls and Rapid City. He said he knows he will have to campaign heavily in more populous eastern South Dakota, where he is not well known.Rhoden has been a state legislator since 2001, serving as majority leader in the House for four years before being elected in 2008 to the Senate, where he is majority whip. He said that experience demonstrates he has the backbone to change the way things are done.[/break1]mitchellrepublic.com/event/article/id/81478/]http://www.mitchellrepublic.com/event/a ... d/81478/It will be interesting to see if Rounds moves his campaign promises to the right.



Joseph Robidoux III
Posts: 5619
Joined: Fri Feb 11, 2011 6:02 am

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#9

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Sun Oct 20, 2013 1:16 am

Neilson Brothers Polling (Sioux Falls, SD) conducted a poll Oct 2-6.


When matched against [Rick] Weiland (the only announced Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate) [former Governor Mike] Rounds leads 50.2 to 34.8 percent, with 15 percent undecided. The race has narrowed since the June NBP survey, which had Rounds ahead 54.3 to 27.1 percent.





Rounds holds a sizable advantage over other announced challengers for the Republican nomination. Republican primary voters give Rounds 46.1 percent support, followed by Stace Nelson (10.4 percent), Larry Rhoden (3.9) and Annette Bosworth (2.7). More than a third of Republican primary voters (37 percent) remain undecided.





NBP also matches Rick Weiland against Brendan Johnson and Steve Jarding, two other potential Democratic candidates, in a hypothetical primary contest. Among likely Democratic primary voters, Johnson leads with 30.7 percent support, followed by Weiland with 10.1 percent and Jarding with 6.6 percent. A majority (52.7 percent) of Democratic respondents are undecided.


[/break1]mitchellrepublic.com/content/poll-rounds-leads-senate-race]http://www.mitchellrepublic.com/content ... enate-raceRounds will be favored even if all the Teabagger in the state announce they are sitting this one out (unless Rounds has a boyfriend nobody knows about yet).



SPen
Posts: 269
Joined: Tue Jul 30, 2013 8:50 pm

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#10

Post by SPen » Sun Oct 20, 2013 10:48 am

Noem drew a great Democratic challenger for the state's only U.S. House seat, which means there's no chance she'll waste any time reconsidering her decision to sit this race out. We just don't have a Democratic candidate who could win this race. Brendan Johnson (Tim Johnson's son) never really stood much of a chance and our best option, Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin, declined to run after Daschle's people pretty much pushed her out of the way in trying to clear space for Weiland. That's a real shame, especially considering Weiland will probably end up losing by 15-20 points no matter if he's able to run a strong campaign (and he won't, because he's trying to run a campaign like he's trying to get elected in Minnesota instead). The state has shifted so far away from us that I'm not sure Tim Johnson would have won reelection had he decided not to retire.This one's definitely flipping in November 2014. Our chances are better in holding West Virginia and Montana in the other Open Seat races, especially if we're able to get Denise Juneau to reconsider in Montana.



User avatar
Sterngard Friegen
Posts: 43902
Joined: Wed Aug 05, 2009 12:32 am
Location: Over the drawbridge

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#11

Post by Sterngard Friegen » Thu Nov 14, 2013 11:55 am

My law school classmate, Larry Pressler, is exploring [link]running for the Senate,http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/pos ... th-dakota/[/link] in South Dakota as an Independent. He had served as a Republican Senator from 1979 to 1997. Larry is a moderate who voted for Barack Obama in 2008.



User avatar
ZekeB
Posts: 14636
Joined: Mon Oct 12, 2009 10:07 pm
Location: Northwest part of Semi Blue State

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#12

Post by ZekeB » Thu Nov 14, 2013 12:09 pm

I seem to recall he being a US Senator when I lived in Nebraska. That was back when Plains States Republicans wanted to build our country, not destroy it.


Ano, jsou opravdové. - Stormy Daniels

Nech mě domluvit! - Orly Taitz

Joseph Robidoux III
Posts: 5619
Joined: Fri Feb 11, 2011 6:02 am

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#13

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Fri Dec 27, 2013 6:34 pm

My law school classmate, Larry Pressler, is exploring [link]running for the Senate,http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/pos ... th-dakota/[/link] in South Dakota as an Independent. He had served as a Republican Senator from 1979 to 1997. Larry is a moderate who voted for Barack Obama in 2008.It's official. Former U.S. Sen. Larry Pressler said Thursday that he is running for Senate as an independent.[/break1]mitchellrepublic.com/content/its-official-former-sen-pressler-running-independent]http://www.mitchellrepublic.com/content ... ndependent



Joseph Robidoux III
Posts: 5619
Joined: Fri Feb 11, 2011 6:02 am

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#14

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Fri Feb 28, 2014 4:05 pm

[/break1]photobucket.com/user/Joseph_Robidoux_III/media/Politics/2014%20Elections/2014%20US%20Senate/South%20Dakota/USSenateSD2014-02-28_zpsb6562782.jpg.html]http://i1143.photobucket.com/albums/n63 ... 562782.jpg[/break1]realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/sd/south_dakota_senate_rounds_vs_weiland-4091.html]http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -4091.htmlIf South Dakota state Sen Larry Rhoden can get the Teabaggers excited the Republican primary might become worth following; otherwise watching paint dry would be more interesting than the primary or general elections.I don't expect a lot of polling firms other than those who perform the candidates' in-house polls to spend much time with the SD SEN race. I believe there is a good chance each of the majors may make one poll then say we wuz there.



SPen
Posts: 269
Joined: Tue Jul 30, 2013 8:50 pm

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#15

Post by SPen » Sat Mar 01, 2014 5:22 pm

I don't think there's any reason to poll because Rounds isn't going to lose the GOP primary. He's the strongest non-incumbent Republican running in a Senate race in the whole country. This seat is already gone. We've got about a 2% chance to win this race, and our only hope is that these rumors of scandal involving Rounds turn out to be both true and devastating. We needed Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin to even hope to be competitive here and Tom Daschle and his lacky Weiland scared her off.



Joseph Robidoux III
Posts: 5619
Joined: Fri Feb 11, 2011 6:02 am

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#16

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Mon Mar 03, 2014 3:26 am

The following is not the typical television advertisement we're used to seeing from political candidates."American Hustle shows the FBI making real-life bribes to Washington politicians. I know, because as your U.S. senator I turned them down," Pressler says in a new ad he'll air during the Academy Awards this Sunday.





The ad shows the hidden-camera FBI footage of him [then-US Sen Larry Pressler (R-SD)] turning down the bribe, saying "it would not be proper for me to promise to do anything in return for campaign contributions."





Pressler was the only lawmaker who turned down bribes in the Abscam corruption scandal re-popularized in the movie, which is up for a number of Oscars.








The former senator is running a long-shot bid for his old job. Former South Dakota Gov. Mike Rounds (R) is the prohibitive favorite for both the GOP nomination and in the general election while Pressler has struggled to raise money for the race.


[/break1]com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/199635-ex-senator-uses-american-hustle-connection-in-oscar-ad]http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/sen ... n-oscar-ad



User avatar
Sterngard Friegen
Posts: 43902
Joined: Wed Aug 05, 2009 12:32 am
Location: Over the drawbridge

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#17

Post by Sterngard Friegen » Mon Mar 03, 2014 9:57 am

Larry not only turned them down, he turned them in.



Joseph Robidoux III
Posts: 5619
Joined: Fri Feb 11, 2011 6:02 am

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#18

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Fri Jun 27, 2014 5:59 pm

This won't play well with the right wingers in his red state.U.S. Senate candidate Larry Pressler is not too pleased with the action of his former political party.After the state Republican Party passed a resolution to support the impeachment of President Barack Obama last weekend at its convention in Rapid City, Pressler said regardless of political standing, there should be an effort to work with the president."It's an absolute embarrassment to the state," Pressler said Wednesday in a meeting with The Daily Republic editorial board. "We can disagree with the president. I disagree with him on a lot of things ... but he is the president of the United State for two more years and we need to work with him."[/break1]mitchellrepublic.com/content/pressler-slams-gop-calls-impeachment-resolution-embarrassment]http://www.mitchellrepublic.com/content ... arrassment



Joseph Robidoux III
Posts: 5619
Joined: Fri Feb 11, 2011 6:02 am

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#19

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Thu Jul 03, 2014 7:12 pm

[/break1]photobucket.com/user/Joseph_Robidoux_III/media/Politics/2014%20Elections/2014%20US%20Senate/South%20Dakota/USSenateSD2014-07-03_zpsb442a566.jpg.html]http://i1143.photobucket.com/albums/n63 ... 42a566.jpg[/break1]realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/sd/south_dakota_senate_rounds_vs_weiland-4091.html]http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -4091.htmlIf Larry Pressler were to drop out, many of his supporters who normally vote Republican would again vote Republican in November with Mike Rounds winning easily. If Rick Weiland were to drop out Democrats would have to choose between someone playing footsie with the Teabaggers or a middle of the roader. If nobody drops out we can all congratulate Rounds as the new junior Senator from South Dakota.Thanks a lot Daschle.



SPen
Posts: 269
Joined: Tue Jul 30, 2013 8:50 pm

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#20

Post by SPen » Thu Jul 03, 2014 7:40 pm

This seat was lost when Daschle endorsed Weiland, after encouraging him to get in the race before Reid was able to get a commitment from Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin on whether or not she would run. She didn't want a contentious primary even against a long-shot like Weiland so she passed. I don't think it would have made a big difference who we nominated in this race because winning statewide in South Dakota might be purely impossible for us at this point, especially in a midterm, and especially against Rounds who got in the race in December 2012 and is a popular former Governor. Weiland is trying to run an inoffensive, populist campaign by doing all the little things like visiting every county, but he has absolutely no shot unless the GOP implodes nationally between now and November. We would have had a better shot with SHS but maybe she'll plot her comeback by challenging Noem in the future and getting us the House seat back.



User avatar
Sterngard Friegen
Posts: 43902
Joined: Wed Aug 05, 2009 12:32 am
Location: Over the drawbridge

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#21

Post by Sterngard Friegen » Thu Jul 03, 2014 8:00 pm

I'd sure like to see my former law school roommate be re-elected. I suspect he'd caucus with the Democrats this time around. But that would require Weiland to act like a statesman.



Joseph Robidoux III
Posts: 5619
Joined: Fri Feb 11, 2011 6:02 am

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#22

Post by Joseph Robidoux III » Sat Jul 26, 2014 2:50 pm

If Democrats are to have any hope of defeating former Gov Rounds this November, Rick Weiland needs to get out of the race now and ask his supporters to vote for Larry Pressler.


The front-runner, popular former GOP Gov. Mike Rounds, faces several foes: Democrat Rick Weiland; state Sen. Gordon Howie, a conservative Republican running as an independent; and Pressler, who served three terms as a Republican but is running as an independent.





Democrats held out hope the race would become competitive if Pressler splintered GOP votes from Rounds. But so far, Pressler is doing the opposite — splitting Democrats and extinguishing the party’s remaining hopes of keeping the seat.





“He seems to be veering to the left,” said Ben Nesselhuf, former South Dakota Democratic Party chairman, in an interview with Roll Call. “I like this Larry Pressler a lot more than I liked the one in the mid 1990s. … His message and Rick Weiland’s message seem to kind of overlap.”


[/break1]rollcall.com/senate-2014-larry-pressler-rick-weiland-mike-rounds/?dcz=]http://atr.rollcall.com/senate-2014-lar ... unds/?dcz=There is no guarantee whom Pressler would caucus with; there is a guarantee regarding Rounds. It doesn't matter whom Weiland would caucus with; he's brunt toast.



SPen
Posts: 269
Joined: Tue Jul 30, 2013 8:50 pm

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#23

Post by SPen » Sun Jul 27, 2014 5:03 pm

Yeah Weiland's never dropping out though. This is exactly what he wanted, a low-expectations affair where he can criss-cross the state talking about his "populist" ideas and running a campaign that's fit for Vermont.



User avatar
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater
Posts: 4828
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 4:28 pm
Location: East Coast
Contact:

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#24

Post by Dr. Kenneth Noisewater » Thu Oct 09, 2014 2:03 pm

This one just got interesting. New Poll out shows Pressler within 3 points of Rounds. Rounds has been hit with allegations that Mike Rounds while a congressman was helping sell off EB-5 visas to the highest bidder. There's a whole article about the situation here: http://www.argusleader.com/story/davidm ... /16890965/



Since this time there was a poll run by SurveyUSA showing Rounds at 35%, Pressler at 32% and Weiland at 28% since the previous polls Rounds has dropped 4 points while Pressler has gained 7 points. Weiland has stayed the same. For the first time Democrats are dumping a million dollars into this cheap market state. Even though there's no guarantee who Pressler will caucus with since he was previously a Republican, he did support Obama in the 2008 and 2012 elections. This became a horse race with less than a month remaining and Rounds losing support.



User avatar
Addie
Posts: 27348
Joined: Mon Jun 15, 2009 6:22 am
Location: downstairs

2014 US Senate: South Dakota

#25

Post by Addie » Thu Oct 09, 2014 4:38 pm

The Hill









South Dakota Independent: I'd be a 'friend of Obama' in the Senate



An underfunded independent from South Dakota has turned the Senate race there upside-down, giving Democrats a renewed hope of holding the seat — or at least preventing a Republican pickup.

But while former Sen. Larry Pressler, who served nearly a quarter century in Congress as a Republican, won't say who he'd caucus with, he told The Hill Wednesday that, if elected, he'd be a "friend of Obama" in the Senate.

"I don't regret those votes, 'cause on that day, that's how I felt," he said of voting for Obama twice, a detail used by Republicans as evidence Pressler is now a closet Democrat.

He said the first time around, he supported Obama's budget plan, which was similar to the "Clinton-Gingrich balanced-budget plan," which Pressler says he sees as a model for the nation. And the second time, Pressler said he supported the president because he spoke out on the issue of post-traumatic stress disorder, something Pressler himself is afflicted with from his combat experience in the Vietnam War.








¡Sterngard! come home.

Post Reply

Return to “U.S. Senate”