Sterngard Friegen wrote:Yes. My predickshun is summary reversal with Justices Thomas and Gorsuch whining dissenting.
Concur in part, dissent in part.
Preliminarily, review by SCOTUS isn't automatic. But no doubt there's at least four votes for a grant.
I don't think it will be a summary
reversal. SCOTUS just granted cert. in the wedding-cake case; these two cases will let the court "explore" the boundaries of its recent decisions regarding same-sex rights. Having said that, I haven't read this decision, but I don't see SCOTUS agreeing to the federal government granting benefits to same-sex spouses, but not the states.
Barring a death/retirement/impeachment, SCOTUS' ideological balance remains as it was two years ago. So I anticipate a reversal by the court; either the same 5-4 as before, or maybe 6-3.
This is a state-court decision, so the standing concerns are different. But I am curious how some taxpayers can complain; I mean, one could
question the wisdom of the policy, but that's a far cry from saying the policy is unconstitutional.