Search found 971 matches

by Danraft
Wed Mar 18, 2020 10:53 pm
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: New Diseases - Coronavirus
Replies: 5045
Views: 136318

Re: New Diseases - Coronavirus

The discussions are certainly interesting. The major challenge of suppression is that this type of intensive intervention package – or something equivalently effective at reducing transmission – will need to be maintained until a vaccine becomes available (potentially 18 months or more) – given that...
by Danraft
Wed Mar 18, 2020 10:08 pm
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: New Diseases - Coronavirus
Replies: 5045
Views: 136318

Re: New Diseases - Coronavirus

Agreed. But that's not what I suggested. Stratify (classify and separate) risk groups. If the healthcare system isn't overloaded, and there are sufficient ventilators etc, the mortality rate is low for those that go into ICU. But, more importantly, those people at high risk (like yourself) have the ...
by Danraft
Wed Mar 18, 2020 6:10 pm
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: New Diseases - Coronavirus
Replies: 5045
Views: 136318

Re: New Diseases - Coronavirus

Meh. Not captured is what is regular flu infections which is 57 MILLION. Probably includes some COVID-19. . By some indicators, this flu season is worse than last flu season. For example, the data shows the cumulative hospitalization rate for the flu so far this season is 57.9 per 100,000 people, co...
by Danraft
Wed Mar 18, 2020 6:01 pm
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: New Diseases - Coronavirus
Replies: 5045
Views: 136318

Re: New Diseases - Coronavirus

So, here's my COVID-19 concept. Stratify the risk groups and expose low risk to the virus while the high risk are sheltered in place. Burn it out. First, create a group of infected-and-recovered front line health providers and first responders a small segment(perhaps 25% at a time). Infection to rec...
by Danraft
Tue Mar 17, 2020 4:44 pm
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: New Diseases - Coronavirus
Replies: 5045
Views: 136318

Re: New Diseases - Coronavirus

If everyone quarantined and spread stopped, why wouldn't it just break out again when contact increased? It seems the requirement is that this highly infectious virus burns out globally? How likely is that? And, given every good and bad actor has viral reserves of it, seems likely it would reappear ...
by Danraft
Mon Mar 16, 2020 4:46 pm
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: New Diseases - Coronavirus
Replies: 5045
Views: 136318

Re: New Diseases - Coronavirus

It's certain that community spread is occurring.
What reports have we seen on ICU demand?
by Danraft
Mon Mar 16, 2020 8:07 am
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: Coronavirus Cancellations & Postponements / Travel & Events COVID-19
Replies: 819
Views: 35208

Re: Coronavirus Cancellations & Postponements / Travel & Events COVID-19

Reminds me... Blood banks are in fire need.
by Danraft
Mon Mar 16, 2020 8:03 am
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: On a Personal Level--Coronavirus COVID-19 Cancellations, etc.
Replies: 1415
Views: 41777

Re: On a Personal Level--Coronavirus COVID-19 Cancellations, etc.

That was my assessment. The ACE2 receptors are strongly ex pressed in the mouth but also lung and some in the gut. The concept that whatever makes it to the stomach is killed by stomach acid negates reality in every case of food borne illness. But, it didn't seem to matter. Except Stanford issued a ...
by Danraft
Sat Mar 14, 2020 3:15 pm
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: New Diseases - Coronavirus
Replies: 5045
Views: 136318

Re: New Diseases - Coronavirus

The infection and exposure pattern is revealing. Ivanka and Barr were together? And met with the infected Brazilian? Similarly, The CPAC exposures are revealing. That whole deal is highly suspicious. First the reports were that the cop "refused to co-operate with authorities" then he "couldn't remem...
by Danraft
Sat Mar 14, 2020 3:12 pm
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: New Diseases - Coronavirus
Replies: 5045
Views: 136318

Re: New Diseases - Coronavirus

Body temperature for Americans has been dropping. https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/are-human-body-temperatures-cooling-down/ I'd told a lot of people to get their baseline temp now because most people still assume it's 98.6. A lot of them mentioned that theirs is in the 97s. And I always t...
by Danraft
Sat Mar 14, 2020 12:36 pm
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: On a Personal Level--Coronavirus COVID-19 Cancellations, etc.
Replies: 1415
Views: 41777

Re: On a Personal Level--Coronavirus COVID-19 Cancellations, etc.

Welcome back when you make it. Reasonable choice. Right - so I just shipped two (freaking expensive) boxes of stuff home, and I've booked a Monday morning flight on the theory that the normal odds of Trump doing anything else precipitous but useless will be offset by the odds of Trump doing anything...
by Danraft
Sat Mar 14, 2020 12:29 pm
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: Coronavirus Humor
Replies: 741
Views: 29772

Re: Coronavirus Humor

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by Danraft
Sat Mar 14, 2020 11:08 am
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: New Diseases - Coronavirus
Replies: 5045
Views: 136318

Re: New Diseases - Coronavirus

That's an area of recent research in general. Activation of the mothers immune system right around the end of the first trimester seems to invoke neurological architecture changes that cause anxiety in later life. As for mortality, etc, nothing stood out from the Wuhan studies There are a lot on que...
by Danraft
Fri Mar 13, 2020 10:19 pm
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: New Diseases - Coronavirus
Replies: 5045
Views: 136318

Re: New Diseases - Coronavirus

The general statement is spot on. Assuming every infected person were known, R• (R-naught), which is the variable representing rate of infection, becomes less than 1 at some point (when there isn't enough vulnerable people). But, the sentiment is that the US hasn't been testing --so there is an unco...
by Danraft
Fri Mar 13, 2020 9:47 am
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: Coronavirus Cancellations & Postponements / Travel & Events COVID-19
Replies: 819
Views: 35208

Re: Coronavirus Cancellations & Postponements / Travel & Events COVID-19

Unfortunately, Covid-19 did not make the Trump admin halt bombing Iraq.

But, all I see is Covid-19 news.
by Danraft
Fri Mar 13, 2020 8:44 am
Forum: Questions & Suggestions
Topic: Highlight tag
Replies: 24
Views: 2525

Re: Highlight tag

The red is a nice default...
I use the dark theme. So, yellow highlighting is equivalent of redacting...

You know, emphasizing the important parts like the government does with those black highlighters?
by Danraft
Thu Mar 12, 2020 12:30 am
Forum: Trump Administration
Topic: President* Trump - *Impeached
Replies: 14676
Views: 781457

Re: President* Trump - *Impeached

Why doesn't Trump have it? Just a random thought... If "hugs" can be deadly with a pandemic, then "big-huggers" have been repeatedly selected against over and over inn9ur evolutionary past. Trump, as a person on the sociopath spectrum (totally made-up term), is more safe than someone compassionate. ...
by Danraft
Wed Mar 11, 2020 9:38 pm
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: New Diseases - Coronavirus
Replies: 5045
Views: 136318

Re: New Diseases

The China data, very well studied, shows that if one has to go into ICU, the average release from ICU is 11 days. However, mortality stats show death in ICU is average 3 days, and almost zero after 5 days.
by Danraft
Wed Mar 11, 2020 9:03 pm
Forum: The Lounge
Topic: Hijack this thread
Replies: 28006
Views: 1286060

Re: Hijack this thread

Holy crap... Fox knows they have a big audience... And is in full propoganda mode. Investigations into Bidens, Supreme Court, Deep State, OMG.... I haven't watched this channel in so long. It is a different universe.
by Danraft
Wed Mar 11, 2020 8:39 pm
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: Coronavirus Cancellations & Postponements / Travel & Events COVID-19
Replies: 819
Views: 35208

Re: Coronavirus Cancellations & Postponements / Travel & Events COVID-19

Now it's a "Valor" military show... ummm We are going to WAR....
by Danraft
Wed Mar 11, 2020 8:38 pm
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: Coronavirus Cancellations & Postponements / Travel & Events COVID-19
Replies: 819
Views: 35208

Re: Coronavirus Cancellations & Postponements / Travel & Events COVID-19

Holy shit... update...
Fox is making it a Chinese conspiracy..1111

saying this is an intentional act of china.
by Danraft
Wed Mar 11, 2020 8:36 pm
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: Coronavirus Cancellations & Postponements / Travel & Events COVID-19
Replies: 819
Views: 35208

Re: Coronavirus Cancellations & Postponements / Travel & Events COVID-19

Watching Tucker Carlson now.. they have the Chinese Virus info... Really defending the use of "Chinese" and making the talk about how viruses don't have races... ugh.. for a moment though, he did a good description of how the virus is more dangerous than the flu\... But, the story is all about the o...
by Danraft
Wed Mar 11, 2020 8:28 pm
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: New Diseases - Coronavirus
Replies: 5045
Views: 136318

Re: New Diseases

My bet, Jared is quarantined since the Jewish doctor at CPAC was part of his Isreal project. A mega-donor type.. surely Jared met with him, too.
by Danraft
Wed Mar 11, 2020 8:26 pm
Forum: Coronavirus
Topic: New Diseases - Coronavirus
Replies: 5045
Views: 136318

Re: New Diseases

Hasn't someone close to Trump explained to him by now that if we don't vastly slow the spread of this virus, a lot of his supporters are going to die? Surely some of them have figured this out by now. I saw somewhere in the Twitterverse that someone had already done that calculation... it was kind ...
by Danraft
Tue Mar 10, 2020 11:16 pm
Forum: Science & Technology
Topic: Science, General Stuff
Replies: 1338
Views: 102687

Re: Science, General Stuff

I’ve done some interesting reading on whales because of my interest in diagnosing chronic diseases using metabolic markers. Turns out the best source of bio markers is in earwax (because many markers are lipid soluble and/or produced by the cholesterol pathways that change dramatically with metaboli...

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