Polls: 2020 Already

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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#51

Post by Addie » Tue Jan 22, 2019 7:06 pm

The Hill
Poll shows 36 percent support Trump's reelection, 43 percent prefer generic Democrat

Only about one-third of registered voters say they’ll vote to reelect President Trump in 2020, according to a Harvard CAPS/Harris poll released exclusively to The Hill on Tuesday.

The poll found that 36 percent of voters support Trump in 2020, with 25 percent of them saying they’d definitely vote for the president. Meanwhile, 43 percent say they’d vote for an unnamed Democratic candidate in next year’s elections.

Ten percent of voters say they would vote for an independent or another candidate, and 11 percent are undecided more than a year and half out from the 2020 elections.

Meanwhile, Trump’s approval numbers have remained steady amid the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, with 45 percent who approve of the president’s handling of the job and 55 percent who disapprove.

But the president faces a hurdle on likability. Twenty-nine percent of voters say they like him, while 58 percent dislike Trump. ...

Full poll results will be posted online later this week. The Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll survey is an online sample drawn from the Harris Panel and weighted to reflect known demographics. As a representative online sample, it does not report a probability confidence interval.

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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#52

Post by RoadScholar » Tue Jan 22, 2019 9:31 pm

Foggy wrote:
Tue Jan 22, 2019 2:03 pm
Off Topic
But ...

The reason I think it's OK to end a sentence with a preposition is that it is clearly OK to end a CLAUSE with a preposition, and a clause is often just a short sentence.

And it is clearly OK to begin a clause with a number that isn't spelled out.
As the Russia investigation heats up, 45% of voters think Trump has committed crimes since he began running for President to 41% who don’t think he has.
So I'm not sure this is a good rule. Maybe PPP is leading the way into a better future. :think:

Or maybe the rule doesn't apply to percents?
The starting with a number rule only applies to the Sanity Clause. 8-)
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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#53

Post by Danraft » Tue Jan 22, 2019 9:44 pm

After being told that he would be denied parole and have to serve at least 5(five) more years, the lanky prisoner plucked the toothpick out of his mouth, looked at the attractive lady warden, and said, "What do you say, we make love, and you speak to the parole board and get me out of here?"

The warden, flushed with apparent anger, stood and indignantly said,

"I may be new here, but I know better than to end a sentence with a proposition..."
The Mercury Project

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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#54

Post by Addie » Thu Jan 31, 2019 9:36 am

Slate
New Michigan Poll Indicates Democrats Could Beat Trump by Nominating Whomever the Heck They Want ...

But with those caveats out of the way, this post also gets to highlight a pretty striking result from a 2020 poll out of Michigan, which is currently one of the bellwether-iest swing states in the U.S. as far as predicting who will win the presidency. The poll, conducted for WDIV and the Detroit News by a reputable pollster (Glengariff Group), found:
• That Trump’s job-performance approval-disapproval rating is underwater in the state by a 38–53 margin and that among independents, he’s underwater by 7 percentage points (43–50).

• That Trump would lose a hypothetical 2020 matchup against Joe Biden by a 53–40 margin.

• That Trump would lose a hypothetical 2020 matchup against Bernie Sanders by a 52–41 margin.
Trump also lost matchups against Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren by smaller margins—but that’s because more respondents said they were undecided in head-to-heads involving the two lesser-known candidates, not because Trump got significantly more support himself against them than he did against Biden and Sanders.

What’s most worrisome for Trump about these results is not just that Biden and Sanders are both very well-known—only 9 percent of Americans said they didn’t have an opinion about Sanders in a recent Gallup poll, and Biden is Biden—but that they’re well-known for being about as far apart ideologically as two Democratic presidential candidates could be. Biden is the guy strongly associated with the Democratic Party establishment who has a long record on issues like criminal justice and financial regulation that now qualify as conservative; Sanders is the fiery leftist outsider who wants to crush the banks and raise taxes to pay for universal health care and higher education. If both of those guys would trounce Trump, it suggests that there’s not much that voters could learn about Warren or Harris—or really anyone with a (D) next to their name—that they would find disqualifying.

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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#55

Post by Tiredretiredlawyer » Thu Jan 31, 2019 9:54 am

The caveats from Slate:
• Polls underestimated Donald Trump’s chances in 2016 in a way that, while not egregiously inaccurate overall, crucially failed to foresee the way he’d win the Electoral College.

• There are like a million days (actually 643 days) until the 2020 election.

• Any individual poll is just one snapshot of where a hopefully representative subset of potential voters is at during a given time period, not a prediction of exactly what will happen in a real election.
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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#56

Post by ZekeB » Thu Jan 31, 2019 9:58 am

The anybody but Trump number will change once the mud starts getting thrown. I’d support Joe or even Bernie if they had the best chance of putting this current administration out to the curb with the other trash. I would hope a younger candidate would get the nomination. Joe and Bernie are single term candidates. In any event the Dems need to take solid control of both houses. We need to start undoing the damage of the current administration and move forward.
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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#57

Post by kate520 » Thu Jan 31, 2019 11:24 am

Off Topic
I heard a TED talk about the preposition rule. Seems the guy who made that rule was something of a martinet, none of the other writers of his time liked him, and this rule may have been his attempt at revenge. It was only ONE GUY...and he made up other silly rules, none of which has stuck like that one. Apologies, I was driv9ng at the time and I don’t even remember when this was.
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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#58

Post by Addie » Mon Feb 04, 2019 4:31 pm

Political Wire
Big Majority Thinks It’s Time for a New President

A new Monmouth poll finds just 38% of registered voters think that President Trump should be re-elected in 2020. A majority of 57% say it is time for someone new in the Oval Office.

The party breakdown: 79% of Republicans back a second term for the president while 94% of Democrats say it is time for someone new. Meanwhile, 55% of independent voters want a change while 39% support the incumbent.

Interestingly, 43% of Republican voters and independents who lean Republican would like to see Trump face a primary challenge.

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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#59

Post by Addie » Mon Feb 04, 2019 9:07 pm

The Hill
Poll finds 43 percent of Republicans want a primary opponent for Trump

More than 40 percent of Republicans want to see President Trump face a GOP challenger in the primary before the 2020 election, according to a new poll.

Forty-three percent of Republicans in the poll conducted by Monmouth University said they want to see a contested primary. Forty-nine percent of Republican respondents said they hope Trump will run unopposed.

Even with a sizable portion saying they would like to see a Republican challenge the sitting president, the poll found that Trump would likely defeat any potential foe.

In a primary against Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas), Trump received 66 percent support in the poll compared to Cruz’s 21 percent. And against Ohio Gov. John Kasich, Trump won 73 percent compared to Kasich’s 14 percent.

“It’s not clear that any Republican, whether a past challenger or new blood, would have a realistic shot at taking the nomination. The party’s base belongs to Trump,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.

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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#60

Post by Addie » Tue Feb 05, 2019 11:11 am

NBC News
Poll: Dems want 'electable' challenger who can beat Trump. Values come second.

WASHINGTON — Spooked by the 2016 election, Democratic voters say they want above all else someone who can beat President Donald Trump, according to a new poll Monday.

The only problem is they disagree on how you beat Donald Trump.

The poll from Monmouth University found that an unusually large number of Democratic voters are prioritizing "electability" over values as they begin to think about whom to support in their 2020 presidential primary.

"In prior elections, voters from both parties consistently prioritized shared values over electability when selecting a nominee," said Patrick Murray, the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute. "It looks like Democrats may be willing to flip that equation in 2020 because of their desire to defeat Trump. This is something to pay close attention to when primary voters really start tuning into the campaign."

In the survey, 56 percent of potential Democratic voters nationally said they preferred someone who would be a stronger candidate against Trump, even if they don't agree with that candidate on all issues. Meanwhile, 33 percent said they would prefer someone who aligns better with their beliefs, but who might have a harder time beating Trump. ...

Is the most electable candidate a moderate who won't scare off the upwardly mobile suburbs that were crucial to the party's gains in the 2018 midterms? Or is it a person of color who can excite African-Americans and Latinos, whose turnout dropped off in 2016? Or could it be a populist progressive who can try to back white union voters who drifted from the Democratic Party in those upper Midwest states that were crucial to Trump’s victory? Or is it something else entirely?

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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#61

Post by Addie » Mon Mar 04, 2019 6:27 am

Bloomberg
U.S. Voters Don’t Want Socialist or Very Old President: Poll

Americans are least favorable toward a presidential candidate who’s a socialist or older than 75, according to an NBC/Wall Street Journal poll that said President Donald Trump’s approval rating ticked up in the past month.

Only 25 percent of respondents ranked “socialist” as a desirable trait for a candidate. Only 37 percent said “someone over 75” was desirable, according to the survey, released on Sunday. More voters were accepting of candidates who were gay or lesbian, independent or under 40.

The poll comes as Democrats line up for a chance to take on Trump in the 2020 presidential election. The survey suggests that 41 percent of voters would definitely or probably vote for Trump in 2020, against 48 percent who said they would vote for the Democratic candidate.

Early polls have shown that among front-runners for the Democratic nomination are former Vice President Joe Biden, 76, who is still deciding whether to run, and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, 77, who has announced another presidential bid. Trump is 72.

Heading toward the first 2020 nominating contests about a year from now, Democratic primary voters reported by a margin of 55 percent to 42 percent that they prefer a nominee who proposes policies that could bring major change over one suggesting less change.

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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#62

Post by Addie » Thu Mar 07, 2019 10:14 am

The Hill
Americans' views of Biden dip since 2017, still high: Gallup

Gallup on Thursday said that recent polling shows Americans’ views of former Vice President Joe Biden have slipped since he left office, but the overall numbers still remain high as he contemplates a 2020 White House bid.

More than half of those surveyed — 56 percent — have a favorable opinion about Biden, the pollsters found. Approximately 8 in 10 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents view Biden positively. By comparison, almost 1 in 3 Republicans and Republican leaners view him favorably.

The former vice president’s popularity peaked at 61 percent in January 2017, Gallup noted.

The polling giant said Biden’s high profile and overall popularity would arguably make him the presumptive front-runner in the 2020 field.

It noted that respondents had similar views of Biden and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders (I), who officially announced his second presidential candidacy last month. Fifty-three percent of those surveyed had a favorable opinion of Sanders when Gallup last asked about it in September.

Gallup also noted that the unfavorable ratings of five other Democratic contenders — Sens. Elizabeth Warren (Mass.), Kamala Harris (Calif.), Cory Booker (N.J.), Amy Klobuchar (Minn.) and Kirsten Gillibrand (N.Y.) — exceed their favorable rating by between 2 and 8 percentage points in the new poll.

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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#63

Post by Addie » Fri Mar 08, 2019 6:03 pm

Detroit Free Press
More bad news for President Donald Trump in latest Michigan poll ...

The poll, conducted by EPIC-MRA of Lansing, largely tracks with other recent polls done in Michigan and in some other states such as Wisconsin and Florida that show Trump could be in trouble some 20 months before the next election. ...

As with most polls, the EPIC-MRA poll asked respondents their political leanings, and 42 percent of those surveyed identified as Republicans or Republican-leaning independents (compared with 43 percent Democrats or Democratic-leaning independents and 12 percent true independents).

But since only 31 percent of all of those surveyed said they would definitely vote again for Trump, it shows a problem for Trump even among those who would be expected to be his most loyal supporters — the 42 percent who identify as Republican voters.

"The vote to re-elect numbers are 31 percent — 11 points below the (Republican) Party identification.That spells trouble for him," said Porn. "And there are people who are saying they like him, or are giving him a positive job rating, who are still saying they won't re-elect him. That gap is a problem."

The poll shows that Trump's overall favorability rating has dropped from EPIC-MRA's last poll in October, from 43 percent favorable and 53 percent unfavorable then to 40 percent favorable and 55 percent unfavorable now.

Meanwhile, the percentage of those surveyed who rated Trump's performance as president dropped from 43 percent positive and 56 percent negative to 40 percent positive and 58 percent negative.

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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#64

Post by Addie » Sun Mar 10, 2019 8:22 am

Politico
Iowa poll: It's Biden vs. Bernie

The Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom survey asked Democrats likely to take part in Iowa’s 2020 caucuses who their top choice for president would be.


Former Vice President Joe Biden leads a crowded Democratic primary field in Iowa, but Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders has shot up in popularity in the first-in-the-nation presidential nominating state.

A new Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom poll released Saturday evening shows Sanders within just two points of Biden, who in December dominated the field.

The survey showed 27 percent supported Biden and 25 percent supported Sanders — a percentage within the 4.9 percent margin of error. In December’s Register poll, Biden led the pack at 32 percent with Sanders at 19 percent. ...

The Iowa Poll, headed by pollster Ann Selzer, is a closely watched barometer of the state’s politics. Conducted March 3 through March 6, the poll surveyed 401 Iowa Democrats likely to take part in Iowa’s 2020 caucuses who their top choice for president would be. ...

No other candidate broke 10 percent. The next closest was Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 9 percent, up slightly from 8 percent in December. California Sen. Kamala Harris was at 7 percent, up from 5 percent. While Warren and Harris saw a small uptick, former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke saw a drop to 5 percent, down from 11 percent in December. O’Rourke has not yet announced his 2020 plans. Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar and New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker each polled at 3 percent.
Adding:
Des Moines Register: Iowa Poll: Not even in the race, Joe Biden leads herd of Democrats; Bernie Sanders close behind
CNN: CNN Poll: The strengths and the weaknesses of the Democrats in Iowa

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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#65

Post by Slim Cognito » Sun Mar 10, 2019 9:35 am

Just my WAG but, at this point, I'd say it's name recognition more than commitment.
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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#66

Post by Foggy » Sun Mar 10, 2019 10:58 am

That's how I see it. :smoking:

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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#67

Post by Addie » Mon Mar 11, 2019 2:38 pm

Monmouth University Poll - March 11 2019
NATIONAL: LITTLE CHANGE IN DEM 2020 OUTLOOK

West Long Branch, NJ – Looking ahead to a second term, President Donald Trump has a significant deficit in the swing counties that were crucial to his 2016 victory. Still, a majority of Republican voters continue to back the incumbent over a couple of potential challengers for the GOP nomination. The Monmouth University Poll also finds little has changed in the status of the Democratic contest. Sen. Bernie Sanders has made some gains but he still holds onto only about half the voters who supported him in 2016.

Just under 4-in-10 registered voters (38%) say that Trump should be re-elected in 2020. A majority of 57% say it is time to have someone new in the Oval Office. These results are identical to a Monmouth poll taken in January and nearly identical to one taken in November.

Looking at Trump’s re-election prospects by key parts of the country suggests there may be trouble ahead in areas that were critical to his victory three years ago. In approximately 300 “swing” counties, accounting for about one-fifth of the total U.S. electorate, only 33% back the incumbent’s re-election compared with 61% who want a change in the Oval Office. In 2016, Hillary Clinton won the cumulative vote in these counties by just a single percentage point.

In the nearly 2,500 “red” counties that Trump won by an average of 36 points in 2016, his current standing is a comparatively narrower 58% for re-election and 39% for someone new. In the remaining 360 “blue” counties that Clinton won by about 35 points on average, only 21% of voters support Trump for a second term while 74% want someone new.

“Trump maintains his core base of support, but it’s not clear that he can still count on those swing voters that helped put him over the top in the Electoral College,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.

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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#68

Post by Addie » Sun Mar 17, 2019 6:56 pm

Emerson Polling
Wisconsin 2020: Bernie Sanders Leads Democratic Field; Trump Competitive in General Election

The first Emerson College Wisconsin Poll of the Democratic primary finds Bernie Sanders holding a strong lead with 39% of the vote, followed by Joe Biden at 24%. In third place, Elizabeth Warren, the only other candidate in double digits, is at 14%. The poll was conducted March 15-17, n=324, +/- 5.4%.

Sanders holds a large lead among 18-29 year olds, with 61% of the vote, while Warren is second with 15% of support. With voters over the age of 65, Biden leads with 38%; Sanders is in second with 26%. Spencer Kimball, Director of Emerson Polling, explains: “Unlike Michigan and South Carolina, where Biden competed with the youth vote, our poll shows that in Wisconsin, Sanders maintains the coalition he built in 2016 that earned him nearly 54% of the vote in the Democratic primary against Clinton.”

If Joe Biden decides against running, it appears that this vote would split between Bernie Sanders at 23%, Beto O’Rourke at 20%, Kamala Harris at 16% and Elizabeth Warren at 14%. No other candidate receives over 10% if Biden does not run.

Democratic primary voters appear to be looking for a candidate on the left in terms of policy. Twenty-four percent (24%) of Democratic respondents reported they want policies that significantly move the party to the left; 31% want policies slightly to the left. 30% said they want party policies to stay as is - with only 15% looking for the party to move to the right. Even with this desire for a move to the left, 84% of Democratic primary voters either somewhat, or strongly agree, that the Democratic Party represents their interests. Only 8% of respondents disagreed with that statement.

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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#69

Post by Addie » Mon Mar 18, 2019 9:07 pm

CBS News
Joe Biden leads 2020 Democrats in millennial support, poll finds

Former Vice President Joe Biden, who is mulling a White House bid, leads declared and potential Democratic presidential candidates in support among millennial voters, according to a new poll of adults between the ages of 18 and 34.

The poll, organized by the University of Chicago's GenForward Survey Project, found that 21 percent of millennials back Biden over Democrats who have entered the crowded primary field, including Sens. Bernie Sanders, Kamala Harris, Cory Booker, Amy Klobuchar and Elizabeth Warren. Sanders, whose insurgent 2016 campaign was fueled by ardent support among young progressive voters, is a close second at 18 percent.

According to the poll, Biden also enjoys strong support among young minority voters. With support from 29 percent of Asian American millennials, 28 percent of African American millennials and 19 percent of millennial whites, the former Delaware senator led in all surveyed voting blocs — except millennial Latinos. Twenty-six percent of Hispanics between the ages of 18 and 34 said they support Sanders. Among that group, Biden came in second with 19 percent support. ...

If he launches a campaign, Biden is likely to quickly solidify himself as one of the most formidable Democratic contenders. Unlike most of his would-be competitors, Biden is already a household name, and his allies argue he has the best the chance to woo voters in states like Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania who propelled Mr. Trump to victory during the 2016 election.

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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#70

Post by Addie » Thu Mar 21, 2019 12:22 pm

The Hill
Poll: Biden leads Trump by 10 points in head-to-head matchup

Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Trump by 10 points in a hypothetical 2020 general election matchup, according to a new poll.

The Emerson College poll released Tuesday shows Biden with the support of 55 percent of voters and Trump with 45 percent.

Biden, who has not announced his candidacy for president but is expected to soon jump into the race, has the largest lead over Trump among likely and declared Democratic candidates.

But Biden's lead over Trump shrinks to 8 points when former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz is included as an option, according to the poll.

The poll also shows Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) defeating Trump by 4 percentage points, while Sens. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) each edge Trump by 2 points.

The poll also finds that Trump narrowly leads former Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D-Texas), with Trump garnering 51 percent of support and O'Rourke getting 49 percent of supporters.

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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#71

Post by Addie » Fri Mar 29, 2019 12:23 pm

The Hill
Poll: Biden, Sanders hold double-digit lead on Trump in Pennsylvania

Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) both hold double-digit leads over President Trump in a hypothetical 2020 White House match-up in the state of Pennsylvania, according to a new poll.

An Emerson College survey released Friday found both men gaining 55 percent of the vote in a hypothetical general election battle with the sitting president, while many other Democrats held single-digit margins over the president in the state.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) holds a four-point lead over Trump among respondents to the poll.

Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) also held a slim lead over the president in the poll, with the support of 51 percent of respondents to Trump's 48 percent in their head-to-head race. Former Texas Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D) also slightly led Trump in the poll, with support from 51 percent of voters compared to Trump's 49 percent.

At issue for the president in the state is his job approval rating, which currently sits underwater, with 41 percent of those surveyed saying they approved of the job Trump is doing.

Overall, 55 percent of Pennsylvania voters surveyed said they "were not likely" to vote for the president in 2020, while 45 percent said they were likely to vote for Trump.

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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#72

Post by Foggy » Fri Mar 29, 2019 12:34 pm

I'm a little shocked that Biden and Sanders are considered the front-runners. I seriously doubt that either of them will be the nominee, but I suppose stranger things have happened. :daydream:

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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#73

Post by ZekeB » Fri Mar 29, 2019 12:36 pm

Foggy wrote:
Fri Mar 29, 2019 12:34 pm
I'm a little shocked that Biden and Sanders are considered the front-runners. I seriously doubt that either of them will be the nominee, but I suppose stranger things have happened. :daydream:
circa 2016.
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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#74

Post by Addie » Wed Apr 10, 2019 9:40 am

Quinnipiac University
April 10, 2019 - Biden Leads Among California Dems, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; 67% Of Women Say Biden Touching Issue Is Not Serious

Former Vice President Joe Biden is the leader of the pack with 26 percent of California Democrats and voters leaning Democratic, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll released today. U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont takes 18 percent of Democrats and Democratic leaners, with 17 percent for native daughter, U.S. Sen. Kamala Harris.

U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg have 7 percent each, with no other Democratic contender topping 4 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds.

Democrats and Democratic leaners give Biden substantial leads on some key factors:
31 percent say he would be the best leader, followed by 18 percent for Sen. Sanders and 13 percent for Sen. Harris;

23 percent say Sanders has the best policy ideas, followed by 13 percent each for Biden and Sen. Warren, and 11 percent for Harris;

35 percent say Biden has the best chance of defeating President Donald Trump in 2020, with 17 percent for Sanders and 9 percent for Harris.


Being a great leader is more important in a presidential candidate than having great policy ideas, all voters say 50 - 39 percent. Democrats and Democratic leaners agree 52 - 38 percent.

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Re: Polls: 2020 Already

#75

Post by Addie » Thu Apr 11, 2019 1:25 pm

Monmouth University Iowa Poll: West Long Branch, NJ – Democratic voters in the Hawkeye State like Joe Biden – a lot. The former vice president leads the pack and holds the best favorability rating in a field of two dozen presidential contenders, according to the first Monmouth University Poll of Iowa Democratic voters in the 2020 cycle. Other candidates also have strong favorability ratios that could help them crack the top tier once they become better known to caucusgoers. Health care and environmental concerns are the top issues for Iowa Democrats in deciding who to support for their party’s presidential nomination, but beating President Donald Trump is also a very important consideration.

In a field of 24 announced and potential candidates, Biden holds the lead with 27% support among Democratic voters who are likely to attend the Iowa caucuses in February. He is followed by Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders (16%), South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg (9%), Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren (7%), California Sen. Kamala Harris (7%), former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke (6%), Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar (4%), New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker (3%), and former cabinet secretary Julián Castro (2%). Former Maryland Rep. John Delaney, New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, Ohio Rep. Tim Ryan, California Rep. Eric Swalwell, and entrepreneur Andrew Yang each receive 1% support from likely caucusgoers. The remaining 10 candidates earn less than 1% or were not chosen by any respondents in the poll.

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